The Cicero Chinook's, a team with dreams as big as the small town they hail from, made their mark in the SMALL TOWN AMERICA II draft. Despite their 16th pick in the draft order, they managed to snag some hidden gems and leave their mark on the league. With a draft grade of C-, they may not have blown away the competition, but they certainly left an impression. Their projected record of 8-6-0 and 10th place finish show that they're not afraid to swim against the current. And with a projected point total of 1887.51, they're ready to make some waves.
The Cicero Chinook's may have had a few missteps in their draft strategy, but they still managed to reel in some impressive catches. Their best pick came at 136, when they snagged Jordan Love, who was projected to go at 128. It seems like the Chinook's have a knack for finding hidden talent. However, not every pick was a winner. Their worst pick came at 96, when they reached for Courtland Sutton, who had an ADP of 124. It's clear that the Chinook's were willing to take risks, even if it meant swimming against the current. And speaking of swimming, the Chinook's showed their loyalty to a particular team by drafting three players from the same team: Saquon Barkley, Kayvon Thibodeaux, and Matt Breida. It looks like the Chinook's are hoping that team chemistry will be their secret weapon this season. Only time will tell if their strategy will sink or swim.
Share
ADP Analysis
Bars above zero indicate a pick was selected later than a player's ADP. Bars below zero show players that were taken earlier than their ADP.
Inside the Draft
Player Outlooks
- Round 1, Pick 16 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 46 - 2022 Rank: 36
Barkley managed to stay mostly healthy last year for the first time since his rookie season, and the result was a career high in rushing yards. New head coach Brian Daboll made him the centerpiece of his offense in order to take some pressure off quarterback Daniel Jones, although Daboll may have had little choice given the state of the Giants' receiving corps. The new offensive scheme gave Barkley a career high in rushing attempts per game but didn't showcase his pass-catching skills, as he managed less than half the receiving yards he had in 2018 despite finishing fifth in the league among RBs in targets. While Barkley had an impressive rebound after some injury-plagued campaigns, question marks surround the running back headed into 2023. The veteran back presumably is not overjoyed with his new one year contract. In addition, a reinforced group of receivers and tight ends could encourage Daboll to lean more on Jones and the passing game. Barkley has the talent to put up elite numbers out of the backfield, but health and usage remain obstacles to the 26-year-old reaching his fantasy ceiling.
- Round 2, Pick 25 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 26 - 2022 Rank: 59
During the offseason, Mixon had some peculiar incidents off the field that raised concerns about potential legal or NFL penalties, though it's not clear exactly what that might look like. Assuming he remains on the Bengals and is not suspended, Mixon could be a valuable player for fantasy, as has been the case throughout most of his career. Despite not being particularly explosive, Mixon should get a lot of touches. Former backup Samaje Perine left for Denver in free agency, with no new veteran or highly drafted player to replace him. Mixon caught 102 passes over the past two seasons even though Perine took a lot of the passing-down work; Mixon even had career-best totals of 75 targets, 60 catches, and 441 receiving yards in just 14 games last year. While he has only had one season with multiple rushes of over 40 yards and an average of better than 4.1 yards per carry (in 2018), consistent volume in an offense that scores a lot of points is usually good for fantasy, and an upgrade in blocking with the addition of 345-pound OT Orlando Brown could also benefit Mixon.
- Round 3, Pick 56 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 36 - 2022 Rank: 117
A second-round pick in 2020, Swift flashed his talent and upside over three seasons with the Lions but also demonstrated an unfortunate propensity for getting hurt, and he got flipped to the Eagles in the offseason. Having proven he can't hold up under a big workload, the Georgia product could find himself in a somewhat ideal situation in the final year of his rookie contract, as coach Nick Sirianni has leaned toward using a backfield committee during his time at the helm in Philadelphia. The big question will be who's involved in that committee for any particular week in 2023. Miles Sanders is now in Carolina, but Swift will be joined by fellow injury-prone newcomer Rashaad Penny, and holdovers Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott have had their moments in an Eagles uniform. Swift's three-down skill set gives him more versatility than Penny, but the duo could both be extremely effective behind the team's elite offensive line if reduced volume allows them to stay out of the trainer's room.
- Round 4, Pick 65 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 69 - 2022 Rank: 13
Fields had the second-best rushing season ever for a quarterback, and the Bears really didn't turn him loose until just before mid season. Durability down the stretch became a concern, as he injured his shoulder. Fields lacked legitimate receiving weapons last season. As a result, it was very difficult for the passing game to have any consistency. There was a short period of time after the coaching staff opened up the offense in which he had both Darnell Mooney and Cole Kmet, and they had moderate success during that time. But Fields threw for over 190 yards just twice, with 254 being his highest mark of the season. However, he did throw touchdown passes in 11 of his last 13 games. With the team adding DJ Moore at receiver, Fields now goes into 2023 with a legitimate arsenal of weapons. If he's even passable as a thrower, this offense can quickly make a massive jump forward. And as long as Fields has his rushing ability, he'll be a very high-floor fantasy option. Improved passing production could make him elite.
- Round 5, Pick 96 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 83 - 2022 Rank: 252
Sutton could remain a trade candidate if the Broncos see an opportunity to move him, only because his cap hit is very high for the next three years, but if they can't move Sutton then they might as well make good use of him in 2023. Disappointing as his last two seasons have been, the first was his initial return from an ACL tear the prior year, and both seasons were defined by memorably poor quarterback play. It's also worth noting that Sutton drew 12 defensive pass interference calls those two years -- a high figure. Fellow receiver Jerry Jeudy drew only three defensive pass interference calls over the same time span, for instance. If a handful of those DPI calls had been catches for the according yardage then that would have been enough for Sutton's numbers to look a little better. Hopefully, this season gives Sutton a chance to remind what he can do when he's healthy and has decent quarterback play to work with, because the production from Sutton's first two NFL seasons made him look like a future star.
- Round 6, Pick 105 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 167 - 2022 Rank: 91
McKinnon's ability to improvise with Patrick Mahomes while phasing out of blitz pickup or play-action makes him difficult for defenses to keep track of, especially the longer a play goes on. The Chiefs offensive line is excellent and Mahomes might be the most dangerous improviser at quarterback the league has ever seen, so Mahomes extends plays regularly enough for McKinnon to make a fantasy impact even as a backup. It's not clear how locked in McKinnon might be relative to his 2022 workload - Isiah Pacheco and Clyde Edwards-Helaire are both capable of poaching passing-down snaps - but in 2022 McKinnon just about had the Kansas City running back receiving production to himself. As much as it seems unlikely that McKinnon would play more than the 497 snaps he did in 2022, it's also not obvious why the Chiefs would scale it back too much. With that said, if McKinnon is to be a useful fantasy asset in 2023 then he'll likely need to make it happen as a receiver, so he can't afford to lose any passing-down snaps.
- Round 7, Pick 136 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 149 - 2022 Rank: 985
Love is an unknown commodity for fantasy football this year. He's had 83 pass attempts during his short time in the league. Love will be taking over an offense that has questions at tight end and wide receiver. It's possible that Christian Watson will be a star, but it's also possible that he's just an outstanding deep threat. At 6-4, 219, Love has demonstrated decent mobility. That could give Love a stable rushing floor while the passing game rounds into form, though a larger sample size of rushing attempts would be nice. Last year, Aaron Rodgers had one of the worst seasons of his career. Whether that was due to decline or the talent that surrounded him is uncertain. Also, Green Bay has been a run-heavy team for the past couple years, and their quarterback pass attempts have been below league average. Drafting Love as a boom-or-bust option makes sense, due to the uncertainty that surrounds him. He also could be a player who gets better as the season moves forward and he gets more experience.
- Round 8, Pick 145 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 1130 - 2022 Rank: 76
Wagner suited up for a team other than the Seahawks for the first time in 2022, as he signed with the division-rival Rams. He has managed at least 100 tackles in each of his 11 seasons as a pro and has proven he can remain productive as he heads into the back end of his career. In fact, he showed a new facet to his game, racking up a career-high six sacks with Los Angeles. Despite things going well away from Seattle on a personal level, Wagner returned to the Seahawks on a one-year deal this offseason. He'll certainly be locked into a starting role, and with Jordyn Brooks on the mend from an ACL tear, Wagner should have the chance to lead the team in tackles.
- Round 9, Pick 176 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 1108 - 2022 Rank: 454
Holcomb was just a fifth-round pick in the 2019 draft, but that didn't stop him from being immediately productive with the Commanders. Across four seasons with the team, he topped the century mark in tackles on two occasions. He was held back by lower-body injuries in the other two campaigns, which is a potential concern as heads to Pittsburgh in 2023 on a three-year deal. While his history suggests caution is warranted, Holcomb participated in OTAs with his new team and reported that he was playing at full strength. He projects to form a middle linebacker tandem with Elandon Roberts in the middle of the Steelers defense. Assuming he can hold up throughout the regular season, Holcomb is a strong bet for over 100 tackles and perhaps a couple of sacks and pass breakups.
- Round 10, Pick 185 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 1236 - 2022 Rank: 322
Werner looked to be in for a breakout 2022 season, as he posted 71 tackles and three passes defended through the first eight games. However, the 2021 second-round pick went on to suffer a significant ankle injury in Week 9, limiting him to suiting up in just three of New Orleans' final eight games. Despite that setback and playing fewer snaps than his rookie season, Werner still put up career-best production in 2022. In addition to solid tackle totals and work in coverage, he also forced two fumbles. After fellow off-ball linebacker Kaden Elliss left in free agency this offseason, Werner should headline the Saints' relatively thin linebacking corps alongside four-time All-Pro middle linebacker Demario Davis. If he can stay healthy, 2023 could be his true breakout campaign.
- Round 11, Pick 216 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 152 - 2022 Rank: 206
There were positives and negatives to be taken from Kmet's 2022 season. He set career highs with seven touchdowns, 7.9 yards per target and 10.9 yards perception. However, his targets fell from 93 to 69, so obviously his catches and production regressed from 2021. Chicago had a nearly invisible passing attack early in the season. As a result, Kmet had 16 or fewer yards in four of the first six games. Things ended up getting better as the season went on. He didn't fall below 27 yards in any of his last nine games. And during that time Kmet saw between five and seven targets in seven of those contests. He'll benefit from the Bears having added DJ Moore to the wide receiver rotation. Between Moore and Darnell Mooney, Chicago has speed on the outside, which should open up room in the middle of the field for Kmet to operate. It's unlikely Kmet moves into the top tier of fantasy tight ends. But based on demonstrated ability and the potential for increased opportunity, Kmet has a solid chance to end up as a top-10 tight end.
- Round 12, Pick 225 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 201 - 2022 Rank: 89
Sanders managed a career-high 41 PATs in coach Mike McDaniel's high-flying offense last season, while also converting 81 percent of his 32 field-goal attempts. He went an impressive 12 of 13 from the 40-49 range, but only converted 2 of 6 from 50+ yards out. Though he may not be more than a slightly above league-average kicker, Sanders' leg strength allows his number to be dialed from a wide range of positions on the field. The Dolphins' offense projects to be among one of the league's better scoring units, and if the team's additions on defense also work out, Sanders could find himself in position to close out games more often.
- Round 13, Pick 256 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 98 - 2022 Rank: 157
Davis may be the posterchild definition of a post-hype sleeper. After endless debate last offseason, Davis ended 2022 with an underwhelming 48-836-7 on 93 targets in 15 games, career highs almost across the board, but disappointing compared to the 201 yards and four touchdowns he put up in a playoff loss to Kansas City he put up to end the previous season. When remembering that Davis managed this while playing second fiddle to Stefon Diggs, a top-5 wideout in the league by almost any metric, his Year 3 step forward looks a bit more favorable. The Bills added a first-round tight end in Dalton Kincaid this offseason, but Davis remains primed to play a key role in this passing game, potentially as a more trusted No. 2 option for Josh Allen. After a boom-or-bust 2022 campaign, it's possible Davis could manage more consistency this season.
- Round 14, Pick 265 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 134 - 2022 Rank: 235
Johnson was a converted wide receiver when entering the NFL three years ago. Although some fantasy players were excited about his potential, he needed time to fully make the transition. Last year, he finally had an opportunity, and he took advantage of it. He turned 65 targets into a 500-yard season with seven touchdowns. Although his seasonal numbers weren't special, Johnson was a high-floor player for much of the year. He posted at least 40 yards eight times over 16 games. He was a regular visitor to the end zone in Weeks 7-15, when he scored all of his touchdowns for the season in a seven-game span. He also proved to be a big-play producer, as eight of his 42 catches resulted in gains of at least 20 yards. With Derek Carr under center and likely dealing with protection issues, Johnson may directly benefit from the QB's need to get the ball out quickly. Johnson has the potential to finish as a top-12 TE.
- Round 15, Pick 296 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 63 - 2022 Rank: 115
Wilson came on as a rookie sensation in 2022, topping 1,100 receiving yards despite being held back by bottom-of-the-barrel QB play. His winning Offensive Rookie of the Year was a tremendous accomplishment. It was a common sight for Jets fans to watch Wilson breaking wide open, only for the quarterback to either overlook him or miss a wide open throw. Aaron Rodgers, even if coming off a down year, is a huge upgrade over the combination of Zach Wilson, Mike White and an aged Joe Flacco, putting Wilson in prime position to make the leap forward in Year 2. Though Wilson finished 15th in receiving yards as a rookie, he nabbed only four touchdowns, a clear product of New York's limited offensive execution. Wilson's four scores were the worst mark against any receiver in the league with more than 1,100 yards last season, and Wilson has a demonstrable ability to threaten in the red zone. In his final season at Ohio State, Wilson was on the receiving end of 12 touchdowns.
- Round 16, Pick 305 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 220 - 2022 Rank: 519
Going back to college, injuries have been an issue for Moore. After missing three games in 2021, he missed nine more last year. In 2022, it was hamstring, knee and groin injuries that limited him. In the offseason, he had surgery on both sides of his groin to repair a sports hernia, and he also had surgery on his pinky. When he was on the field, he looked like the real deal. He posted a 93rd percentile yards-after-catch rate, and he recorded 49-94 yards in five of his last six games. The injury history is too significant to ignore, but the same argument can be made for his talent. As long as the draft cost is minimal, he's definitely worth a late-round pick in the hopes that he stays healthy. and with him playing largely in the slot, he may be the one Cardinal skill position player that's immune to weak quarterback play.
- Round 17, Pick 336 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 1239 - 2022 Rank: 999
- Round 18, Pick 345 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 341 - 2022 Rank: 47
After initially struggling with his accuracy, Maher was able to showcase his skills in 2022. With a 29-for-32 record on field goals and 51-for-53 on PATs, he ranked third among kickers in fantasy scoring. Additionally, Maher impressed by hitting 9 out of 11 tries from 50-plus yards, demonstrating his exceptional leg strength which had previously given him opportunities despite his earlier accuracy issues. The Cowboys decided to move on all the same after a shaky postseason, and Maher eventually signed with Denver but then was released in late August. He joined the Rams shortly thereafter, signing to the practice squad, and appears likely to kick for them Week 1.
- Round 19, Pick 376 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 1106 - 2022 Rank: -
- Round 20, Pick 385 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 224 - 2022 Rank: 303
The Browns let Hunt walk this offseason after his numbers took a big dip in 2022. He averaged just 3.8 yards per carry and 4.8 yards per target -- both more than a yard off his pace from the previous season. In 2012, he rushed for five touchdowns in just eight games; last year he had three in 17 games. It might take an injury in training camp before a team calls on Hunt, but he likely will get another shot at some point.
- Round 21, Pick 416 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 271 - 2022 Rank: 666
Breida suited up for all 17 regular-season games last year as the main backup to Saquon Barkley, but that didn't translate into much usage. He managed only 74 touches and 338 scrimmage yards, well below the marks he set in San Francisco during his first few years in the NFL. Breida still has the speed to threaten defenses and the Giants were comfortable enough with his contributions to re-sign him to a one-year contract in the offseason, but they also drafted Eric Gray in the fifth round to compete for that No. 2 role. A Barkley injury or contract holdout represent Breida's best path to fantasy relevance.
- Round 22, Pick 425 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 1163 - 2022 Rank: 336
- Round 23, Pick 456 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 283 - 2022 Rank: 226
A career backup, Hollins was thrust into a starting role last season to fill the void at outside receiver for the Raiders. He blew away his career highs with 57 catches and 604 yards. He was at his best as a perimeter presence, but with a 33rd-percentile yards-after-catch rate, he had just 10.6 yards per reception. Hollins signed with the Falcons this offseason and is expected to fill the No. 2 WR role behind Drake London. At 6-foot-4, 221, Hollins could be a factor in the red zone as well. But the Falcons are a run-first team with unproven QB Desmond Ridder at the helm. And while he could be second on the wideout depth chart, he still might be third in the passing game with tight end Kyle Pitts commanding considerable targets.
- Round 24, Pick 465 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 1289 - 2022 Rank: 881
- Round 25, Pick 496 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 474 - 2022 Rank: 229
- Round 26, Pick 505 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 571 - 2022 Rank: 129
- Round 27, Pick 536 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 332 - 2022 Rank: 1535
Abanikanda's athletic metrics and college production profile are superior to the usual fifth-round running back, but his path to consistent opportunities will be extremely difficult in New York with Breece Hall and Dalvin Cook cemented into the top-two roles. Still, Abanikanda's workhorse frame, skillset and sub-4.5 40 speed make him an interesting prospect, especially if Hall isn't 100 percent healthy early in the season after tearing his ACL last year. Michael Carter could offer competition for the No. 3 gig, though, and he profiles as perhaps a better pure change-of-pace option than Abanikanda does. In all likelihood the rookie's best chance of getting a shot will only come if unfortunate injuries occur elsewhere in the Jets' backfield.
- Round 28, Pick 545 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 262 - 2022 Rank: 387
When Reynolds was given volume last year, he was productive. The Lions needed to use him when they suffered injuries during Weeks 3 through 5. During those games he had 81-96 yards, six or seven catches and 8-10 targets. But in terms of his playing ability, he posted a 21st-percentile yards after the catch rate. It's likely that he'll be considered a depth role, and it seems improbable that he'll be a regular starter as he enters his age-28 season. He could win an early-season role over Kalif Raymond and Marvin Jones while Jameson Williams serves his six-game suspension. So if he gets put into a situation in which he is a temporary starting option, he may be useful for fantasy. That could give him early-season value.
- Round 29, Pick 576 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 1392 - 2022 Rank: 188
- Round 30, Pick 585 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 588 - 2022 Rank: 214
Team Forecast
Bye Week Points Lost
Each bar represents the total projected season points for each player that's on bye that week. This chart shows any potential bye week issues.
Schedule by Opponent Points
Week-by-week schedule with each opponent's projected season points. This chart shows any difficult or easy stretches in the schedule.
