In the SMALL TOWN AMERICA II draft, Me and Harpua had the unfortunate luck of landing the 10th pick. With a draft grade of F, it's safe to say that their performance left a lot to be desired. Projected to finish 17th with a dismal record of 1-13-0, this team is definitely not one to fear. Despite having the 4th toughest schedule out of 20 teams, Me and Harpua managed to draft two players on bye week 10, because why not add a little extra challenge to their already doomed season?
While Me and Harpua did manage to make a decent pick with Terry McLaurin at 71, surpassing his ADP of 60, they quickly made up for it with their worst pick of Kenneth Gainwell at 111, well above his ADP of 123. And let's not forget the bold strategy of drafting three players from the same team: Jalen Hurts, Kenneth Gainwell, and Boston Scott. Clearly, Me and Harpua are hoping for some sort of miracle chemistry between these players. With a whopping 8 RBs drafted, well above the league average of 5.1, and 4 DEs, surpassing the league average of 1.5, it seems like Me and Harpua are determined to corner the market on these positions. Good luck with that strategy, folks!
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ADP Analysis
Bars above zero indicate a pick was selected later than a player's ADP. Bars below zero show players that were taken earlier than their ADP.
Inside the Draft
Player Outlooks
- Round 1, Pick 10 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 47 - 2022 Rank: 109
The Rams offense was a mess last year, largely due to offensive line issues as well as the lack of a rushing attack. Also, free agent addition Allen Robinson didn't work out for the team, and all they really had to lean on at that point was Kupp. From a production standpoint, he mostly picked up where he left off in 2021. He had at least nine targets in all but one game. He also had at least 122 yards in four of eight games. Kupp also had at least 79 yards in seven of the eight games he played. However, he suffered an ankle injury that cost him the last eight games of the season. Other than missing eight games in 2018 as well, he had a very healthy career to date. Even though Kupp's entering his age-30 season, there appeared to be no sign of decline last year. He still should be a very high floor and high ceiling fantasy option. and Kupp should be an obvious first-round draft pick in most leagues. But keep your eye on an in-practice hamstring injury that Kupp suffered in early August.
- Round 2, Pick 31 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 17 - 2022 Rank: 4
Hurts ascended to elite status in 2022, finishing as QB3 for fantasy purposes while posting MVP-quality numbers and leading the Eagles to the Super Bowl. The improvements he made as a passer during his first two seasons in the league paid dividends after the team added A.J. Brown to a receiving corps already headlined by DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert. Hurts emerged as one of the NFL's most accurate passers in his third campaign. It's his running ability, however, that takes his production to another level. Nick Sirianni's scheme is designed around his game-breaking ability on the ground, and Hurts' 13 rushing touchdowns were the second most in NFL history by a quarterback. While it's hard to bank on that kind of record-setting performance repeating itself, the league elected not to legislate away the team's "tush push" rugby scrum approach to gaining short yards and getting the ball across the goal line, so double-digit rushing TDs could well be his floor. Hurts may not match the volume or pure passing upside of the likes of Patrick Mahomes or Josh Allen, but at 24 years old, his best days should still be ahead of him.
- Round 3, Pick 50 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 53 - 2022 Rank: 65
Sanders signed a four-year, $25 million contract with the Panthers in March, cashing in after a career year in 2022 which included 1,269 yards and 11 touchdowns on the ground in 17 games for Philadelphia. He won't be playing in a top offense anymore, but with the Panthers, he'll make far more money and have a secure rushing workload. The Eagles had a variety of options at their disposal and would sometimes go away from Sanders in the game plan, which made his production inconsistent even in 2022. He'll likely average fewer yards per carry with the Panthers, but he may also get more overall touches after averaging between 13.5 and 16.4 per game in four seasons with the Eagles. Chuba Hubbard looms as a capable alternative, though he might get the bulk of his work on passing downs where Sanders is less useful. While that might come with the risk of getting phased out of the offense when the Panthers abandon the run, it's also possible Sanders gets more involved in the passing game (only 20 catches last year) on early downs.
- Round 4, Pick 71 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 64 - 2022 Rank: 93
McLaurin has posted four straight strong seasons in the NFL despite playing with a litany of unimpressive quarterbacks that includes Case Keenum, Kyle Allen, Taylor Heinicke and Carson Wentz. 2022 fifth-round pick Sam Howell will get a chance this year to stop the carousel and establish himself as the Commanders' QB of the future, but until he proves himself, McLaurin's ceiling could remain capped even if his floor seems rock solid. There are reasons for optimism even beyond Howell's development, however. New offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy brings an explosive scheme with him from Kansas City, and second-year wideout Jahan Dotson could give defenses someone else to account for downfield. McLaurin has the measurables and skills to take another step forward in his production if things click with Washington's new-look passing game, but at 27 years old his window to make that leap could be closing.
- Round 5, Pick 90 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 45 - 2022 Rank: 376
Cook's role was limited as a rookie, but he showcased impressive efficiency (5.7 YPC) in those contained flashes. The departure of Devin Singletary should make it easy for Cook to build upon last season's 89 carries and 32 targets, though new arrival Damien Harris represents significant competition, especially for between-the-tackles and goal-line work. Cook's best path to production will be to translate his efficiency to the receiving game, though he didn't exactly impress in that respect as a rookie. Cook caught just 65.6 percent of his targets for 5.6 YPT last season, but as he was never more than a rotational back at Georgia, he could benefit even more than the usual RB from a second offseason to get up to speed at the NFL level. Veteran Latavius Murray is also capable of rotating in for carries. And Josh Allen's elite rushing abilities further reduce the opportunities up for grabs in Buffalo's backfield. A scenario where Cook truly emerges isn't impossible, but he'll need to distinguish himself from the crowd.
- Round 6, Pick 111 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 86 - 2022 Rank: 435
Gainwell gave a glimpse of what he might be able to accomplish in a bigger role in last season's wild-card win over the Giants, erupting for 112 rushing yards and a touchdown, but that could well end up being the high point of his Eagles tenure. A fifth-round pick in 2021, Gainwell's a valuable depth option in Nick Siranni's scheme, but his biggest asset is receiving skills that often go under-utilized in an offense that would rather have Jalen Hurts keep the ball himself than dump it off to a running back. Miles Sanders, another back who didn't get the workload his talent may have warranted, left for Carolina in the offseason, but Gainwell's shot at rising up the depth chart got thwarted when the team signed Rashaad Penny in free agency and traded for D'Andre Swift. The two imports have long injury histories though, so Gainwell might yet get a look as the Eagles' starter if both Swift and Penny happen to be on the shelf at the same time.
- Round 7, Pick 130 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 138 - 2022 Rank: 241
After racking up 2,000 yards and 17 touchdowns the last three seasons for the Cowboys, Schultz made the intrastate move to Houston on a one-year, $9 million contract. The 27-year-old tight end should emerge as one of the top targets for rookie QB C.J. Stroud. Schultz's 577 yards last season were more than any other pass catcher currently on Houston's roster posted in 2022, and Schultz was even better in 2021, when he set career highs in both yards (808) and touchdowns (eight). The lack of alternatives could lead to more targets for the 6-foot-5 tight end, who was targeted at least 89 times in each of his last three seasons with Dallas. However, that extra volume will likely be accompanied by increased scrutiny from opposing defenses without the likes of CeeDee Lamb and Tony Pollard around to occupy most of the defense's attention.
- Round 8, Pick 151 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 218 - 2022 Rank: 43
It's tough to compete with Justin Tucker for the title of the NFL's best kicker, but Carlson sure is putting together a strong challenge to this point in his career. The former Auburn standout has played at an All-Decade level in four of the last five years, the one exception being 2019 season where he only made 19 of 26 field goals. In the other four seasons Carlson has been pretty much perfect, even with high field goal attempt volume and with many of those kicks occurring from long range. Indeed, Carlson's 2022 season was quietly incredible due to the fact that he made 11 of 13 field goals from 50 yards or more. Carlson is a high-volume, long-range shooter who very rarely misses. Few kickers affect the game as much as Carlson.
- Round 9, Pick 170 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 1376 - 2022 Rank: 694
- Round 10, Pick 191 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 1224 - 2022 Rank: 953
- Round 11, Pick 210 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 639 - 2022 Rank: -
- Round 12, Pick 231 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 1892 - 2022 Rank: 1074
- Round 13, Pick 250 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 391 - 2022 Rank: 578
- Round 14, Pick 271 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 1343 - 2022 Rank: 1331
- Round 15, Pick 290 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 1346 - 2022 Rank: 1731
- Round 16, Pick 311 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 510 - 2022 Rank: 629
- Round 17, Pick 330 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 127 - 2022 Rank: 1507
The Packers needed a lead TE, so they drafted Musgrave and Tucker Kraft in the second and third rounds of this year's NFL Draft. Of the two, Musgrave is more of a seam stretcher. He needs development in all areas, and he could have significant struggles as a rookie. It's probable he finishes outside the top-24 tight ends, and he'll likely go undrafted in many fantasy leagues. While he'll likely be limited to a dynasty league option in 2023, it's still worth keeping an eye on quarterback Jordan Love's progression and the offensive scheme as a whole to see if Musgrave could eventually work his way up to a fantasy streaming possibility.
- Round 18, Pick 351 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 52 - 2022 Rank: 909
Ford will enter training camp as Nick Chubb's backup after the Browns opted against re-signing both Kareem Hunt and D'Ernest Johnson. A fifth-round pick last year, Ford was limited mainly to kick returns as a rookie. However, in 2021 he had an impressive final collegiate season at Cincinnati with 20 touchdowns and more than 1,500 scrimmage yards. Prior to that, Ford played ahead of eventual third-round pick Brian Robinson at Alabama. Ford has average size for an NFL RB at 5-10, 210, and he was clocked at 4.46 seconds in the 40-yard dash last spring. The Browns seem to be believers, with 2021 sixth-round pick Demetric Felton representing Ford's most serious competition for playing time behind Chubb unless the team signs a noteworthy veteran over the summer.
- Round 19, Pick 370 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 260 - 2022 Rank: 205
Although he was probably overmatched as a WR3 and has limited big-play ability in general, Palmer provides the Chargers with good, versatile depth behind the lead trio of Keenan Allen, Mike Williams and rookie first-round pick Quentin Johnston. Now in a more suitable swing backup role, Palmer's efficiency should improve with lessened exposure. This is all to say that Palmer's fantasy value is on the downswing with Johnston on the team, but it should make the Chargers offense better overall. After drawing 107 targets on 870 snaps last year, something more in the range of 50 targets on 500 snaps should be expected if all of Allen, Williams and Johnston stay healthy. It's even conceivable that Palmer could lose some snaps and/or targets to fourth-round pick Derius Davis. That said, Palmer would be the first man up if any of Allen, Williams or Johnston should miss time. The veterans Allen and Williams both have lengthy injury histories, so Palmer has high upside as far as the backup category goes.
- Round 20, Pick 391 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 188 - 2022 Rank: -
- Round 21, Pick 410 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 285 - 2022 Rank: 591
A hamstring injury limited Hopkins to five games last year and opened the door for Cameron Dicker to step in as the Chargers' kicker. The Chargers brought both kickers back this summer but ultimately traded Hopkins to Cleveland in late August, giving the veteran a clear path to a Week 1 job. While he doesn't offer great leg strength, Hopkins could pile up volume if the Cleveland offense takes a big step forward in QB Deshaun Watson's second year with the team.
- Round 22, Pick 431 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 1911 - 2022 Rank: 1505
Levis unexpectedly slipped to the second round of the 2023 NFL Draft after being viewed as a possible top-10 pick, at which point the Titans traded up to select him 33rd overall. The 6-foot-3, 232-pound QB out of Kentucky has a strong arm and good mobility, but Levis threw 23 interceptions in two seasons as a starter in college. Tennessee will likely roll with veteran starter Ryan Tannehill as long as the playoffs are a realistic possibility, which could be most or all of the season in the weak AFC South. Tannehill's in the final year of his contract, so Levis would likely get a chance to start as soon as Tennessee's out of contention. Beating out 2022 third-round pick Malik Willis for the backup job shouldn't be too difficult given Willis' struggles as a rookie, but Tennessee's lack of weapons in the passing game will make it tough for Levis to find success if or when he steps on the field in 2023.
- Round 23, Pick 450 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 728 - 2022 Rank: 1010
- Round 24, Pick 471 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 1583 - 2022 Rank: 401
- Round 25, Pick 490 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 1581 - 2022 Rank: 917
- Round 26, Pick 511 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 971 - 2022 Rank: 1026
- Round 27, Pick 530 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 976 - 2022 Rank: 1097
- Round 28, Pick 551 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 333 - 2022 Rank: 1160
Spiller's rookie season last year was disappointing, and he enters 2023 completely unproven. Spiller was on the field for just 53 snaps last season, taking 18 carries for 41 yards. Much more was expected of Spiller when the Chargers selected him in the fourth round of the 2022 draft. That said, Spiller is still more of a blank slate than a dirtied one. He only turned 21 on the Aug. 9 last year, meaning even a year later he's still younger than many running backs still in the college ranks. If Spiller improves with experience -- and conventional prospect trajectory says he will -- then the former Texas A&M star could put pressure on Joshua Kelley for the privilege of backing up Austin Ekeler in 2023.
- Round 29, Pick 570 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 309 - 2022 Rank: 529
- Round 30, Pick 591 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 280 - 2022 Rank: 590
Scott does a little bit of everything for the Eagles, but it doesn't seem likely that he'll ever get a chance to show he can be more than a depth piece. The Louisiana Tech product saw his touch volume drop out of the low triple digits in 2022 as his role in the offense shrunk and his usage as a receiver nearly disappeared, but he averaged at least 4.0 yards a carry for the fourth straight season and has scored a surprising 16 rushing touchdowns during that time. Scott is also a capable kickoff returner, but he's firmly behind Rashaad Penny, D'Andre Swift and Kenneth Gainwell on the backfield depth chart heading into 2023. Even with the two new co-starters having lengthy injury histories, a lot would have to go wrong for the Eagles, or right for Scott depending on your perspective, for the 28-year-old to post significant fantasy numbers.
Team Forecast
Bye Week Points Lost
Each bar represents the total projected season points for each player that's on bye that week. This chart shows any potential bye week issues.
Schedule by Opponent Points
Week-by-week schedule with each opponent's projected season points. This chart shows any difficult or easy stretches in the schedule.
