In the SMALL TOWN AMERICA II fantasy draft, Brady's Bunch proved that being 17th in the draft order doesn't mean you can't come out on top. With a total of 30 rounds, this team managed to secure an impressive A- draft grade. Despite being projected to finish 4th, Brady's Bunch is poised to dominate the league with a projected record of 11-3-0 and a projected points total of 1988.07. It seems like this team knows how to pick 'em, except for their one misstep in selecting Samaje Perine at 97, who had an ADP of 119. But hey, nobody's perfect, right?
One of the highlights of Brady's Bunch's draft strategy was snagging De'Von Achane at pick 177, who had an ADP of 128. Talk about a steal! This team also took a gamble by drafting three players from the same team: Stefon Diggs, Jordan Poyer, and Matt Milano. Perhaps they're hoping for some magical synergy between these players, or maybe they just really like that team's jerseys. With a schedule difficulty ranking of 19th out of 20 teams, Brady's Bunch won't have it easy, but they're ready to prove that they're more than just a bunch of Bradys. Watch out, SMALL TOWN AMERICA II, because Brady's Bunch is coming for you!
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ADP Analysis
Bars above zero indicate a pick was selected later than a player's ADP. Bars below zero show players that were taken earlier than their ADP.
Inside the Draft
Player Outlooks
- Round 1, Pick 17 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 6 - 2022 Rank: 28
Diggs' couldn't have asked for a better career development than being traded to Buffalo back in 2020, as each of his three seasons with the Bills resulted in more receiving yards and more catches than any of his five years in Minnesota. Heading into his age-30 season, Diggs is coming off three straight Pro Bowls and a 2022 campaign that saw him set a new career-high TD mark with 11 scores, including three in Week 2 alone. As the clear No. 1 target for Josh Allen, Diggs has averaged 112.7 catches for 1,396.3 yards and 9.7 touchdowns per season in his time with the Bills, solidifying himself as one of the few true alpha wideouts in the league. First-round rookie TE Dalton Kincaid a crowded cast of complementary options, but none of Gabe Davis, Khalil Shakir or Dawson Knox are a true threat to Diggs' target share. As he approaches his age-30 season, remember that Diggs will some day begin to slow down. But he hasn't shown any signs of that yet. For now, the veteran is attached to an elite quarterback and established as the unquestioned No. 1 option amid his offense.
- Round 2, Pick 24 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 10 - 2022 Rank: 51
After being eased into his role during the first half of his 2021 rookie season, St. Brown has been an excellent fantasy producer. Last year, he had a strong weekly scoring floor, as he was targeted at least nine times and posted at least 60 yards in 12 games. St. Brown ran 76% of his snaps from the slot and had an impressive 72nd percentile yards after the catch rate. Despite missing one game while also seeing very limited snaps in the following two games, St. Brown ended the season with 149 targets. That target total ranked 9th in the NFL. There is a strong chance St. Brown maintains that high target count in 2023. Fellow wideout Jameson Williams has been suspended due to a gambling issue. And talented tight end T.J Hockenson is now in Minnesota. St. Brown is clearly quarterback Jared Goff's favorite option. Based on what St. Brown displayed in his first two seasons, he should be in the conversation as a top-15 selection in fantasy drafts, though in many PPR formats he'll often go in the first 10 picks.
- Round 3, Pick 57 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 38 - 2022 Rank: 57
Cooper rebounded in 2022 after a slow finish to his three-and-a-half year tenure in Dallas. Despite playing most of the season with mediocre quarterback Jacoby Brissett, the veteran wideout reached career highs with nine touchdowns and 132 targets (tying his previous best), also recording 1,160 yards (his second most). Although Cooper has not quite lived up to his predraft hype as a potential high-end WR1, he has six 1,000-yard campaigns in nine years and has never scored fewer than five touchdowns in a season. Last year he actually had better numbers while playing with Brissett than he had with Deshaun Watson. Granted, four of Watson's six games were home contests in Cleveland during December/January, with wind being a factor in at least three of those. The Browns do have other proven offensive weapons in TE David Njoku and WR Donovan Peoples-Jones, and offseason addition Elijah Moore has ample potential even after a disappointing 2022 in New York. The larger concern is that Watson did not perform at his usual level last year. If that continues into 2023, it'll be hard for Cooper to match his 2022 stats.
- Round 4, Pick 64 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 121 - 2022 Rank: 548
Pitts took a big step back between his rookie year in 2021 and his sophomore campaign in 2022. Before suffering a knee injury in his 11th game, he had scored twice while averaging 35.6 yards per game. Pitts had two solid games with 80 and 87 yards but was held under 30 yards seven times. Although Pitts didn't do much with his chances, he at least was targeted between five and nine times in each of his last five games. He remained the focal point of a low-volume passing game. Going into 2023, we're not questioning Pitts' talent. He's still one of the most physically gifted tight ends to ever come out of the college ranks, and it's highly likely he increases his production from last year. But if the offense is still run-heavy and sophomore WR Drake London is also handling a large target share, Pitts might not put up huge numbers even if he performs better. A shaky QB situation adds to the concern, with second-year pro Desmond Ridder having averaged only 6.2 yards per pass attempt in four games as a rookie last year.
- Round 5, Pick 97 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 91 - 2022 Rank: 227
Signed to a two-year, $7.5 million contract in free agency, Perine is Denver's insurance for Javonte Williams while Williams recovers from his season-ending ACL/LCL injury from Week 4. New coach Sean Payton likely appreciated Perine's ability to play passing-down snaps, as Perine can make an impact both as a pass catcher and in blitz pickup. His dense, 240-pound frame allows Perine to withstand big volume if necessary, so his presence buys enough time for Williams to progress at whatever pace the Broncos want. With a career total of 1,592 yards and seven touchdowns rushing at 4.0 yards per carry, however, it's safe to say that Perine is volume-dependent as a runner. So long as Williams is active, it's difficult to imagine Perine claiming the rushing volume necessary to stand out. If the volume is up for grabs, though, Perine is prepared to shoulder it.
- Round 6, Pick 104 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 113 - 2022 Rank: 1508
Even though the Seahawks had a strong rookie season from Kenneth Walker last year, the team used their second-round draft pick for the second year in a row to add Charbonnet. While in college, Charbonnet forced many missed tackles while also having the power to break tackles as well. In addition, he caught 37 passes and proved to be a solid receiver. It's possible that he was drafted to add depth to a thin backfield, but Seattle may also want Charbonnet to be a big factor in their backfield. It's likely that Walker has the edge for lead work going into the season, though Charbonnet should see significant work each week. However, if Charbonnet outplays Walker, don't be surprised if coach Pete Carroll changes the running back roles.
- Round 7, Pick 137 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 117 - 2022 Rank: 17
Carr threw 24 or fewer TD passes in five of the last six years. He also has been held to fewer than 29 TD passes in nine of 10 seasons with a career high of 32 in 2015. It speaks volumes that the Raiders basically sent him home for the last three games of last season, eventually letting him walk with no real backup plan or compensation in return. Joey Bosa called it out a couple of years ago when he said that Carr folds under pressure. Last year, Carr had good blocking from his tackles, though the interior was a mess. Now with the Saints, he'll have solid RT play from Ryan Ramczyk. But unless the other linemen make jumps in previous effectiveness, this line will be a problem for Carr. Expect the Saints to hope their defense can keep them competitive. Also, look for a slow pace on offense with an emphasis on the running game when possible. The downfield passing could be a problem due to the OL, so Carr will need to have success in the short and intermediate areas. He'll likely be a borderline top-24 QB.
- Round 8, Pick 144 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 176 - 2022 Rank: 35
There's some concern about the foot that Garoppolo injured in December and underwent surgical repair in March. That concern led the Raiders to word Garoppolo's three-year, $72.75 million contract such that he can be cut with no cap penalty unless he passes a physical at some unspecified point. The Raiders presumably plan on Garoppolo passing said physical, or else they (A) wouldn't have bothered pursuing him with such a high-dollar contract and (B) they would have done something more about the quarterback position otherwise than just signing Brian Hoyer and spending a fourth-round pick on Aidan Hutchinson. If Garoppolo is toast then so is the Raiders offense, and coach Josh McDaniels certainly doesn't want that, especially after such a disastrous 2022 season. If Garoppolo can stay healthy then he should be a stabilizing presence for the Raiders as they move on from Derek Carr, who did not take well to McDaniels' scheme. Garoppolo's familiarity with McDaniels from their New England days should hopefully make Garoppolo a better fit in 2023 than Carr was in 2022. With Davante Adams, Jakobi Meyers, and Hunter Renfrow to throw to, it would seem like Garoppolo has the necessary help to move the ball as long as that foot cooperates.
- Round 9, Pick 177 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 135 - 2022 Rank: 1521
The NFL hasn't seen a running back of Achane's undersized frame succeed as more than a gadget player since Warrick Dunn in 1997. On the other hand, smaller wide receivers have begun finding real success in the modern league, and Achane is a more than capable pass-catcher. It shouldn't be overlooked, though, that he did hold up to significant volume at Texas A&M. Neither of Raheem Mostert nor Jeff Wilson is a slouch, so it's not as though the rookie-third-round pick would have a clear path to workhorse status even if he did boast prototypical size. Excitement over Achane stems less from projections of the volume and more from what his tools and 4.32-40 speed might accomplish in coach Mike McDaniel's scheme. Schemed plays ought to be regularly featured for Achane, and if he's able to earn sizeable weekly volume in Miami's backfield timeshare, his production could surprise.
- Round 10, Pick 184 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 258 - 2022 Rank: 355
Hardman couldn't take advantage of Tyreek Hill's departure in his fourth season with the Chiefs last year, averaging less than 40 yards per game in the eight games he played. He'll once again get the advantage of playing with a future Hall of Fame quarterback in New York, though Aaron Rodger's substandard 2022 campaign could be reason for tampering expectations. The Jets' receiving corps is less crowded behind No. 1 Garrett Wilson after Corey Davis retired in August. Hardman is the only real speedster of the group, and his skillset doesn't significantly overlap with Allen Lazard, a more big-bodied chain mover. Tthe 25-year-old Hardman could well be a regular fixture in three-wide sets. The argument for Hardman as a post-hype sleeper isn't difficult, as long as he's indeed able to get healthy without setbacks, but fantasy may be fatigued enough for him to fall to the last round of drafts.
- Round 11, Pick 217 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 589 - 2022 Rank: 332
- Round 12, Pick 224 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 1166 - 2022 Rank: 133
Milano is as steady as they come and served in a prime role in the Bills' defense since 2018. He's topped 100 tackles only once in his career, which doesn't keep pace with his peers at the position. However, Milano stands out for his ability in coverage, as he has 38 pass breakups and eight picks across 85 career games. He inked a two-year extension with the Buffalo this offseason and is still in his prime heading into his age-29 campaign. Milano is set to once again anchor a strong defense while working as a core piece at outside linebacker.
- Round 13, Pick 257 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 1322 - 2022 Rank: 70
Edwards enjoyed a breakout 2022 season and emerged as a key member of the Eagles' excellent defense. His 1,005 snaps were 311 more than he had in the previous campaign, and he turned that into career-high marks in tackles (159) and passes defended (7). Edwards parlayed his production into a three-year, $19.5 million contract with the Bears this offseason. He'll play alongside Tremaine Edwards - another free-agent addition for Chicago - in a reimagined defense. While Edwards has just five sacks and two forced fumbles as a pro, he could become more of a playmaker on his new team as he's projected to shift from being inside to an outside linebacker. Regardless of exactly where he lines up, he'll be counted on for a similar workload in Chicago and thus should be a top IDP in the fall.
- Round 14, Pick 264 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 585 - 2022 Rank: 225
- Round 15, Pick 297 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 538 - 2022 Rank: 174
- Round 16, Pick 304 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 792 - 2022 Rank: 107
Kirksey is entering the final season of a two-year contract with the Texans and his 10th overall campaign in the NFL. He is coming off of his first fully healthy year for the first time since 2017, also topping 100 tackles for the first time in that span. Despite being limited in his snap count due to injury throughout his career, Kirksey has done a lot of damage in coverage. Across his last three seasons and 31 games, he has combined to rack up five interceptions and 17 pass breakups. Though Houston made some additions to its porous defense in 2022, Kirksey projects to maintain a significant role as he heads into his age-30 campaign. He'll look to pair with offseason addition Denzel Perryman as a fearsome duo among the team's linebacker corps.
- Round 17, Pick 337 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 359 - 2022 Rank: 194
Although he missed four games last year, Prater converted more than 84 percent of his field goals for the first time since 2018. Despite not being one of the more accurate kickers in the league, his leg strength is among the best in the NFL. Prater has converted at least five field goals of at least 50 yards on nine different occasions during his career. The biggest obstacle to Prater being a useful fantasy option is the state of the Arizona offense. Kyler Murray is a question mark to start the season, DeAndre Hopkins is no longer with the team and the offensive line projects to struggle again. If the team can't move the ball, Prater won't get the needed opportunities to be a weekly fantasy option.
- Round 18, Pick 344 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 233 - 2022 Rank: 320
With the Cardinals lacking weapons early in the 2022 season, mostly due to DeAndre Hopkins' suspension, Ertz provided fantasy managers with solid PPR performances. He recorded at least 40 yards in six of nine games while going over 50 yards twice. Between Weeks 3 and 6, he averaged 9.5 targets. However, he was showing clear signs of aging, with a fifth-percentile YAC rate. After the productive start, Ertz ended up missing the last seven games of the season after tearing his ACL. As a result, there's no guarantee that he's ready to contribute early in the 2023 campaign. Furthermore, last year's injury was the second time in three years he missed at least five games due to injury, but before he turned 30, he never missed more than two games in a season. These are definite signs of a player getting a bit older. With the likelihood that Ertz may not be at full health to start the season, it's possible that he is set for a diminished role while Trey McBride sees his role elevated. Ertz has had an amazing career, but spending a fantasy pick on him is unlikely to reap rewards.
- Round 19, Pick 377 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 1123 - 2022 Rank: 186
- Round 20, Pick 384 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 400 - 2022 Rank: 279
- Round 21, Pick 417 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 317 - 2022 Rank: 84
Fairbairn is one of the best kickers in the NFL, but his abilities haven't translated to fantasy success due to Houston's struggles on offense. He made 29 of 31 field-goal attempts in 2022 and went 6-for-6 from beyond 50 yards, but Fairbairn was limited to just 24 PAT attempts on a Houston team that averaged just 17.0 PPG. There's hope for substantial improvement from the Texans' offense with the arrival of second overall pick C.J. Stroud, but the rookie QB will likely go through some growing pains and is working with an underwhelming cast of pass catchers. As a result, Fairbairn's most likely outcome for 2023 is another low-volume, high-efficiency season.
- Round 22, Pick 424 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 202 - 2022 Rank: 515
Bourne seemingly fell out of favor with New England's coaching staff in his second year with the team, seeing his production drop from a 55-800-5 receiving line to 35-434-1 in 16 games. The focus is on Mac Jones and this passing attack heading into the 2023 campaign, and reports about Bourne this offseason have been more positive, meaning he could be a better fit with new offensive coordinator Bill O'Brien. His chances of emerging as a steady fantasy option remain somewhat slim, though. It will be difficult for Bourne to distinguish himself from JuJu Smith-Schuster, DeVante Parker and Tyquan Thornton, even if he does earn more consistent playing time. Plus, the addition of Mike Gesicki to Hunter Henry means the Patriots could lean heavily on two-TE sets.
- Round 23, Pick 457 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 1450 - 2022 Rank: 278
- Round 24, Pick 464 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 1217 - 2022 Rank: 219
- Round 25, Pick 497 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 1267 - 2022 Rank: 385
- Round 26, Pick 504 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 2548 - 2022 Rank: 561
Blackshear went undrafted out of Virginia Tech in April 2022 but ultimately played in 13 games for the Panthers during his rookie season. He typically served as the third-string running back, taking 23 carries for 77 yards and three touchdowns. He also caught 10 of the 12 targets for 93 additional yards, and passing downs seemingly represent his easiest path to significant playing time on offense this year. Offseason signing Miles Sanders takes over as the lead runner, but neither he nor likely backup Chuba Hubbard sports a strong track record for pass catching. Blackshear, on the other hand, caught 123 passes throughout his collegiate career and even had one season (2019) with as many catches as carries (29).
- Round 27, Pick 537 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 1266 - 2022 Rank: 458
- Round 28, Pick 544 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 1853 - 2022 Rank: 223
- Round 29, Pick 577 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 1851 - 2022 Rank: 265
- Round 30, Pick 584 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 1654 - 2022 Rank: 268
Team Forecast
Bye Week Points Lost
Each bar represents the total projected season points for each player that's on bye that week. This chart shows any potential bye week issues.
Schedule by Opponent Points
Week-by-week schedule with each opponent's projected season points. This chart shows any difficult or easy stretches in the schedule.
