In a draft order that had them waiting until the 18th pick, the Salem Satans managed to conjure up an A+ draft grade, leaving their fellow league members feeling a bit hexed. With 30 rounds to work their dark magic, the Satans carefully selected a roster that is projected to finish 4th in the league with a record of 11-3-0. Their projected points total of 2028.69 is sure to make their opponents tremble, despite facing the 13th toughest schedule out of the 20 teams. The Satans will have to navigate the treacherous waters of bye week 7, with 3 of their players taking a demonic break from action.
While every spellcaster has their ups and downs, the Salem Satans managed to make a few picks that raised eyebrows. Their best pick came in the form of D'Onta Foreman, who was snatched up at pick 178, well below his ADP of 129. A true steal for the Satans. However, their worst pick came early in the draft, when they selected Justin Herbert at pick 18, a far cry from his ADP of 54. It seems the Satans were hoping for a little too much dark magic from that particular player. In a curious twist, the Satans managed to draft not one, not two, but three players from the same team. Justin Herbert, Derwin James Jr., and Khalil Mack will be casting their spells together, hoping to bring their team to victory.
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ADP Analysis
Bars above zero indicate a pick was selected later than a player's ADP. Bars below zero show players that were taken earlier than their ADP.
Inside the Draft
Player Outlooks
- Round 1, Pick 18 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 61 - 2022 Rank: 9
By now it's safe to call Herbert one of the league's elite quarterbacks, even after a somewhat disappointing 2022 season saw his touchdown rate and per-pass yardage decline from his 2021 and 2020 seasons. It didn't make much sense for Herbert to only throw for 25 touchdowns in 2022 after throwing for 69 touchdowns over the two prior seasons, so the Chargers decided to make a switch at offensive coordinator, deleting Joe Lombardi's dink-and-dunk offense for a Kellen Moore scheme that will hopefully do more to unleash Herbert's standout downfield passing ability. Between Moore's addition and the selection of first-round wide receiver Quentin Johnston, it's shaping up to be a bounce-back season for Herbert and the Chargers offense. Although it seems Herbert won't ever be inclined to run much, he still has the athleticism to do so. He could provide fantasy production similar to Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen if he can just get his per-pass yardage up over 8.0 yards per attempt. If Herbert's pass attempt volume stabilizes while his per-pass returns spike upward, something like a 5,000-yard, 40-touchdown season could be on the table. He was already close in 2021, when he threw for 5,014 yards and 38 touchdowns.
- Round 2, Pick 23 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 18 - 2022 Rank: 25
It seems like Henry's decline is predicted every year, but the 29-year-old running back continues to churn out stellar seasons, and he made some major strides as a pass catcher last year that could help the bruising runner age more gracefully. Henry set career highs last season in targets (41), catches (33) and receiving yards (398) in 2022, nearly doubling his previous best of 206 receiving yards from 2019. Last season, Henry also churned out 1,538 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns on a league-high 349 carries - numbers right in line with his averages from the previous three seasons. The foot injury that limited Henry to eight games in 2021 is firmly in the rearview mirror, and he looked as spry as ever in 2022, as his 10 carries of 20-plus yards marked the second-highest such total of his career. There are concerns over how many scoring opportunities Henry will get given the state of Tennessee's passing game, and it's fair to wonder if this will be the year that his massive workloads finally catch up to him. But those same concerns haven't stopped Henry before, and he should once again get all the touches he can handle as the focal point of the Titans offense.
- Round 3, Pick 58 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 65 - 2022 Rank: 116
Moore hadn't been able to catch a break with the quarterbacks he's played with throughout his career. He is one of the most gifted receivers in the league, but we've yet to see him unlocked. Last year's 888 yards was the first time since his rookie year he's posted less than 1,157 yards. Of course, in his worst yardage season, he scored seven touchdowns, which was the first time in his career he had more than four. Using him in fantasy lineups was a rollercoaster ride. He had four games with fewer than 10 yards but three games with more than 100. He also was limited to 10-30 yards on four other occasions. He's still young as he enters his age-26 season. The good news is that even though we've yet to see it, Justin Fields should be the best QB he's ever played with. And if Fields plays to his perceived ability, Moore could be in line for a career year. But even if Fields doesn't show major improvement, with Moore as the clear lead receiver on the team, his floor should be the 1,150 yards and four touchdowns he averaged between 2019-2021.
- Round 4, Pick 63 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 503 - 2022 Rank: 137
Injuries continue to be an issue for James, who played only 14 games and 799 defensive snaps in 2022. However, when he's on the field there are few safeties who can match the production of the 17th overall pick in 2018. He's topped 100 tackles on three occasions, but more importantly, he has a knack for the big play. In addition to breaking up 13 passes in his rookie year, James has combined to tally 11 such plays in the last two years. He's also picked off four passes in that span while forcing five fumbles. With the addition of Erick Hendricks and the ongoing presence of Joey Bosa, the Chargers could prove to be a menace to opposing quarterbacks in 2023, but James' health will play a key role in that possibility.
- Round 5, Pick 98 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 109 - 2022 Rank: 281
During his second NFL season last year, Freiermuth's involvement as a pass catcher increased significantly compared to his rookie campaign. However, he dipped from seven touchdowns in 2021 to only two in 2022, suffering from poor QB play and Pittsburgh's overall struggles in the red zone. It was otherwise a strong year, as the 2021 second-round pick set new highs with 63 catches, 732 yards, and 98 targets. Freiermuth tied for fourth among tight ends in overall targets but finished with only 13 red-zone targets, falling well short of the 20 he had in 2021. He has not yet caught a touchdown from Kenny Pickett. The Steelers added more focus on their offensive line during the offseason, settling for WR Allen Robinson and third-round rookie TE Darnell Washington as additions at the skill positions. While Freiermuth sprained the ACL and MCL in his left knee during Pittsburgh's season finale, he did not require surgery to recover and is expected to participate in training camp as usual. He figures to be one of the team's top three pass catchers, alongside WRs Diontae Johnson and George Pickens.
- Round 6, Pick 103 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 1139 - 2022 Rank: 46
Bolton was selected in the second round of the 2021 NFL Draft and has quickly proven to be a force in the middle of the defense. As a rookie, he registered 112 tackles as a part of a rotation amongst the linebacker corps. In his second campaign, Bolton topped 1,000 snaps and increased his production to a whopping 180 tackles (108 solo). As would be expected, his primary assignment is to sit in the middle of the field, leaving him with limited sack upside. On the other hand, the next step in Bolton's career could be his work in coverage, as he picked off two passes in 2022 and also logged three passes deflected. Overall, he should rank among the most sought-after IDP options.
- Round 7, Pick 138 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 1282 - 2022 Rank: 73
Entering his ninth NFL season, Mosley has emerged as one of the most consistent tacklers in the league, topping 100 stops on six occasions. However, he's particularly blossomed under coach Robert Saleh in the last two years, posting his two highest tackle-total seasons and totaling 326 stops. Even at a relatively advanced age of 31, Mosley has recently shown the ability to improve his skills. He tallied seven passes defensed in 2022, his highest mark since the 2017 season. Given the wear and tear on his body, there will be some risk that Mosley will either lose a step or lose out on playing time due to injury in 2023 and beyond. However, it's hard to argue with his track record until he shows tangible signs of slowing down.
- Round 8, Pick 143 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 112 - 2022 Rank: 1511
Mims could very well prove a steal of a late-second-round pick, considering he was a remarkably productive player at Oklahoma, boasting absurd efficiency stats even as the team's most-targeted receiver. Mims just turned 21 in March, yet in his Oklahoma career he caught 123 passes for 2,398 yards and 20 touchdowns on just 183 targets (67.2 percent catch rate, 13.1 yards per target). It's highly unusual for a receiver to produce efficiency stats like that as a team's lead target over a three-year span, especially all before turning 21. With sub-4.4 wheels and a rare ability to track downfield passes, Mims could be the next T.Y. Hilton or something similar. Even if he is, though, it might take a year for Mims to get the space to prove it, as he's unlikely to be more than the No. 3 receiver in an offense that already has Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton.
- Round 9, Pick 178 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 232 - 2022 Rank: 275
Foreman is one of the true success stories of a player making it back from an Achilles injury. Once Christian McCaffrey was traded away by the Panthers last year, Foreman stepped into a large role. His 203 carries was the first big workload he had in his career. And he responded very well by posting a career-high 4.5 yards per carry. Despite having just a 25th-percentile broken-tackle rate, he was 76th percentile in yards after contact. But as good as some of his numbers looked, he was inconsistent. He had five games with at least 113 rushing yards. Conversely, he was held to fewer than 25 yards four times. And his performances weren't based on the level of competition. He had some excellent games against strong defenses while having some poor performances against weaker defenses. Now with Chicago, Foreman should bring the thunder to Khalil Herbert's lighting to form a one-two punch in the backfield. Foreman should profile as the primary goal-line back, though Justin Fields is sure to be a factor at the goal. Even though the Bears drafted Roschon Johnson in the fourth round, Foreman is likely a better RB at this stage, and Johnson may not be a major threat to Foreman's role. In his current situation, Foreman has RB2 or flex value in drafts.
- Round 10, Pick 183 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 549 - 2022 Rank: 113
- Round 11, Pick 218 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 209 - 2022 Rank: 177
Peoples-Jones, a 2020 sixth-round pick, progressed from being a part-time deep threat his first two seasons to a regular starter in 2022. In 17 games played last season, he had a receiving line of 61 catches, 839 yards and three touchdowns on 96 targets. Compared to the previous year, Peoples-Jones had 38 more targets but recorded a drop in his average depth of target (aDOT) from 15.4 to 11.7. Furthermore, his yards per catch (YPC) and yards per target (YPT) decreased from 17.6 to 13.8 and 10.3 to 8.7, respectively. However, the Browns swung a trade this offseason for fellow wide receiver Elijah Moore, a 2021 second-round pick who is much smaller than Peoples-Jones at 5-10, 178, but also far more agile and faster (4.35 40). Although it's unclear whether Peoples-Jones and Moore will compete for a starting job or if Moore will be limited to being the No. 3 receiver in the slot, there is tough target competition behind Amari Cooper this year either way. The Browns also added WR Cedric Tillman in the third round to assist QB Deshaun Watson, and they already have a legitimate receiving threat at tight end in David Njoku.
- Round 12, Pick 223 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 553 - 2022 Rank: 372
- Round 13, Pick 258 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 162 - 2022 Rank: 690
A fourth-round pick out of Wisconsin in 2022, Ferguson didn't post big receiving numbers in college. As a rookie, though, he showed flashes of being more than just a depth option in the NFL when injuries to Dalton Schultz pushed him into a more prominent role. Schultz was allowed to leave in free agency, and while Ferguson moved to the top of the depth chart as a result, he will face real competition for that spot from 2023 second-round pick Luke Schoonmaker, as well as fellow second-year tight end Peyton Hendershot. Schoonmaker was viewed as the better prospect when he was drafted, although he did battle foot issues over the summer that may have cost him some key development time. Even if Ferguson wins the Week 1 starting job, all three tight ends could wind up splitting the receiving workload.
- Round 14, Pick 263 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 221 - 2022 Rank: 85
Jacksonville promptly scooped up McManus after the 32-year-old kicker was released by the Broncos earlier this offseason. His career 81.4 percent conversion rate on field goals is nothing to write home about, but McManus has a big leg, and the Broncos didn't hesitate to have him attempt plenty of long kicks in the Denver altitude. Over the previous three seasons, McManus converted all 26 of his field-goal attempts from 40-49 yards but just 23 of 37 from 50-plus. His volume figures to go up on a Jaguars team that averaged 23.8 PPG last season compared to Denver's league-low 16.9, and Jacksonville's more likely to improve than regress in Trevor Lawrence's third season under center.
- Round 15, Pick 298 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 1122 - 2022 Rank: 81
After showing promise in his first two seasons in the NFL, Okereke emerged as a top inside linebacker across the second half of his rookie contract. Between 2021 and 2022 combined, he piled up 283 tackles for the Colts and was available for all 34 games. The third-round pick out of Stanford turned that production into a four-year, $40 million contract from the Giants this offseason. He'll enjoy working behind Leonard Williams and Dexter Lawrence, both of whom should help occupy blockers and keep Okereke clean to make plays. Okereke will immediately be counted upon as a leader in the middle of coordinator Don Martindale's scheme, as both of the Giants' top two tacklers from 2022 (Julian Love and Jaylon Smith) departed in free agency.
- Round 16, Pick 303 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 314 - 2022 Rank: 853
Strong didn't see many opportunities as a rookie, finishing 2022 with just 10 carries for 100 yards. He showcased his 4.37 40 speed with a 44-yard breakaway run, a glimpse of what could be to come should more opportunities arise in 2023. His second shot at NFL success comes in Cleveland, after the Patriots signed Ezekiel Elliott in August and later shipped Strong out in a cutdown-day trade. As much as getting trade after one season isn't the best sign for his NFL future, Strong has a nice opportunity immediately ahead with a Browns team that has minimal experience in the backfield behind starter Nick Chubb. It looks like Strong and Jerome Ford will compete for the second spot on the depth chart, potentially jockeying for position throughout the year.
- Round 17, Pick 338 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 1646 - 2022 Rank: 405
- Round 18, Pick 343 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 1105 - 2022 Rank: -
- Round 19, Pick 378 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 1414 - 2022 Rank: 375
- Round 20, Pick 383 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 304 - 2022 Rank: 346
Despite being an outside starting receiver for Trevor Lawrence last season in Jacksonville, Jones looked like he might be nearing the end of an excellent career. He saw a reasonable 81 targets but produced just 529 yards. In his last nine games, which included the playoffs, he reached 30 yards once. After a two years in Jacksonville, Jones returned to Detroit this offseason, where he played from 2016 to 2020, this offseason. Entering his age-33 season, he could easily find himself in a backup role, but his chances for snaps improved when 2022 first-round pick Jameson Williams was suspended six games to start the year. Jones will compete with Josh Reynolds and Kalif Raymond for a larger early season role with Amon-Ra St. Brown the top WR target.
- Round 21, Pick 418 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 1214 - 2022 Rank: 594
- Round 22, Pick 423 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 299 - 2022 Rank: 436
After four years with the Jets, Berrios chose to stay in the AFC East by signing a one-year deal with the Dolphins this offseason. The Dolphins are set at the top-two WR spots with Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, but Berrios could claim the No. 3 job. Berrios will have to beat out Cedrick Wilson and Robbie Chosen for the slot role, but neither is all that formidable. Running routes out of the slot could give Berrios some fantasy value in deeper leagues. Berrios is also a quality return man and likely the favorite to handle both punt and kickoff returns.
- Round 23, Pick 458 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 1858 - 2022 Rank: 211
- Round 24, Pick 463 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 293 - 2022 Rank: 327
When Dortch got opportunities last season, he often impressed. But those opportunities only came when teammates were injured, most notably Rondale Moore. By season's end, he had totaled 52 catches, 467 yards and two touchdowns. Dortch could have a better chance to make an impact this season. The Cardinals replaced DeAndre Hopkins, A.J.Green and Robbie Chosen for only rookie third-rounder Michael Wilson and Zach Pascal this offseason. Dortch should have a chance to claim the No. 3 role alongside Marquise Brown and Rondale Moore.
- Round 25, Pick 498 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 2465 - 2022 Rank: 1513
Washington's collegiate stat line from three seasons at Georgia may be considered underwhelming, with a total of only 45 receptions, 774 yards and three touchdowns. Nevertheless, he displayed good speed and agility at the 2023 Scouting Combine and had some first-round hype due to his massive frame (264 pounds) and impressive blocking skills. Ultimately, Washington was drafted by Pittsburgh in the third round, with reports suggesting he dropped due to medical concerns with his knee. Although Pat Freiermuth is locked in as the team's top tight end, Washington could quickly unseat Zach Gentry for the No. 2 role and might find his way to rookie-year fantasy value in the event of a Freiermuth injury. If nothing else, Washington gives the Steelers more versatility to use multi-TE sets and help the running game.
- Round 26, Pick 503 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 1906 - 2022 Rank: 126
Badgley played 12 games with the Lions last year, and he's been on five teams over his five-year career. He converted 83.3 percent of his field goals with Detroit, and he hasn't made more than 85.7 percent of his field-goal attempts since his rookie season in 2018. The Lions released Badgley this summer, but he ended up with the Titans in late August and now figures to enter Week 1 as their kicker. It's not the best team context for fantasy production, nor is Badgley among the league's best kickers.
- Round 27, Pick 538 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 526 - 2022 Rank: 217
- Round 28, Pick 543 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 383 - 2022 Rank: 428
- Round 29, Pick 578 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 2416 - 2022 Rank: 395
Robinson rushed for more than 4.5 yards per carry during his first two years in the league before tearing an Achilles tendon at the end of his second year in 2021. Although it's a difficult injury to return from, he averaged 4.2 yards per in seven games last season before the Jaguars traded him to the Jets. Once in New York, he didn't look explosive at all, gaining 2.9 yards per carry on 29 attempts and the team benched him after four games. Robinson signed a two-year deal with the Patriots in March only to be released in mid-June. He later signed with the Giants where he will get a shot to join the running back rotation. There could be extra touches up for grabs If Saquon Barkley holds out.
- Round 30, Pick 583 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 2663 - 2022 Rank: 500
White became the top QB option for the Jets last season, over Zach Wilson and Joe Flacco, before a rib injury derailed in him late in the year. But that wasn't exactly saying much -- he played just four games -- and when the Jets signed Aaron Rodgers, White became expendable. In Miami, he replaces Teddy Bridgewater as the backup to Tua Tagovailoa. Tua dealt with concussion issues last season and has yet to play more than 13 games in a season. If White is called upon, he'll have the best team setup of his career with Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle in a Mike McDaniel-coached offense.
Team Forecast
Bye Week Points Lost
Each bar represents the total projected season points for each player that's on bye that week. This chart shows any potential bye week issues.
Schedule by Opponent Points
Week-by-week schedule with each opponent's projected season points. This chart shows any difficult or easy stretches in the schedule.
