In the wild and competitive Rokhed NFL Dynasty league, the Bears emerged from their hibernation and roared to the top with an impressive draft performance. Despite picking 11th in the draft order, this team of gridiron enthusiasts managed to snag some hidden gems and build a powerhouse roster. With a draft grade of A+ and a projected finish in 1st place, the Bears are set to dominate the league and leave their opponents scratching their heads.
The Bears proved that they are no picnic for their rivals, strategically selecting players that are poised to deliver big points. Their best pick came in the form of Jared Goff, who was drafted at 191 despite having an ADP of 126. This steal of a selection is bound to make a significant impact on the Bears' success. However, not every pick was a touchdown dance. The team's worst pick was Jakobi Meyers, who was drafted at 151 despite having an ADP of 132. But hey, even the fiercest bears stumble every now and then. It's all part of the game, right?
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ADP Analysis
Bars above zero indicate a pick was selected later than a player's ADP. Bars below zero show players that were taken earlier than their ADP.
Inside the Draft
Player Outlooks
- Round 1, Pick 11 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 105 - 2022 Rank: 26
Jones wound up as a top-10 fantasy quarterback last year thanks to his rushing production, as his passing totals remained flat under new coach Brian Daboll. He did improve his accuracy though and threw fewer interceptions, as Daboll largely removed the downfield pass from the playbook and had the 26-year-old dink and dunk to keep the chains moving. While Jones may not have the downfield accuracy to test secondaries consistently, he also didn't have a lot to work with as injuries decimated an already lackluster receiving corps. The Giants made some effort to address that in the offseason, notably adding tight end Darren Waller in a trade with the Raiders. Jones was given a four-year, $160 million contract in March, which is a pretty clear sign Daboll think there's more untapped potential in the 2019 first-round pick, but expecting him to turn into the next Josh Allen is probably asking too much. As a positive, the resolution of Saquon Barkley's contract status (a one year deal) should maintain balance in the Giants' attack. Barkley's presence makes it difficult to for defenses to also spy on Jones' scrambling opportunities.
- Round 2, Pick 31 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 7 - 2022 Rank: 31
It doesn't diminish his legacy with Aaron Rodgers any in hindsight, but it's quite a testament to Adams' abilities that he moved from Green Bay to the Raiders and had almost no drop off in his production. Although it took an extra game in 2022 than 2021, Adams eclipsed 100 catches and 1,500 yards for the second year in a row last year. Adams even improved on the touchdown production from Green Bay to Las Vegas, scoring 14 times on his 100 catches last year compared to 11 times on 123 catches his final year with the Packers. Adams expressed dissatisfaction with the Raiders organization and its direction following the 2022 season, but that realization probably hit him at some point before then, yet it didn't stop Adams from producing at an elite level. What could perhaps harm Adams' production is the Raiders quarterback situation. Free agent pickup Jimmy Garoppolo should be good enough for Adams to thrive, but Garoppolo's surgically-repaired foot is such a concern that the Raiders wrote an out clause in Garoppolo's contract that allows them to cut him with no cap penalty. Brian Hoyer would be the likely backup if Garoppolo were to miss time, and it's difficult to feel totally secure with Adams if that's the type of quarterbacking he might have to deal with.
- Round 3, Pick 51 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 18 - 2022 Rank: 13
It seems like Henry's decline is predicted every year, but the 29-year-old running back continues to churn out stellar seasons, and he made some major strides as a pass catcher last year that could help the bruising runner age more gracefully. Henry set career highs last season in targets (41), catches (33) and receiving yards (398) in 2022, nearly doubling his previous best of 206 receiving yards from 2019. Last season, Henry also churned out 1,538 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns on a league-high 349 carries - numbers right in line with his averages from the previous three seasons. The foot injury that limited Henry to eight games in 2021 is firmly in the rearview mirror, and he looked as spry as ever in 2022, as his 10 carries of 20-plus yards marked the second-highest such total of his career. There are concerns over how many scoring opportunities Henry will get given the state of Tennessee's passing game, and it's fair to wonder if this will be the year that his massive workloads finally catch up to him. But those same concerns haven't stopped Henry before, and he should once again get all the touches he can handle as the focal point of the Titans offense.
- Round 4, Pick 71 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 28 - 2022 Rank: 212
Andrews had a massive year in 2021 with personal bests by margins of 43 catches (107) and 509 yards (1,361), including the most productive stretch of his career while catching passes from backup QB Tyler Huntley. It was a much different story in 2022, when Andrews averaged 63.1 yards in the nine games for which he and Lamar Jackson both were healthy but then dropped to 49.2 yards in five regular-season games with Huntley taking most of the snaps. All five of Andrews' TDs came from Jackson, who inked a five-year extension with Baltimore this offseason and now has more help after the signing of WR Odell Beckham and drafting of WR Zay Flowers. That amounts to more target competition for Andrews, but he's still the most trusted of Baltimore's receiving options and could end up running more routes under new offensive coordinator Todd Monken, formerly the OC at Georgia. Kansas City's Travis Kelce remains in a league of his own, of course, but it's otherwise hard to name another tight end with a floor or ceiling higher than Andrews'.
- Round 5, Pick 91 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 181 - 2022 Rank: 159
The 2022 season was a frustrating one for Butker, a kicker not used to struggling. An ankle injury in Week 1 seemed to stick with Butker for most of the year, and he ended up converting just 18 of his 24 field goal attempts in 13 games. If Butker had stayed healthy he would have likely posted a much better conversion rate. In each of the five prior seasons Butker finished with a field goal percentage of 88.9 or better, even while kicking often and regularly from long range. Now healthy again, Butker should resume his pre-2022 functions as a high-volume, high-efficiency kicker in one of the league's best offenses. Before 2022 Butker averaged 29 field goals and 47 PATs made per season.
- Round 6, Pick 111 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 70 - 2022 Rank: 161
Montgomery was serviceable, though not great during his four years in Chicago. He had less than 4.0 yards per carry in three of those years. Explosiveness is an issue. Last year, he was held to just two runs of 20 or more yards, which was the worst of his career. Just like in college, his broken tackle rate is excellent. He was in the 84th percentile in that category. However, he didn't do very much after getting defenders to miss. He ended up in the 50th percentile in yards after contact. He didn't reach 80 yards rushing in a game after Week 2, though he didn't see more than 17 carries in any game. He did see his receiving usage increase toward the end of the season. He was targeted three-to-five times in each of his last six games before a meaningless Week 18 contest. Although not the same physical presence, Montgomery should slot into much of the role that Jamaal Williams had with Detroit last year. The problem is that Montgomery is better as a pass catcher than a runner. And that's where Jahmyr Gibbs is likely superior. Also, Montgomery may not be at the same level of goal line back compared to Williams. It's a confusing situation, but the upside is a solid RB2 but there are many paths to him being just a flex option.
- Round 7, Pick 131 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 90 - 2022 Rank: 365
The Browns' displayed immense confidence in Njoku last offseason when they gave him a franchise tag and then signed him to a four-year extension. It was a bit surprising on the heels of back-to-back years with modest receiving production while sharing snaps with fellow tight end Austin Hooper. But then with Hooper moving to Tennessee last year, Njoku took over a three-down role and was on pace for career highs in nearly every significant receiving category before lower-body injuries cost him three full games and parts of two others in the middle of the year. Njoku nonetheless managed personal bests for receptions (58) and catch rate (72.5 percent) and fell only 11 yards shy (628) of his 2018 total. Njoku turns 27 this summer - he's young for a seventh-year pro - and should have a similarly crucial role in the Browns offense, creating upside for big-time production if Deshaun Watson gets back to his Houston level of play at QB. There's more competition for targets after the Browns added WRs Elijah Moore and Cedric Tillman and TE Jordan Akins, but the new additions won't necessarily threaten Njoku's standing as a three-down tight end who rarely leaves the field. A more comfortable Watson could see Njoku score more than last year's four touchdowns.
- Round 8, Pick 151 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 89 - 2022 Rank: 222
Meyers continues to ascend as an NFL wideout, a conversion project that started in 2016 after he arrived to North Carolina State as a quarterback recruit. Perhaps Meyers will unveil a trick pass now and then, but at this point he's established himself as a natural wide receiver. After primarily lining up as a slot receiver in New England, Josh McDaniels might envision more of an all-around role for Meyers with the Raiders, if only because it's impossible to see how slot specialist Hunter Renfrow would see the field if it were Meyers in the slot. It's not a given that Meyers thrives outside -- his 4.63-second 40 is not normally what you look for in a boundary wideout -- but his lack of speed can be mitigated somewhat if the Raiders line up with tight splits. If the Raiders line up in narrow formations then it places Meyers a little closer to the slot than if he were lining up closer to the sideline, and perhaps that's all the accommodation he needs. With 303 targets on his last 2,180 snaps (118 per 850 snaps) and a three-year, $33 million contract in hand it's safe to say that Meyers will be busy with the Raiders one way or another. As long as Jimmy Garoppolo (foot) stays healthy, Meyers should be a decent bet to surpass 70 catches on the year, even with Davante Adams raking ahead of him.
DEF - Round 9, Pick 171 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 210 - 2022 Rank: 5
Though the 2022 campaign was a substandard effort for the Patriots as a whole, the defense remained a clear strength. New England finished the season only allowing 20.4 points per game, 11th best in the league, while finishing second in turnovers and third in sacks. Coach Bill Belichick's ability to make the most out of his talent on defense is beyond repute. First-round rookie cornerback Christian Gonzalez joins a number of other high-end talents, namely OLB Matthew Judon, ILB Ja'Whaun Bentley, S Kyle Dugger and CB Jonathan Jones. Those names lead a unit that also boasts solid depth, providing plenty of reason for optimism that this defense can remain excellent in 2023. That'll need to be the case for the Patriots to find success, considering the other rosters in this division.
- Round 10, Pick 191 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 115 - 2022 Rank: 8
In many fantasy leagues, Goff was an afterthought going into the 2022 season. He ended up being a very strong fantasy performer. His 29:7 TD:INT was the best of his seven-year career. He also had an impressive 65.1% completion rate. Although that percentage was 2% lower than his previous two seasons, that could be explained away by his 7.6 yards per attempt, which was his highest in the previous four years. Goff completed 12 passes of at least 40 yards while posting 300 yards in five games. The only knock on his season was that he was very different at home versus on the road. He threw 23 touchdown passes at home but only six in away games. Goff has very good weapons going into the season, though Jameson Williams will miss the first six games (suspension). It's clear that the Detroit coaching staff is willing to let their quarterback air the ball out. Since it's possible that Goff's road struggles continue, he may be best viewed as a streaming option in leagues that require one starting quarterback.
- Round 11, Pick 211 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 154 - 2022 Rank: 981
Williams will miss the first six games of the year due to suspension. As a rookie last year, he was eased into the lineup after suffering an ACL injury during his last year in college. He was targeted nine times, but he showed game-breaking speed -- his only catch was a 41-yard touchdown. Even when he was running routes on which he wasn't targeted, he usually looked like the fastest player on the field. And although it didn't show up on the stat sheet, he had a 66-yard touchdown called back by penalty. In fantasy drafts, he should be treated with the uncertainty of a supremely talented rookie with a ceiling of 11 games played. But the traits that led him to be a first-round pick are apparent.
- Round 12, Pick 231 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 620 - 2022 Rank: 432
- Round 13, Pick 251 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 1131 - 2022 Rank: 169
Not all careers progress linearly, but Wilson's certainly has. A third-round pick in 2020, Wilson served primarily on special teams as a rookie. He took a step forward in 2021, only to truly break out in 2022 by tallying 123 tackles and 2.5 sacks. Though he's not overly athletic, Wilson has shown enough intelligence to be an asset in coverage as he has racked up 11 passes defended and seven interceptions across 40 career games. He's a true three-down linebacker. Heading into the final year of his rookie contract, Wilson will certainly be a key member of the Bengals defense yet again. The only question is his health, as he's missed eight games in his three-year career.
- Round 14, Pick 271 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 592 - 2022 Rank: 182
In a move that was hotly debated, the Steelers traded a first-round pick for Fitzpatrick in 2019. He's certainly held up his end of the deal, averaging 100 tackles and four interceptions in his three full seasons with Pittsburgh. Those stats don't accurately describe the impact that Fitzpatrick has on the defense, as he's proven to be a big-play threat in coverage. He's tallied at least nine pass breakups in all but one of his seasons. In addition, his ball-hawking has translated into five career touchdowns, including a 31-yard interception return in a Week 1 win against the Bengals in 2022. That big-play potential is the secret weapon in Fitzpatrick's fantasy arsenal, something that sets him apart from most other IDP options.
- Round 15, Pick 291 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 1858 - 2022 Rank: 235
- Round 16, Pick 311 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 304 - 2022 Rank: 435
Despite being an outside starting receiver for Trevor Lawrence last season in Jacksonville, Jones looked like he might be nearing the end of an excellent career. He saw a reasonable 81 targets but produced just 529 yards. In his last nine games, which included the playoffs, he reached 30 yards once. After a two years in Jacksonville, Jones returned to Detroit this offseason, where he played from 2016 to 2020, this offseason. Entering his age-33 season, he could easily find himself in a backup role, but his chances for snaps improved when 2022 first-round pick Jameson Williams was suspended six games to start the year. Jones will compete with Josh Reynolds and Kalif Raymond for a larger early season role with Amon-Ra St. Brown the top WR target.
- Round 17, Pick 331 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 314 - 2022 Rank: 895
Strong didn't see many opportunities as a rookie, finishing 2022 with just 10 carries for 100 yards. He showcased his 4.37 40 speed with a 44-yard breakaway run, a glimpse of what could be to come should more opportunities arise in 2023. His second shot at NFL success comes in Cleveland, after the Patriots signed Ezekiel Elliott in August and later shipped Strong out in a cutdown-day trade. As much as getting trade after one season isn't the best sign for his NFL future, Strong has a nice opportunity immediately ahead with a Browns team that has minimal experience in the backfield behind starter Nick Chubb. It looks like Strong and Jerome Ford will compete for the second spot on the depth chart, potentially jockeying for position throughout the year.
- Round 18, Pick 351 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 226 - 2022 Rank: -
Entering the draft, Wilson projected as a depth receiver, perhaps playing only on the outside. At 6-foot-2, 213, he has good size to play on the boundary. His college strengths were his ability as a blocker as well as him running hard after the catch. Conversely, Wilson often failed to use his size well, as cornerbacks often got him off his route, and that issue is likely magnified at the next level. Also, his route running was not crisp and he often failed to get separation from defenders. Finally, Wilson was slow and showed little agility during his testing at the combine. Despite his scouting profile, with DeAndre Hopkins no longer on the roster, Wilson might be the only option for a big receiver to play on the perimeter. None of the top-3 WR -- Marquise Brown, Rondale Moore and Greg Dortch -- is taller than 5-9.
- Round 19, Pick 371 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 274 - 2022 Rank: 372
Carter regressed as a sophomore last year as his yards per carry dropped to 3.5 after averaging 4.3 as a rookie. His total scrimmage yardage also declined from 964 to 690, despite Breece Hall missing most of the year with an ACL tear after having established himself as the No. 1 option. Once Hall is back to full health there may not be much work left for Carter, especially after the Jets signed Dalvin Cook in August. The 5-foot-8, 201-pound Carter is best suited for a change-of-pace role, as he boasts elusiveness and pass-catching chops, but he'll likely have to compete to secure any such complementary gig behind Hall and Cook.
- Round 20, Pick 391 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 265 - 2022 Rank: 621
In 2022, Marshall started his second season on a low note but gradually became more involved, making 28 catches (out of 47 targets) for 490 yards and one touchdown in 14 games. This offseason, the Panthers traded their top wideout, DJ Moore, to the Bears. Even so, Marshall is far from assured of a starting job after the Panthers signed WRs Adam Thielen and DJ Chark and used a second-round pick on Jonathan Mingo. There is a chance Marshall emerges as one of the better options from that group, considering he's a recent second-round pick (2021) and still only 23 years old. Marshall and Chark might end up competing for the same snaps and targets, offering similar builds and skill sets, in addition to some coincidental similarities (both were second-round picks out of LSU). Thielen and Mingo, on the other hand, seem more likely to see passes in the short areas of the field.
- Round 21, Pick 411 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 890 - 2022 Rank: 422
Andersen, a 2022 second-round pick, began his rookie season in a reserve role but steadily increased his workload as the season progressed. Ultimately, he replaced Mykal Walker as a starting inside linebacker after Atlanta's Week 14 bye and posted 21 tackles across his final four games. He finished his rookie campaign with 69 stops, one forced fumble, and one pass defended. Andersen is known for his speed, which should allow him to stick with opposing backs and tight ends in coverage. It could also mean an increase in pass-rushing responsibility, as he had zero sacks in his rookie campaign. Overall, Andersen should be viewed as a full-time starter heading into his sophomore season, though Walker remains on the roster and could be a threat to Andersen's role if he stumbles.
Team Forecast
Bye Week Points Lost
Each bar represents the total projected season points for each player that's on bye that week. This chart shows any potential bye week issues.
Schedule by Opponent Points
Week-by-week schedule with each opponent's projected season points. This chart shows any difficult or easy stretches in the schedule.
