In the high-flying world of the Rokhed NFL Dynasty, the Eagles have spread their wings and soared to an impressive draft grade of A. Despite picking last in the draft order, this team managed to make some savvy selections and left their competitors green with envy. With a projected record of 11-3-0, the Eagles are ready to swoop down on their opponents and snatch victory from their talons. Their projected finish of 5th shows that they're no mere pigeons, but rather a formidable force to be reckoned with.
While the Eagles may have had a few missteps in their draft, they still managed to make some eye-catching picks. Their best pick of the draft was undoubtedly Irv Smith Jr., who was snagged at an impressive 180th spot, well below their ADP of 129. This steal of a selection is sure to make the rest of the league squawk in disbelief. However, not every pick was a soaring success. The Eagles' worst pick was Rashee Rice, who was drafted at 120th, just slightly above their ADP of 130. Perhaps this pick was a bit of a bird-brained decision, but only time will tell if it comes back to peck them in the end.
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ADP Analysis
Bars above zero indicate a pick was selected later than a player's ADP. Bars below zero show players that were taken earlier than their ADP.
Inside the Draft
Player Outlooks
- Round 1, Pick 20 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 116 - 2022 Rank: 12
After throwing 34 touchdowns in 45 career games, Smith threw 30 touchdown passes last year. Before throwing for 4,282 yards last year, his best prior season was his 2013 rookie season when he threw for 3,046. He was an incredible success story after being written off as a fantasy option, and he didn't even win the Seahawks starting job until the last game of the preseason. For most of last season, Smith was very consistent. He threw multiple touchdowns in 10 of 11 games between Weeks 3 and 14. However, Smith ended the season slowly. He threw exactly one touchdown pass in three of his last four games while also throwing for 215 or fewer yards in each of his last three games. There's always concern about paying up for a career year in fantasy football, and with Smith's career year coming at age 31, it raises a lot of red flags. However, offensive coordinator Shane Waldron's offense requires a strong processor at quarterback, and Smith has always been that. In addition, he has excellent wide receiver weapons along with a good running game. Seattle also addressed their offensive line last season, so that it was no longer a liability. Overall, Smith is definitely in position to succeed with another strong season. It's also possible the stars aligned perfectly and his great prior season may see him regress back to career form. Since he is typically being selected outside the top quarterback options in fantasy drafts, there isn't a lot of risk in selecting him.
- Round 2, Pick 40 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 47 - 2022 Rank: 160
The Rams offense was a mess last year, largely due to offensive line issues as well as the lack of a rushing attack. Also, free agent addition Allen Robinson didn't work out for the team, and all they really had to lean on at that point was Kupp. From a production standpoint, he mostly picked up where he left off in 2021. He had at least nine targets in all but one game. He also had at least 122 yards in four of eight games. Kupp also had at least 79 yards in seven of the eight games he played. However, he suffered an ankle injury that cost him the last eight games of the season. Other than missing eight games in 2018 as well, he had a very healthy career to date. Even though Kupp's entering his age-30 season, there appeared to be no sign of decline last year. He still should be a very high floor and high ceiling fantasy option. and Kupp should be an obvious first-round draft pick in most leagues. But keep your eye on an in-practice hamstring injury that Kupp suffered in early August.
- Round 3, Pick 60 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 10 - 2022 Rank: 121
After being eased into his role during the first half of his 2021 rookie season, St. Brown has been an excellent fantasy producer. Last year, he had a strong weekly scoring floor, as he was targeted at least nine times and posted at least 60 yards in 12 games. St. Brown ran 76% of his snaps from the slot and had an impressive 72nd percentile yards after the catch rate. Despite missing one game while also seeing very limited snaps in the following two games, St. Brown ended the season with 149 targets. That target total ranked 9th in the NFL. There is a strong chance St. Brown maintains that high target count in 2023. Fellow wideout Jameson Williams has been suspended due to a gambling issue. And talented tight end T.J Hockenson is now in Minnesota. St. Brown is clearly quarterback Jared Goff's favorite option. Based on what St. Brown displayed in his first two seasons, he should be in the conversation as a top-15 selection in fantasy drafts, though in many PPR formats he'll often go in the first 10 picks.
- Round 4, Pick 80 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 13 - 2022 Rank: 21
There are very few players in NFL history who compare to Ekeler, and aside from maybe Jahmyr Gibbs, none are in the league today. Among active players Ekeler is one of a kind, and the Chargers offense would be in a lot of trouble without him. Ekeler has reached volume/efficiency thresholds as a pass catcher otherwise only matched historically by Marshall Faulk, so when a pass catcher that productive adds 25 rushing touchdowns over two years it's unsurprising that Ekeler is now a consensus first-round fantasy pick. Ekeler is too small to hold up with a big rushing workload (that's why he's not Faulk), but his per-carry returns are excellent and his effectiveness as a runner should never be questioned. As much as Ekeler might be vulnerable to rushing touchdown regression, it won't occur on the basis of ability - if the touchdown carries are there for the taking, Ekeler is still a great bet to claim them. After a brief contract standoff earlier in the offseason, Ekeler raised the white flag and clarified that he will report for training camp.
- Round 5, Pick 100 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 53 - 2022 Rank: 70
Sanders signed a four-year, $25 million contract with the Panthers in March, cashing in after a career year in 2022 which included 1,269 yards and 11 touchdowns on the ground in 17 games for Philadelphia. He won't be playing in a top offense anymore, but with the Panthers, he'll make far more money and have a secure rushing workload. The Eagles had a variety of options at their disposal and would sometimes go away from Sanders in the game plan, which made his production inconsistent even in 2022. He'll likely average fewer yards per carry with the Panthers, but he may also get more overall touches after averaging between 13.5 and 16.4 per game in four seasons with the Eagles. Chuba Hubbard looms as a capable alternative, though he might get the bulk of his work on passing downs where Sanders is less useful. While that might come with the risk of getting phased out of the offense when the Panthers abandon the run, it's also possible Sanders gets more involved in the passing game (only 20 catches last year) on early downs.
- Round 6, Pick 120 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 147 - 2022 Rank: -
The Chiefs surprised most when they selected Rice in the second round of the 2023 NFL Draft (55th overall), as the former SMU star was more so expected to be a Day 3 selection. The Chiefs might have been onto something, though, because Rice was a very productive player at SMU and his athletic testing at the combine was better than expected (4.51-second 40, 41-inch vertical at 6-foot-1, 204). Not just that, but Patrick Mahomes requested that the Chiefs select Rice at some point in the draft. In addition to his springy athleticism, Rice plays with a physicality that makes him a threat both at the catch point and as a ballcarrier after the catch. Fantasy drafters might be leery of Rice's rookie season after Skyy Moore disappointed as a second-round pick in 2022, but it's worth noting that Rice has a more versatile skill set than Moore. Whereas Moore can only realistically earn snaps in the slot, Rice can credibly compete for reps at any wide receiver position in the Chiefs offense.
- Round 7, Pick 140 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 191 - 2022 Rank: 579
The opposite of a lucky Penny, the San Diego State product has never been able to put together a full, healthy season in the NFL, topping out at 14 games in his rookie campaign and playing just 28 of a possible 66 games in the four years since due to a number of injuries, mainly to his lower body. Seattle let him hobble out the door after his rookie contract expired, and the Eagles were able to sign him to a cheap one-year deal despite the fact the 2018 first-round pick has been incredibly productive the last couple of years when he's been on the field. Penny heads into this season as part of a backfield committee that also includes fellow injury-prone newcomer D'Andre Swift and depth options with plenty of experience in the offense in Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott, and the reduced workload that comes with that set-up might just allow the former Seahawk to stay mostly healthy. Penny averaged 6.2 yards per carry over the last two seasons for Seattle, and he gets a massive upgrade in blocking with the elite Philadelphia offensive line in front of him, so the per-touch upside is there if he manages to avoid breaking down again.
DEF - Round 8, Pick 160 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 174 - 2022 Rank: 23
Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City offense will always be the first thing that comes to mind when you think of the Chiefs, but the defense could be on the verge of becoming one of their best in a long time. It's already a pretty good defense -- their 55 sacks last year were tied for second behind the Eagles (70), and that was before adding first-round pick Felix Anudike-Uzomah from Kansas State. The Chiefs will continue to see ample pass-rushing opportunities with Mahomes forcing opponents to play catch-up, and both the linebackers and secondary are loaded with young, improving talents.The Chiefs defense is deep and varied with talent, which should afford defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo a wide variety of unpredictable personnel and playcalling combinations. High-scoring division or not, the Chiefs should be a good fantasy defense if only due to their pass-rushing and turnover upside.
- Round 9, Pick 180 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 189 - 2022 Rank: 751
Smith is on track to become the Bengals' third starting tight end in as many seasons. In 2022, Hayden Hurst filled that role and caught 52 passes for 414 yards and two touchdowns on 68 targets in 13 games, after C.J. Uzomah caught 49 passes for 493 yards and five TDs on 63 targets in 2021. A 2019 second-round pick, Smith is getting an interesting second chance after signing a one-year, $1.75 million contract this offseason. His last two years in Minnesota were undone by knee surgery and a major ankle injury, with the Vikings opting to trade for fellow tight end T.J. Hockenson after Smith disappointed early last season and then went down with the high-ankle sprain. Now healthy, Smith turns 25 in August and will compete for snaps in a weak TE room that includes Drew Sample, a 2019 second-round pick who suffered a season-ending knee injury after two games last year.
- Round 10, Pick 220 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 1322 - 2022 Rank: 108
Edwards enjoyed a breakout 2022 season and emerged as a key member of the Eagles' excellent defense. His 1,005 snaps were 311 more than he had in the previous campaign, and he turned that into career-high marks in tackles (159) and passes defended (7). Edwards parlayed his production into a three-year, $19.5 million contract with the Bears this offseason. He'll play alongside Tremaine Edwards - another free-agent addition for Chicago - in a reimagined defense. While Edwards has just five sacks and two forced fumbles as a pro, he could become more of a playmaker on his new team as he's projected to shift from being inside to an outside linebacker. Regardless of exactly where he lines up, he'll be counted on for a similar workload in Chicago and thus should be a top IDP in the fall.
- Round 11, Pick 240 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 221 - 2022 Rank: 73
Jacksonville promptly scooped up McManus after the 32-year-old kicker was released by the Broncos earlier this offseason. His career 81.4 percent conversion rate on field goals is nothing to write home about, but McManus has a big leg, and the Broncos didn't hesitate to have him attempt plenty of long kicks in the Denver altitude. Over the previous three seasons, McManus converted all 26 of his field-goal attempts from 40-49 yards but just 23 of 37 from 50-plus. His volume figures to go up on a Jaguars team that averaged 23.8 PPG last season compared to Denver's league-low 16.9, and Jacksonville's more likely to improve than regress in Trevor Lawrence's third season under center.
- Round 12, Pick 260 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 1207 - 2022 Rank: 135
Luvu entered the 2022 season known almost exclusively for his work on special teams. He had never totaled more than 43 tackles in any of his first four pro campaigns, but he enjoyed a breakout season with increased opportunity. Despite missing two games, he registered 111 stops to go with seven sacks - both marks were second on the Panthers - and four passes defended. Those numbers are impressive on their own, but he also displayed big-play ability by forcing a fumble and returning his only interception for a score. Looking forward, Luvu faces a transition to new coordinator Ejiro Evero's 3-4 scheme, but he is slated to start alongside Shaq Thompson at inside linebacker. Whether he can reproduce last year's success remains to be seen, but Luvu's stock nonetheless has never been higher.
- Round 13, Pick 300 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 390 - 2022 Rank: 191
The Bears selected Brisker in the second round of the 2022 Draft, and he immediately proved to be an impact player. Though he plays in the secondary, he made plays all over the field by proving adept at rushing the passer as illustrated by his four sacks. He was steady as a tackler and willing to help stop the run game, racking up 104 stops in 15 games. Of course, he also had responsibilities in coverage and chipped in two passes defended and a pick. Working alongside veteran safety Eddie Jackson should allow Brisker to continue to improve and potentially begin to approach top-flight status as an IDP. That's particularly true because his production isn't reliant solely upon racking up tackles.
- Round 14, Pick 340 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 1543 - 2022 Rank: 274
- Round 15, Pick 344 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 170 - 2022 Rank: -
The Texans selected Stroud second overall in the 2023 NFL Draft, and the highly touted rookie out of Ohio State is expected to start right away over Davis Mills and Case Keenum. Stroud has all the physical tools to succeed out of the gate, but his processing ability was shaky in pre-draft testing, and he'll have to buck the trend of NFL underperformance for quarterbacks coming out of Ohio State. An even bigger issue for Stroud early on could be Houston's lack of playmakers. After posting an 85:12 TD: INT over the past two seasons in an Ohio State offense that included Garrett Wilson, Chris Olave, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Stroud will helm a Houston offense without a single player that reached 600 receiving yards last season. His top weapons figure to be WRs Robert Woods and Nico Collins, along with TE Dalton Schultz, but Houston's offense will likely revolve around second-year RB Dameon Pierce. Perhaps the decently mobile Stroud can find some fantasy relevance by using his legs, but that wasn't a strong suit of his in college, as Stroud didn't post a single regular season rushing TD in his two years as the starter at Ohio State.
- Round 16, Pick 360 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 224 - 2022 Rank: 346
The Browns let Hunt walk this offseason after his numbers took a big dip in 2022. He averaged just 3.8 yards per carry and 4.8 yards per target -- both more than a yard off his pace from the previous season. In 2012, he rushed for five touchdowns in just eight games; last year he had three in 17 games. It might take an injury in training camp before a team calls on Hunt, but he likely will get another shot at some point.
- Round 17, Pick 380 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 1128 - 2022 Rank: 126
Queen has struggled for much of his time with Baltimore, failing to make a significant positive impact. This offseason, the team both declined his fifth-year option and inked Roquan Smith to a massive extension. The Ravens then proceeded to select Trenton Simpson in the third round of the 2023 NFL Draft, either with the plan to replace Queen next offseason or perhaps in middle of the 2023 campaign. For now, we should expect Queen should still have the inside track at one of the starting inside linebacker spots and there should be meaningful production in his profile if he gets enough playing time. There's some reason to believe that his form can improve, as he logged a career-best 117 tackles and five sacks while boosting his coverage ability by holding opposing QBs to a 69.1 rating when targeting him in 2022. While he may be on his way out of Baltimore, Queen should've plenty motivated to ensure he receives a second contract.
- Round 18, Pick 400 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 202 - 2022 Rank: 599
Bourne seemingly fell out of favor with New England's coaching staff in his second year with the team, seeing his production drop from a 55-800-5 receiving line to 35-434-1 in 16 games. The focus is on Mac Jones and this passing attack heading into the 2023 campaign, and reports about Bourne this offseason have been more positive, meaning he could be a better fit with new offensive coordinator Bill O'Brien. His chances of emerging as a steady fantasy option remain somewhat slim, though. It will be difficult for Bourne to distinguish himself from JuJu Smith-Schuster, DeVante Parker and Tyquan Thornton, even if he does earn more consistent playing time. Plus, the addition of Mike Gesicki to Hunter Henry means the Patriots could lean heavily on two-TE sets.
DEF - Round 19, Pick 401 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 263 - 2022 Rank: 37
The Seahawks were in the top half of the NFL with 45 sacks (ninth) and 14 interceptions (14th). However, they allowed 401 points, which was the seventh-most in the league.Adding back Bobby Wagner this offseason was a huge boost to what was a terrible run defense, though fellow linebacker Jordyn Brooks (knee) may not be ready for the season. Overall, the Seahawks should be better against the run. After drafting Devon Witherspoon with the fifth pick in the draft to go along with Tariq Woolen, Seattle may have two excellent cornerbacks. That would also allow them to dedicate more resources to stop the run. The pass rush is nothing special, so they'll need their corners to play well. They also have three safeties who are excellent in coverage. This is a defense on the rise, and they can emerge as a top-half defense. They should be able to improve their points against from last year while maintaining similar levels of sacks and interceptions.
- Round 20, Pick 418 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 1890 - 2022 Rank: 505
While Westbrook-Ikhine has topped 650 offensive snaps in each of the last two seasons, he failed to reach 500 yards in either campaign. Tennessee's lack of established WRs should allow Westbrook-Ikhine to once again command plenty of playing time in his fourth NFL season. However, his inability to create separation and the run-first nature of the Titans' offense will likely continue to limit Westbrook-Ikhine's production. He had a 119-yard, two-touchdown outburst against Denver in Week 10 last season, but Westbrook-Ikhine scored just one TD in the other 16 games and exceeded 50 yards on only two other occasions. DeAndre Hopkins, Treylon Burks and TE Chigoziem Okonkwo figure to lead the Titans in targets, with Westbrook-Ikhine battling second-year pro Kyle Philips and offseason addition Chris Moore for whatever is left.
- Round 21, Pick 420 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 1915 - 2022 Rank: 1063
Team Forecast
Bye Week Points Lost
Each bar represents the total projected season points for each player that's on bye that week. This chart shows any potential bye week issues.
Schedule by Opponent Points
Week-by-week schedule with each opponent's projected season points. This chart shows any difficult or easy stretches in the schedule.
