In the Rokhed NFL Dynasty league, the 49ers made a splash with their draft, earning a well-deserved A grade. With a projected record of 13-1-0 and a projected finish in first place, it seems like the other teams will be left in the dust. Their draft order of 17th didn't hold them back as they made the most of their 21 draft rounds.
The 49ers proved they have an eye for talent with their best pick of the draft, snagging Adam Thielen at 177, well below his ADP of 128. On the flip side, their worst pick was Raheem Mostert at 117, just one spot above his ADP. However, the 49ers made up for it by drafting four players from the same team, showing their commitment to building a strong core. With Talanoa Hufanga, Jake Moody, Sam Darnold, and Jauan Jennings all on their roster, the 49ers are ready to dominate the league and leave their opponents in the dust.
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ADP Analysis
Bars above zero indicate a pick was selected later than a player's ADP. Bars below zero show players that were taken earlier than their ADP.
Inside the Draft
Player Outlooks
- Round 1, Pick 17 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 69 - 2022 Rank: 32
Fields had the second-best rushing season ever for a quarterback, and the Bears really didn't turn him loose until just before mid season. Durability down the stretch became a concern, as he injured his shoulder. Fields lacked legitimate receiving weapons last season. As a result, it was very difficult for the passing game to have any consistency. There was a short period of time after the coaching staff opened up the offense in which he had both Darnell Mooney and Cole Kmet, and they had moderate success during that time. But Fields threw for over 190 yards just twice, with 254 being his highest mark of the season. However, he did throw touchdown passes in 11 of his last 13 games. With the team adding DJ Moore at receiver, Fields now goes into 2023 with a legitimate arsenal of weapons. If he's even passable as a thrower, this offense can quickly make a massive jump forward. And as long as Fields has his rushing ability, he'll be a very high-floor fantasy option. Improved passing production could make him elite.
- Round 2, Pick 37 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 2396 - 2022 Rank: 20
Chubb is considered by many to be the top runner in the league, regularly topping 5.0 yards per carry despite getting a lot of work in situations where the defense expects a run or only needs to defend the final few yards of the field. On the other hand, Chubb's fantasy output has been somewhat limited by Kareem Hunt playing a lot of snaps and receiving most of Cleveland's RB targets. Although Chubb has been effective with his limited receiving opportunities, he simply hasn't been given the chance to accumulate many targets. The Browns may finally give Chubb more work as a pass catcher now that Hunt is no longer on the team, even if they ultimately settle on Jerome Ford or Demetric Felton as the back of choice for obvious passing situations. Should that happen, Chubb will be positioned for his best fantasy year yet, especially if QB Deshaun Watson regains his Houston form and buoys the entire offense. Chubb is already an annual candidate to lead the league in rushing yards and could now enter the mix to finish first in total yards and/or touchdowns. Even if things don't break in his favor, Chubb should retain his floor as an above-average fantasy starter thanks to both volume and efficiency on the ground.
- Round 3, Pick 57 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 91 - 2022 Rank: 254
Signed to a two-year, $7.5 million contract in free agency, Perine is Denver's insurance for Javonte Williams while Williams recovers from his season-ending ACL/LCL injury from Week 4. New coach Sean Payton likely appreciated Perine's ability to play passing-down snaps, as Perine can make an impact both as a pass catcher and in blitz pickup. His dense, 240-pound frame allows Perine to withstand big volume if necessary, so his presence buys enough time for Williams to progress at whatever pace the Broncos want. With a career total of 1,592 yards and seven touchdowns rushing at 4.0 yards per carry, however, it's safe to say that Perine is volume-dependent as a runner. So long as Williams is active, it's difficult to imagine Perine claiming the rushing volume necessary to stand out. If the volume is up for grabs, though, Perine is prepared to shoulder it.
- Round 4, Pick 77 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 2 - 2022 Rank: 34
After posting 1,400 yards as a rookie in 2021, Jefferson's production has increased by roughly a shocking 200 yards each season. He's also seen his targets go from 125 as a rookie to 184 last year. These are staggering numbers. He played 54% of the snaps in the slot, so the coaching staff definitely knows how to get him open and into space in many different ways. Jefferson had an incredible 10 games with at least a 100 yards with four of those games going for at least 150 yards. Jefferson scored between seven and 10 touchdowns in each of his three seasons. Not only is he as talented as any other receiver in the league, but his coaching staff understands the value of getting the ball in his hands frequently. The only minor concern is that he had a few games in which he mostly disappeared. He had six games with less than 50 yards receiving. In those games, the defense worked to take him out of the contest, and the coaching staff wasn't imaginative enough to overcome it. Regardless, the AP Offensive Player of the Year is still the safest option as the top player on draft boards.
- Round 5, Pick 97 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 71 - 2022 Rank: 360
Goedert hasn't played a full schedule since he was a rookie in 2018, and 2022 was no exception. The tight end missed five games last season with a shoulder injury. And yet Goedert still turned in another productive season. Since supplanting Zach Ertz as the Eagles' top tight end, he's averaged more than 10 yards a target and 50 receiving yards a game over the last two years. A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith are the top weapons for quarterback Jalen Hurts, but Goedert is a capable No. 3 option in an explosive offense that will have a lot of continuity from last season. While his floor is his big selling point from a fantasy perspective, there's room for growth in his red-zone production if defenses find a way to force Philadelphia to shy away from using Hurts on goal-line sneaks. Even without a big spike in his touchdown output, Goedert has plenty of appeal once the elite tight ends are off the board.
- Round 6, Pick 117 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 77 - 2022 Rank: 176
Mostert re-signs in Miami to return to an ideal scheme fit with coach Mike McDaniel, and also one of the league's more crowded backfields. He and fellow 49ers holdover Jeff Wilson figure to open the season as effectively a 1a/1b tandem, regardless of whoever is officially the starter, just as was the case last season whenever both veterans were simultaneously available. Wilson saw more work as a pass-catcher in 2022 while Mostert's skillset allows him to manufacture big plays more regularly. However, Mostert's role could overlap more with rookie third-round pick Devon Achane. Both are speedsters of slighter frames, although Mostert is far closer to a back or prototypical size than Achane. It seems almost a likely event that the Dolphins ultimately roll out a three-headed committee, one which would almost certainly prove productive, but make week-to-week performances difficult to predict.
- Round 7, Pick 137 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 146 - 2022 Rank: 651
Selected 27th overall in the 2021 NFL Draft after a prolific college career, Bateman has seen his pro career defined by injuries. After undergoing abdominal surgery in the summer of his rookie season, Bateman missed the first five games. He then sustained a Lisfranc injury early last October, causing him to miss the final 11 weeks of the 2022 season. Bateman showed promise early last year in catching eight of 16 targets for 226 yards and two touchdowns in the first three weeks, supported by two long-distance scores on which his 4.39 speed was evident. Bateman is only 23 and remains a promising prospect, but he confronts greater competition for targets after the Ravens signed WRs Odell Beckham and Nelson Agholor and spent a first-round pick on WR Zay Flowers. There should at least be more receiving production to go around in Baltimore this year, as the change in offensive coordinator from Greg Roman to Todd Monken implies a more pass-oriented offense. This modification gives Bateman a chance at a third-year breakout even with more competition for QB Lamar Jackson's attention.
- Round 8, Pick 177 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 173 - 2022 Rank: 256
Thielen scored six touchdowns last year and 30 total in his final three seasons in Minnesota, but every other stat points to decline, including his 2022 averages of 4.1 catches for 42.1 yards per game. Undeterred, the Panthers signed Thielen to a three-year, $25 million contract that includes $14 million guaranteed at signing, ensuring No. 1 overall pick Bryce Young will have at least one experienced starting wideout to target. The team also brought in WR DJ Chark and TE Hayden Hurst, later adding WR Jonathan Mingo in the second round of the draft. It was a full revamp of the skill positions, while the offensive line has more stability after making huge strides throughout last season. A full-on renaissance is unlikely for Thielen in his age-33 season, but he does at least seem locked in for a starting job and at least a handful of targets per week. Whether that translates to low-end fantasy value or not partially depends on how Young develops under new Panthers head coach Frank Reich.
- Round 9, Pick 197 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 1139 - 2022 Rank: 91
Bolton was selected in the second round of the 2021 NFL Draft and has quickly proven to be a force in the middle of the defense. As a rookie, he registered 112 tackles as a part of a rotation amongst the linebacker corps. In his second campaign, Bolton topped 1,000 snaps and increased his production to a whopping 180 tackles (108 solo). As would be expected, his primary assignment is to sit in the middle of the field, leaving him with limited sack upside. On the other hand, the next step in Bolton's career could be his work in coverage, as he picked off two passes in 2022 and also logged three passes deflected. Overall, he should rank among the most sought-after IDP options.
- Round 10, Pick 237 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 213 - 2022 Rank: 521
After leading the Titans in targets (91), catches (53) and receiving yards (527) last season, Woods is set to play a prominent role in a different AFC South receiving corps. He's the most established option in a Texans wide receiver room that also includes Nico Collins, John Metchie (hamstring), Noah Brown, Nathaniel Dell and Xavier Hutchinson. Three of those WRs have yet to play a down in the NFL, and the other two have topped 500 yards in a season once between them. As a two-time 1,000-yard receiver, the 31-year-old Woods will be an experienced option for rookie second overall pick C.J. Stroud to lean on, and Woods likely will be penciled into a starting role after signing a two-year, $15.25 million contract. The veteran WR has topped 500 yards in all 10 of his previous NFL campaigns, and it's possible Woods will get back some of the burst he lacked last season after tearing his ACL in Nov. 2021. The Texans have won four or fewer games in each of the past three seasons, so they could find themselves in frequent pass-heavy game scripts playing from behind.
- Round 11, Pick 257 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 233 - 2022 Rank: 437
With the Cardinals lacking weapons early in the 2022 season, mostly due to DeAndre Hopkins' suspension, Ertz provided fantasy managers with solid PPR performances. He recorded at least 40 yards in six of nine games while going over 50 yards twice. Between Weeks 3 and 6, he averaged 9.5 targets. However, he was showing clear signs of aging, with a fifth-percentile YAC rate. After the productive start, Ertz ended up missing the last seven games of the season after tearing his ACL. As a result, there's no guarantee that he's ready to contribute early in the 2023 campaign. Furthermore, last year's injury was the second time in three years he missed at least five games due to injury, but before he turned 30, he never missed more than two games in a season. These are definite signs of a player getting a bit older. With the likelihood that Ertz may not be at full health to start the season, it's possible that he is set for a diminished role while Trey McBride sees his role elevated. Ertz has had an amazing career, but spending a fantasy pick on him is unlikely to reap rewards.
- Round 12, Pick 277 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 1167 - 2022 Rank: 257
Campbell has been the model of consistency across his seven-year career in the NFL, topping 90 tackles in each of his last six. In part, his production has been dictated by model health, as he played 16 games in each season from 2017-2021. That run ended in 2022, when a knee injury cost Campbell four contests. However, his production was otherwise right on target, and he was on pace for 137 tackles if he'd played the same number of snaps as the year before. One unique area that Campbell has produced is in coverage, as he has two picks in three of the last four campaigns. Overall, he's been an excellent fit for coordinator Joe Barry's 3-4 scheme since the duo arrived in Green Bay in 2021, and Campbell has been free to focus on chasing after ball carriers.
- Round 13, Pick 297 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 536 - 2022 Rank: 167
DEF - Round 14, Pick 317 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 197 - 2022 Rank: 50
Green Bay was in the middle of the pack in points allowed (371) last year. The Packers had playmakers in the secondary that helped them finish fifth in the league with 17 interceptions. But in terms of pass rush, they recorded just 34 sacks, the sixth-fewest in the league. As has been the case the last few years, the Packers project to be a terrible run defense. They don't have a single run defender who is considered a plus option. The pass defense continues to be one of the better ones in the league, though. Not only is the cornerback group strong, led by Jaire Alexander, but safety Rudy Ford as well as the LBs are outstanding. Rashan Gary is easily their best pass rusher, and if Lukas Van Ness is able to pressure consistently, they'd have great bookends. On paper, this should be an average defense, but they're not dominant in any one area. As a result, this will likely be a middling and uninspiring fantasy unit.
- Round 15, Pick 332 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 271 - 2022 Rank: 708
Breida suited up for all 17 regular-season games last year as the main backup to Saquon Barkley, but that didn't translate into much usage. He managed only 74 touches and 338 scrimmage yards, well below the marks he set in San Francisco during his first few years in the NFL. Breida still has the speed to threaten defenses and the Giants were comfortable enough with his contributions to re-sign him to a one-year contract in the offseason, but they also drafted Eric Gray in the fifth round to compete for that No. 2 role. A Barkley injury or contract holdout represent Breida's best path to fantasy relevance.
- Round 16, Pick 337 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 215 - 2022 Rank: -
With Robbie Gould no longer with the 49ers, the team drafted Moody with a third-round pick. With that type of investment, Moody, who converted 87 percent of his field-goal attempts at Michigan, has a strong chance to enter the year as the starter. Due to the explosiveness of the 49ers offense, Moody should have a solid weekly scoring floor, and is worth considering as a top-12 option at his position.
- Round 17, Pick 357 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 323 - 2022 Rank: 293
Darnold definitely has talent. There is always the possibility that he has a big game or two. But it's just as likely that the bottom falls out on him. The six games he played for the Panthers last year were indicative of his career. He had three games in which he scored 13-18 fantasy points, which is not desirable. Darnold had a pair of consecutive high-end games with 24 and 31 fantasy points. But right after those performances, he imploded with a 5.4-point effort. And that's the problem. By the time a fantasy manager sees enough good to trust him, the terrible game is often right around the corner. However, he could have new life in San Francisco. There are few better situations for a quarterback than with the 49ers. Receivers are schemed open quickly. And the team has four players who are dynamic after the catch. If Brock Purdy's elbow is an issue in August, Darnold could be a very useful fantasy option if he gets to start games.
- Round 18, Pick 377 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 2062 - 2022 Rank: 669
Jennings is an excellent role player for the 49ers. In his second season last year, he had 416 yards on 56 targets and 11.9 yards per reception. He also had a 72nd-percentile yards-after-catch rate. Unless the team suffers injuries at wide receiver, Jennings likely will again be limited to a backup role. And even if a teammate at receiver misses time, it's more likely that the team shifts the workload onto the other superstars on the roster.
- Round 19, Pick 392 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 1668 - 2022 Rank: 358
DEF - Round 20, Pick 397 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 307 - 2022 Rank: 86
During the second half of last season, the Lions showed signs of improvement. However, the only area in which they were close to average was the 39 sacks they produced. Otherwise, they recorded just 12 interceptions while giving up the fourth-most points in the league (427). Teams should still be able to attack the Lions on the ground, as they don't have defenders in the front seven that are above average, though they'll hope rookie Jack Campbell is a difference maker. They did address the cornerback position in the offseason, and they potentially should have above average coverage. The pass rush could see an increase in production with Aidan Hutchinson entering his second year.However, as of now, there are no other consistent disruptors the team can count on. This should be a bottom-half defense, and they could build on the success they had on occasion in the second half of last season. However, it's unlikely they have the talent to be a top-10 group.
- Round 21, Pick 417 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 185 - 2022 Rank: 570
Jackson got a chance to showcase his versatile skill set last season after Jonathan Taylor was injured and Nyheim Hines was traded. After being limited to 13 carries as an undrafted rookie out of Duke in 2021, Jackson rushed 68 times for 236 yards and a touchdown while catching 30 of 34 targets for 209 yards and a receiving TD in 2022. With Taylor back healthy, Jackson will compete with Zack Moss and rookie fifth-round pick Evan Hull for change-of-pace touches behind the lead back. Moss is better suited for early down work in the event of another Taylor injury, so Jackson's ticket to playing time will be beating out Hull for touches in passing situations. That will be easier said than done with Hull coming off a 55-catch senior season at Northwestern.
Team Forecast
Bye Week Points Lost
Each bar represents the total projected season points for each player that's on bye that week. This chart shows any potential bye week issues.
Schedule by Opponent Points
Week-by-week schedule with each opponent's projected season points. This chart shows any difficult or easy stretches in the schedule.
