In the EndZone Dynasty draft, the Fools and Horses team found themselves saddled with the 11th pick. With 30 rounds to navigate, they managed to draft a whopping 9 running backs, surpassing the league average of 6. Clearly, they're putting all their eggs in the running back basket, hoping to outrun the competition. Their best pick came at 83, where they snagged Jeff Wilson Jr., who was projected at 130. Talk about a steal! Unfortunately, their worst pick was at 11, where they reached for Kendre Miller, who had an ADP of 129. Maybe they were just trying to keep things interesting. Adding to the excitement, Fools and Horses managed to draft not one, not two, but three players from the same team: Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarcus Lawrence, and CeeDee Lamb. They're clearly hoping for some serious team chemistry, or maybe they just really like their team's colors. With a projected record of 6-8-0 and a 7th place finish, Fools and Horses are poised to gallop their way to...well, mediocrity.
Fools and Horses may have landed a C- draft grade, but they're not letting that dampen their spirits. They're ready to show the league that they're no fools when it comes to fantasy football. Despite a schedule difficulty ranking of 9th toughest out of 12 teams, they're confident they can overcome the odds. Sure, they have four players on bye week 13, but who needs a full roster when you have determination? With a projected point total of 2063.41, they're aiming to score big and leave their opponents in the dust. So buckle up, because Fools and Horses are about to take the fantasy football world on a wild ride. Who needs a thoroughbred when you have a team full of running backs? It's going to be a season full of surprises, and Fools and Horses are ready to make their mark. Giddy up!
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ADP Analysis
Bars above zero indicate a pick was selected later than a player's ADP. Bars below zero show players that were taken earlier than their ADP.
Inside the Draft
Player Outlooks
- Round 1, Pick 11 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 180 - 2022 Rank: -
The Saints invested a third-round pick in Miller this April as they started to prepare for the transition from Alvin Kamara, which may be a couple of years away. Although Miller has the traits to be an early down RB, he's far from a sure thing. He looked slow on inside runs in college and often tried to break runs outside instead of using his 215-pound frame to attack defenders. The Saints also brought in veteran back Jamaal Williams, a reliable runner between the tackles who won't make anyone miss and can't outrun defensive backs. That makes Miller the more explosive option while Kamara serves a three-game suspension to start the season, but it isn't clear how much the Saints value the rookie's speed and acceleration relative to Williams' reliability as a pass blocker and inside runner.
- Round 2, Pick 23 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 2073 - 2022 Rank: -
The 2023 draft class was seen as one of the best ever when it came to tight end depth, so the fact that the Cowboys used a second-round pick to make Schoonmaker the fifth tight end off the board is a strong indicator of his upside. The Michigan product offers good size and in-line blocking skills while also flashing plus athleticism and route-running, which is essentially the template Dallas has been using at the position ever since Jason Witten's heyday. Schoonmaker did deal with plantar fasciitis over the summer, which could limit him in his first training camp, and Jake Ferguson has a similar all-around profile while also having the advantage of an extra year in the system. Schoonmaker might end up being the team's future starter, but he has some obstacles to overcome to make a splash as a rookie.
- Round 3, Pick 35 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 116 - 2022 Rank: 5
After throwing 34 touchdowns in 45 career games, Smith threw 30 touchdown passes last year. Before throwing for 4,282 yards last year, his best prior season was his 2013 rookie season when he threw for 3,046. He was an incredible success story after being written off as a fantasy option, and he didn't even win the Seahawks starting job until the last game of the preseason. For most of last season, Smith was very consistent. He threw multiple touchdowns in 10 of 11 games between Weeks 3 and 14. However, Smith ended the season slowly. He threw exactly one touchdown pass in three of his last four games while also throwing for 215 or fewer yards in each of his last three games. There's always concern about paying up for a career year in fantasy football, and with Smith's career year coming at age 31, it raises a lot of red flags. However, offensive coordinator Shane Waldron's offense requires a strong processor at quarterback, and Smith has always been that. In addition, he has excellent wide receiver weapons along with a good running game. Seattle also addressed their offensive line last season, so that it was no longer a liability. Overall, Smith is definitely in position to succeed with another strong season. It's also possible the stars aligned perfectly and his great prior season may see him regress back to career form. Since he is typically being selected outside the top quarterback options in fantasy drafts, there isn't a lot of risk in selecting him.
- Round 4, Pick 47 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 1184 - 2022 Rank: 104
Singleton has quickly gone from an undrafted free agent to a key cog in the Broncos' defense. The 2022 season marked his first with Denver, but he didn't miss a beat after moving on from the Eagles to rack up a career-high 163 tackles. It was his third campaign with at least 100 tackles. More specifically, Singleton recorded double-digit tackle totals in seven games last season, while also making at least 20 stops in two games. He signed a three-year deal worth up to $18 million with the Broncos in March, pushing him to the center of the team's defensive goals. It also means that Singleton is in a position to continue to make plays on a defense that could be one of the league's strongest units.
- Round 5, Pick 59 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 702 - 2022 Rank: 139
- Round 6, Pick 71 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 211 - 2022 Rank: 370
Chark hasn't done much for fantasy managers since breaking out in his second season (2019) for 1,008 receiving yards and eight TDs. He was stuck in terrible Jacksonville offenses until last year, and he then missed six games last season in Detroit, bringing his three-year total to 22 absences. He did come on strong late in the year for the Lions, averaging 3.3 catches for 57.7 yards on 4.7 targets over the final seven games (two TDs). It was enough to land a one-year contract with significant guarantees for a second consecutive offseason, though the 2018 second-rounder settled for $5 million from Carolina after getting twice that from Detroit a year earlier. In Carolina, the 26-year-old joins Adam Thielen, Terrace Marshall and second-round pick Jonathan Mingo at wide receiver as the likely top options for QB Bryce Young, the first overall pick in this year's draft. Chark underwent offseason ankle surgery but is expected to be ready for training camp, where he could quickly emerge as the team's best downfield option under new head coach Frank Reich.
- Round 7, Pick 83 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 183 - 2022 Rank: 97
Wilson re-signs with Miami to spend a sixth straight season in coach Mike McDaniel's scheme. Four of those years were in San Francisco, where Wilson proved himself as a more than capable rotational option. Durability issues have remained constant as well, though. Wilson hasn't managed to suit up for double-digit games since 2020, and he's only managed that feat twice in his NFL career. After joining the Dolphins mid-season via trade from San Francisco last year, Wilson established himself in a roughly even timeshare alongside Raheem Mostert, though he was the volume leader prior to injuring his hip. Miami could proceed with an identical layout to open the 2023 slate, with Mostert also having re-signed this offseason, but rookie third-round pick De'Von Achane reportedly began pushing for opportunities early in OTAs. Wilson is a solid pass-catcher and showed elite efficiency last season (5.1 YPC), but he'll open this year on injured reserve and thus is set to miss at least four games.
- Round 8, Pick 95 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 192 - 2022 Rank: 315
Valdes-Scantling is a textbook example of a player who's more useful on the real football field than in fantasy football. He has speed that forces the safety to stay over the top, a useful decoy function that helps buy cover for Travis Kelce underneath, and if the safety doesn't defend MVS over the top then Patrick Mahomes is prepared to strike against the single coverage. If the defense tries to counter MVS' speed with a similarly speedy corner, then that corner is usually much smaller and thus someone MVS can bully as a blocker in the ground game. The problem is neither of these scenarios result in fantasy points for MVS, even though he's playing a very real role in making the Chiefs offense succeed. Dropped passes have always been an issue and will likely continue to cap MVS' per-snap target upside. The result is that MVS can't credibly draw targets in the underneath or intermediate, leaving him mostly dependent on hit-or-miss production on sporadic downfield targets.
- Round 9, Pick 107 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 314 - 2022 Rank: 832
Strong didn't see many opportunities as a rookie, finishing 2022 with just 10 carries for 100 yards. He showcased his 4.37 40 speed with a 44-yard breakaway run, a glimpse of what could be to come should more opportunities arise in 2023. His second shot at NFL success comes in Cleveland, after the Patriots signed Ezekiel Elliott in August and later shipped Strong out in a cutdown-day trade. As much as getting trade after one season isn't the best sign for his NFL future, Strong has a nice opportunity immediately ahead with a Browns team that has minimal experience in the backfield behind starter Nick Chubb. It looks like Strong and Jerome Ford will compete for the second spot on the depth chart, potentially jockeying for position throughout the year.
- Round 10, Pick 119 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 229 - 2022 Rank: 472
Although backup tight ends typically go unnoticed for fantasy football, Likely quickly became an exception last preseason as a rookie, catching 12 passes for 144 yards within the first two weeks of the exhibition calendar. While obviously stuck behind standout teammate Mark Andrews, the fourth-round pick shined whenever he had the opportunity to play extra minutes. In the three games that Andrews was absent/limited -- he played only 10 snaps Week 8 and sat out entirely Weeks 9 and 18 -- Likely caught 15 out of 25 targets for 204 yards and two touchdowns. As for the other 13 games, Likely gathered 21 catches, 169 yards, and one touchdown out of 35 targets. Offseason upgrades to the WR group may limit Likely's snaps/targets alongside Andrews again, but the second-year pro is one of the few backup TEs in the league capable of becoming a solid fantasy starter if the guy ahead of him misses time.
- Round 11, Pick 131 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 1644 - 2022 Rank: -
- Round 12, Pick 143 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 1648 - 2022 Rank: 252
- Round 13, Pick 155 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 620 - 2022 Rank: 433
- Round 14, Pick 167 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 580 - 2022 Rank: 304
- Round 15, Pick 179 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 125 - 2022 Rank: 122
After undergoing UCL (elbow) surgery on March 10th, it's hard to know what we can expect from Purdy this season. Was he just a poster child for any quarterback being placed in the Kyle Shanahan system? Or was he truly a special quarterback who was completely unnoticed until the very last pick of the NFL draft? He won each of the eight games he started before his injury, including two NFL playoff games. However, he threw for 220 or fewer yards in five of eight games. The best game he had was in the Wild Card round against Seattle when he threw for 332 yards and three touchdowns. He did throw for at least two touchdowns in each of his first seven starts. He also had an impressive 67.1 percent completion percentage along with a 13:4 TD: INT. If he does get the starting job and is healthy, there's little reason to expect he'll be any less effective than he was last year. Even if film comes out on him that exposes flaws, the offense he's in creates optimal passing windows, and he has incredibly talented weapons at his disposal. But the injury he suffered is significant and it's also possible that he is not 100% to start the season.
- Round 16, Pick 191 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 46 - 2022 Rank: 29
Barkley managed to stay mostly healthy last year for the first time since his rookie season, and the result was a career high in rushing yards. New head coach Brian Daboll made him the centerpiece of his offense in order to take some pressure off quarterback Daniel Jones, although Daboll may have had little choice given the state of the Giants' receiving corps. The new offensive scheme gave Barkley a career high in rushing attempts per game but didn't showcase his pass-catching skills, as he managed less than half the receiving yards he had in 2018 despite finishing fifth in the league among RBs in targets. While Barkley had an impressive rebound after some injury-plagued campaigns, question marks surround the running back headed into 2023. The veteran back presumably is not overjoyed with his new one year contract. In addition, a reinforced group of receivers and tight ends could encourage Daboll to lean more on Jones and the passing game. Barkley has the talent to put up elite numbers out of the backfield, but health and usage remain obstacles to the 26-year-old reaching his fantasy ceiling.
- Round 17, Pick 203 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 7 - 2022 Rank: 25
It doesn't diminish his legacy with Aaron Rodgers any in hindsight, but it's quite a testament to Adams' abilities that he moved from Green Bay to the Raiders and had almost no drop off in his production. Although it took an extra game in 2022 than 2021, Adams eclipsed 100 catches and 1,500 yards for the second year in a row last year. Adams even improved on the touchdown production from Green Bay to Las Vegas, scoring 14 times on his 100 catches last year compared to 11 times on 123 catches his final year with the Packers. Adams expressed dissatisfaction with the Raiders organization and its direction following the 2022 season, but that realization probably hit him at some point before then, yet it didn't stop Adams from producing at an elite level. What could perhaps harm Adams' production is the Raiders quarterback situation. Free agent pickup Jimmy Garoppolo should be good enough for Adams to thrive, but Garoppolo's surgically-repaired foot is such a concern that the Raiders wrote an out clause in Garoppolo's contract that allows them to cut him with no cap penalty. Brian Hoyer would be the likely backup if Garoppolo were to miss time, and it's difficult to feel totally secure with Adams if that's the type of quarterbacking he might have to deal with.
- Round 18, Pick 215 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 56 - 2022 Rank: 45
Despite dealing with some nagging injuries last year, Harris managed to play all 17 games and scored 10 touchdowns for the second time in two pro seasons, albeit within the confines of a sluggish Pittsburgh offense. The 2021 first-round pick fell shy of 4.0 yards per carry for a second straight year, with big plays few and far between while his receiving volume dipped from 93 targets in 2021 to 54 in 2022. Part of that was due to the Steelers throwing less and part due to backup Jaylen Warren getting a lot of playing time on passing downs. Warren is back this season and should have a sizable role off the bench again, but there's still room for Harris to have his best year yet if the Steelers take a step forward in QB Kenny Pickett's second pro year. As much as the young quarterback remains a huge question mark, the team's blocking should be better after Pittsburgh added former Eagles G Isaac Seumalo, rookie OT Broderick Jones (14th overall pick) and 264-pound rookie TE Darnell Washington (93rd pick). The Steelers could have above-average blocking for the first time in years. The lack of backfield depth behind the top two on the depth chart leaves room for Harris to push for 300 touches even if Warren also has a regular role in the offense.
- Round 19, Pick 227 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 38 - 2022 Rank: 53
Cooper rebounded in 2022 after a slow finish to his three-and-a-half year tenure in Dallas. Despite playing most of the season with mediocre quarterback Jacoby Brissett, the veteran wideout reached career highs with nine touchdowns and 132 targets (tying his previous best), also recording 1,160 yards (his second most). Although Cooper has not quite lived up to his predraft hype as a potential high-end WR1, he has six 1,000-yard campaigns in nine years and has never scored fewer than five touchdowns in a season. Last year he actually had better numbers while playing with Brissett than he had with Deshaun Watson. Granted, four of Watson's six games were home contests in Cleveland during December/January, with wind being a factor in at least three of those. The Browns do have other proven offensive weapons in TE David Njoku and WR Donovan Peoples-Jones, and offseason addition Elijah Moore has ample potential even after a disappointing 2022 in New York. The larger concern is that Watson did not perform at his usual level last year. If that continues into 2023, it'll be hard for Cooper to match his 2022 stats.
- Round 20, Pick 239 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 82 - 2022 Rank: 98
Pierce was a pleasant surprise for the Texans as a rookie, even if the 2022 fourth-round pick's heroics didn't translate to many wins. After averaging 5.5 YPC as part of a platoon in college at Florida, Pierce rushed for 939 yards and four TDs in 13 games for the Texans before suffering a season-ending ankle injury. Pierce's 4.3 YPC in Houston was nothing to write home about, but that production came in the context of few threats in the passing game to keep defenses from keying on the run. The Texans are hoping to have changed that by drafting QB C.J. Stroud second overall in 2023. While they also bolstered their backfield depth by signing former Bills RB Devin Singletary, Pierce should continue to handle the majority of the workload as long as he's healthy. To that end, Pierce has been practicing at full speed at OTAs, suggesting he has long since put the ankle injury behind him. There's also room for further growth as a pass catcher for Pierce, as Houston still has an underwhelming receiving corps. Pierce caught 30 of 39 passes for 165 yards and one touchdown as a rookie.
- Round 21, Pick 251 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 1262 - 2022 Rank: 116
Hicks joined the Vikings in 2022, his third team in his eight-year NFL career. He didn't miss a beat with the switch, tallying 128 tackles - the second-highest mark of his career - to top the century mark for the fourth consecutive campaign. Minnesota also asked Hicks to take on additional responsibilities in coverage, and he rose to the occasion by racking up 10 passes defensed. Entering his age-31 season, Hicks has been a picture of health by playing in every game across the last four campaigns. Assuming that continues, he'll remain a prominent member of the defense and is also a good bet to add to his impressive career resume.
- Round 22, Pick 263 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 1140 - 2022 Rank: 196
- Round 23, Pick 275 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 455 - 2022 Rank: 192
- Round 24, Pick 287 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 2052 - 2022 Rank: 1022
- Round 25, Pick 299 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 100 - 2022 Rank: 100
Dillon has seen his yards per carry go down each season, and his 4.1 was more than a yard worse than his rookie season. He also saw his total yardage fall by 150 yards although he did post a career high by scoring seven touchdowns. He's not very good at breaking tackles, as he's in the 17th percentile, but he did turn that into the 67th percentile in yards after contact. Although his workload was limited in 2022, while Aaron Jones was dealing with nagging injuries, Dillon saw his workload increase down the stretch. He was rarely used as a receiver catching just 15 passes over his last 11 games. It would appear that Jones will have the leg up going into the season, which would make Dillon more of a reserve player. Last year he was being aggressively drafted as having standalone value. Unless Green Bay changes its approach, expect closer to a repeat of Dillon's usage and production from last year.
- Round 26, Pick 311 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 191 - 2022 Rank: 530
The opposite of a lucky Penny, the San Diego State product has never been able to put together a full, healthy season in the NFL, topping out at 14 games in his rookie campaign and playing just 28 of a possible 66 games in the four years since due to a number of injuries, mainly to his lower body. Seattle let him hobble out the door after his rookie contract expired, and the Eagles were able to sign him to a cheap one-year deal despite the fact the 2018 first-round pick has been incredibly productive the last couple of years when he's been on the field. Penny heads into this season as part of a backfield committee that also includes fellow injury-prone newcomer D'Andre Swift and depth options with plenty of experience in the offense in Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott, and the reduced workload that comes with that set-up might just allow the former Seahawk to stay mostly healthy. Penny averaged 6.2 yards per carry over the last two seasons for Seattle, and he gets a massive upgrade in blocking with the elite Philadelphia offensive line in front of him, so the per-touch upside is there if he manages to avoid breaking down again.
- Round 27, Pick 323 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 2 - 2022 Rank: 24
After posting 1,400 yards as a rookie in 2021, Jefferson's production has increased by roughly a shocking 200 yards each season. He's also seen his targets go from 125 as a rookie to 184 last year. These are staggering numbers. He played 54% of the snaps in the slot, so the coaching staff definitely knows how to get him open and into space in many different ways. Jefferson had an incredible 10 games with at least a 100 yards with four of those games going for at least 150 yards. Jefferson scored between seven and 10 touchdowns in each of his three seasons. Not only is he as talented as any other receiver in the league, but his coaching staff understands the value of getting the ball in his hands frequently. The only minor concern is that he had a few games in which he mostly disappeared. He had six games with less than 50 yards receiving. In those games, the defense worked to take him out of the contest, and the coaching staff wasn't imaginative enough to overcome it. Regardless, the AP Offensive Player of the Year is still the safest option as the top player on draft boards.
- Round 28, Pick 335 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 11 - 2022 Rank: 43
The 17th overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, Lamb's numbers have climbed steadily through his first three seasons. He emerged as Dak Prescott's clear top option in 2022 after Amari Cooper was traded to the Browns. Lamb's production really took off last year once Prescott put a thumb injury behind him, and after the Cowboys' Week 9 bye, the wideout averaged nearly 90 yards a game through 11 regular-season and postseason contests while finding the end zone seven times. That breakthrough was more impressive considering the Oklahoma product was essentially a one-man show downfield for Dallas last year, as the front office never found an adequate replacement for Cooper, but that shouldn't be an issue in 2023. Lamb's supporting cast got a significant boost in the spring with the addition of Brandin Cooks, whose ability to stretch the field should open things up underneath on the routes where Lamb thrives. While it is hard to project Lamb's target volume to increase much beyond the 9.2 passes per game he saw in 2022, his efficiency might find another gear if Cooks can draw attention from defenders.
- Round 29, Pick 347 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 78 - 2022 Rank: 77
Higgins is well established as a high-quality WR2 in both real life and fantasy football. There's been some talk of him getting a WR1 opportunity as he enters the final year of his contract, but the Bengals don't seem interested in succumbing to trade rumors. Higgins showed up for the offseason program, and the team can keep him around next year with a franchise tag even if he doesn't sign an extension this summer/fall. He had at least 908 yards and six touchdowns in each of his first three NFL seasons, including back-to-back 1,000 yard campaigns the past two years. At 6-4, he excels on jump balls and contested catches, and although he is not as fast as teammate Ja'Marr Chase or as much of a YAC threat, Higgins nonetheless has proven quite useful on short and intermediate passes. In terms of fantasy upside beyond the 1,200-yard range or so, that'll probably only happen for Higgins in Cincinnati if Chase misses extended time -- a scenario that would leave the talented 2020 second-round pick as Joe Burrow's unquestioned top option.
- Round 30, Pick 359 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 2343 - 2022 Rank: 443
Tonyan signed a one-year deal with the Bears and is expected to be the No. 2 tight end behind Cole Kmet. However, preseason reports indicate that Chicago will use more two tight end sets than they have in the past. As a result, Tonyan could be on the field for a majority of the snaps. Aside from the career year that Tonyan had in 2020 with Green Bay, when he caught 52 passes for 586 yards and 11 touchdowns, he averaged 213 yards and 1.5 touchdowns in his other four seasons. He should be a solid complement to Kmet, but Tonyan is likely to have an inconsistent role as a receiver. However, should Kmet miss time, Tonyan's fantasy value could take a significant jump.
Team Forecast
Bye Week Points Lost
Each bar represents the total projected season points for each player that's on bye that week. This chart shows any potential bye week issues.
Schedule by Opponent Points
Week-by-week schedule with each opponent's projected season points. This chart shows any difficult or easy stretches in the schedule.
