In the EndZone Dynasty draft, the Tonyk 77ers showed off their drafting prowess, earning an impressive A- grade. With the 8th pick in the draft order, they managed to assemble a team that is projected to finish 5th in the league. Their projected record of 8-6-0 and projected points of 2177.71 demonstrate their potential to be a formidable force on the field.
While the Tonyk 77ers may have faced the toughest schedule difficulty among the 12 teams, they didn't let that deter them. They made a shrewd move by drafting Zach Charbonnet at the 8th spot, a player with an ADP of 119. This steal of a pick is sure to give their team a boost. However, they may want to reconsider their decision to draft Zach Charbonnet again at the same spot, as it might not yield the same positive results. Additionally, the Tonyk 77ers took a risk by selecting three players from the same team, L'Jarius Sneed, Skyy Moore, and Patrick Mahomes. While this strategy could pay off, it also leaves them vulnerable if that team underperforms.
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ADP Analysis
Bars above zero indicate a pick was selected later than a player's ADP. Bars below zero show players that were taken earlier than their ADP.
Inside the Draft
Player Outlooks
- Round 1, Pick 8 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 113 - 2022 Rank: -
Even though the Seahawks had a strong rookie season from Kenneth Walker last year, the team used their second-round draft pick for the second year in a row to add Charbonnet. While in college, Charbonnet forced many missed tackles while also having the power to break tackles as well. In addition, he caught 37 passes and proved to be a solid receiver. It's possible that he was drafted to add depth to a thin backfield, but Seattle may also want Charbonnet to be a big factor in their backfield. It's likely that Walker has the edge for lead work going into the season, though Charbonnet should see significant work each week. However, if Charbonnet outplays Walker, don't be surprised if coach Pete Carroll changes the running back roles.
- Round 2, Pick 20 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 128 - 2022 Rank: -
A 2023 second-round draft pick, Reed has a chance to earn a significant role in the Packers' offense this season. The Packers are young and inexperienced at wide receiver with second-year wideouts Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs his main competition for targets. Reed showed versatility in college and should have little trouble earning a spot in the top-three WRs, even if he doesn't over take Watson or Doubs. But the Packers are likely to remain a run-heavy offense, which could limit the WR targers. New quarterback Jordan Love is also a factor. Reed's development could hinge on Love's development.
- Round 3, Pick 32 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 1423 - 2022 Rank: 106
- Round 4, Pick 44 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 549 - 2022 Rank: 107
- Round 5, Pick 56 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 859 - 2022 Rank: 177
Thompson has spent his entire eight-year career with Carolina, and he'll stick with the team in 2023 after reworking his deal in the offseason. He's always been an important part of the defensive unit, though his role has grown across the last four seasons. He's topped 100 tackles in each. In fact, 2022 was his most prolific campaign, as he led the Panthers with 135 stops in 17 games. Looking forward to 2023, Thompson's leadership and playmaking figure to be key as the Carolina defense transitions to new coordinator Ejiro Evero's 3-4 scheme. Along with a healthy Jeremy Chinn, Thompson once again is a top candidate to pace the Panthers in tackles.
- Round 6, Pick 68 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 589 - 2022 Rank: 314
- Round 7, Pick 80 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 22 - 2022 Rank: -
- Round 8, Pick 92 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 1223 - 2022 Rank: 150
Entering the 2022 season, Anzalone had shown the ability to stay on the field and produce at an elite clip on a per-game basis. However, those things had never coalesced. That changed in 2022, as he put up a career year highlighted by 125 tackles. Across two campaigns with the Lions, he has also shown significant involvement in pass defense by breaking up a combined 13 passes. Detroit acknowledged Anzalone's importance to their defensive scheme and rewarded him with a three-year, $18.75 million this offseason -- positioning him as the 13th-best paid inside linebacker in the league. With that new deal, he'll be expected to anchor a young and potential-filled linebacker corps, highlighted by Jack Campbell and Malcolm Rodriguez.
- Round 9, Pick 104 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 2368 - 2022 Rank: -
A fifth-round pick this spring, Hull has the opportunity to carve out a significant role as a pass catcher out of the backfield as a rookie. The Colts traded receiving back Nyheim Hines last season, and Hull caught 55 passes as a senior at Northwestern in 2022. He also rushed for 913 yards in his senior year, though he averaged just 4.1 YPC after mustering 1,009 rushing yards at a 5.1 YPC clip in 2021. Hull is unlikely to cut into Jonathan Taylor's workhorse role on early downs, but backup Zack Moss hasn't done much as a pass catcher in the NFL, so Hull could quickly earn playing time if he can beat out Deon Jackson in passing situations.
- Round 10, Pick 116 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 106 - 2022 Rank: 88
There's always concern about sustainability when a running back flashes in a small sample. But Allgeier definitely made the most of his opportunities as a rookie last year. The fifth-round pick averaged 4.9 yards per carry while ranking in the 92nd percentile for broken-tackle rate and 87th percentile for yards after contact. The 220-pound back had six runs of at least 20 yards (with three of those going over 40 yards) on 210 total carries. And his role increased as the season wound down. His four highest-usage games came in the last four weeks of the year, and he averaged 5.5 yards per carry in that stretch. Only one of those games came against a bad run defense, and he also caught six of seven targets for 52 yards during that span. Despite the impressive rookie year, Atlanta drafted RB Bijan Robinson eighth overall in April, leaving Allgeier without much of a fantasy ceiling unless his new teammates miss time.
- Round 11, Pick 128 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 1624 - 2022 Rank: 197
- Round 12, Pick 140 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 585 - 2022 Rank: 250
- Round 13, Pick 152 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 237 - 2022 Rank: 360
Pierce is coming off a boom-or-bust rookie season. The 2022 second-round pick out of Cincinnati caught 41 of 78 targets for 593 yards and two touchdowns, including seven catches for 243 yards and a touchdown on his 15 deep targets. Pierce ranked third on the team in targets as a rookie, but the speedy big-play threat is penciled into a starting role opposite Michael Pittman (141 targets in 2022) after the Colts let Parris Campbell (91 targets) walk in free agency. Indianapolis added slot receivers Josh Downs and Isaiah McKenzie to replace Campbell, but the team's most impactful offseason changes came under center. The Colts parted ways with Matt Ryan and brought in fourth overall pick Anthony Richardson, as well as free agent Gardner Minshew. Richardson's strong arm and Pierce's 4.41 speed could make for an intriguing downfield combination, but it remains to be seen if the raw rookie has the accuracy to consistently link up with the second-year wideout.
- Round 14, Pick 164 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 1265 - 2022 Rank: 120
Greenlaw has been held back by injuries for a significant portion of his career, the prime example being 2021 when he played only three games while limited by multiple groin issues. His abilities shouldn't be in question, however. In a healthy 2022 campaign, Greenlaw posted a new career-high mark in tackles (127) over 15 active games. He also showcased some big-play ability, forcing two fumbles while recording a pick-six -- the second of his four-year career. Fred Warner is the big name on San Francisco's linebacking crew, but Greenlaw proved that he can play at a near Pro-Bowl level alongside the team's defensive leader, so long as the 26-year-old stays on the field. Unfortunately, he's already on the injury report, having missed OTAs while recovering from off-season surgery on his finger.
- Round 15, Pick 176 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 104 - 2022 Rank: 31
Williams had a strong fantasy season with the Lions in 2022. He blew away his previous career highs with 262 carries and 1,066 yards, and his league-leading 17 rushing TDs were more than he scored through his first five years in the league combined (13). However, his use as a receiver evaporated. After catching at least 25 passes in each of his first five years, he had only 12 receptions in 2022. Once valued for versatility, Williams produced his best fantasy season while handling a more one-dimensional role. He now heads to New Orleans, where Alvin Kamara is suspended for the first three games of the season but QB/TE Taysom Hill ensures there will be competition for goal-line carries all the same. If the Saints view Williams the way the Packers once did, he could catch more passes over the first three weeks than he did all of last season, though the receiving volume would then figure to fall off a cliff upon Kamara's return. Further complicating matters is the presence of rookie third-round pick Kendre Miller, who could also get carries early in the season. It's probably best to view Williams as an RB2 for September and a question mark thereafter, though his history of varied usage suggests there are quite a few different ways things could play out.
- Round 16, Pick 188 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 235 - 2022 Rank: 935
A sixth-round pick last season, Ingram had an uninspiring but inconclusive rookie year as a "low floor, high ceiling" prospect. He averaged just 2.2 yards per carry, but had only 27 rushing attempts. Ingram, though, is an above-average athlete with a 4.53 40 and 122-inch broad jump at 221 pounds. And he doesn't face a lot of competition in the Arizona backfield behind injury-prone James Conner with only Corey Clement, Ty'Son Williams and undrafted free agent Emari Demercado with whom to contend. A strong camp should solidify his spot as Conner's backup and put him in line for more work than he had last season.
- Round 17, Pick 200 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 124 - 2022 Rank: 738
As much as it's fair to find Moore's 2022 rookie season disappointing, it would be harsh to describe it as a failure. The Chiefs run a sophisticated offense and went into 2022 with plenty of veteran wide receiver depth, so there was never much realistic room for Moore to draw usage as a rookie. Moore was a slot specialist out of the MAC, not to mention an underclassman, so it's to be expected that he couldn't reliably earn slot snaps over the likes of JuJu Smith-Schuster, Mecole Hardman and Marquez Valdes-Scantling. Smith-Schuster and Hardman are no longer on the team, moreover, so there's less slot competition for Moore going into 2023. Valdes-Scantling can only draw so many targets and Kadarius Toney has seen persistent injury issues in the NFL, so there's a good chance that the Chiefs lean on Moore for a meaningful workload behind Travis Kelce. Moore just needs to polish his game enough to hold off free-agent pickup Richie James, a lesser talent than Moore but one good enough to steal slot snaps if Moore struggles.
- Round 18, Pick 212 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 84 - 2022 Rank: 654
Thomas played just 10 games the last three seasons. And now he's entering his age-30 season. In each of the three games he played last year, he caught at least five passes, posted 49-65 yards and scored three times. He still showed he could run routes, but he was often catching the ball and going right down without producing yardage after the catch. Is it possible he regains health and moves back into a lead role? Yes. Is it something that the recent past has shown that it is a possibility? That's a hard "no." Regardless of how good Thomas looks, it's also possible that second-year receiver Chris Olave may have taken on the mantle as the Saints' top receiver. The later Thomas falls in drafts, the more the injury and risk ratios are reduced.
- Round 19, Pick 224 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 1210 - 2022 Rank: 54
Smith was dealt by the Bears just before the trade deadline last season after it became clear the sides wouldn't agree to terms on a long-term extension. He didn't take much time to acclimate to his new surroundings in Baltimore, as he managed 94 tackles, two sacks, three passes defended, and an interception across 10 games. Smith was rewarded with a five-year, $100 million contract extension in January, and will now be the long-term centerpiece of the Ravens' defense. After an offseason to learn the defense, Smith will officially become the leader of the unit and wear the green dot. While others around the league will have more gaudy sack totals, Smith has topped 160 tackles in consecutive seasons. We should expect more of the same in 2023, which makes him among the safest IDP selections available.
- Round 20, Pick 236 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 1121 - 2022 Rank: 195
- Round 21, Pick 248 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 1291 - 2022 Rank: 390
- Round 22, Pick 260 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 189 - 2022 Rank: 694
Smith is on track to become the Bengals' third starting tight end in as many seasons. In 2022, Hayden Hurst filled that role and caught 52 passes for 414 yards and two touchdowns on 68 targets in 13 games, after C.J. Uzomah caught 49 passes for 493 yards and five TDs on 63 targets in 2021. A 2019 second-round pick, Smith is getting an interesting second chance after signing a one-year, $1.75 million contract this offseason. His last two years in Minnesota were undone by knee surgery and a major ankle injury, with the Vikings opting to trade for fellow tight end T.J. Hockenson after Smith disappointed early last season and then went down with the high-ankle sprain. Now healthy, Smith turns 25 in August and will compete for snaps in a weak TE room that includes Drew Sample, a 2019 second-round pick who suffered a season-ending knee injury after two games last year.
- Round 23, Pick 272 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 62 - 2022 Rank: 91
Kittle's receptions and yardage for 2022 were well below the numbers he put up in prior seasons. But the big difference last season was his nose for the end zone. After scoring 20 touchdowns over the first five seasons of his career, he scored 11 TD's last year. As usual, he was very volatile. He had seven games with single digit PPR points. He also went over 20 points on four occasions. When drafting Kittle, fantasy managers simply can't take him out of their lineup. When he appears to be in a slump, the magic happens. For instance, after three straight games with less than 40 yards receiving, he erupted for two straight two-TD, 90+ yard contests in week 15 and 16 and seven touchdowns over four weeks. Kittle should be drafted as the fourth or fifth tight end off the board in most drafts, and he should provide a strong. though erratic, return on investment.
- Round 24, Pick 284 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 65 - 2022 Rank: 108
Moore hadn't been able to catch a break with the quarterbacks he's played with throughout his career. He is one of the most gifted receivers in the league, but we've yet to see him unlocked. Last year's 888 yards was the first time since his rookie year he's posted less than 1,157 yards. Of course, in his worst yardage season, he scored seven touchdowns, which was the first time in his career he had more than four. Using him in fantasy lineups was a rollercoaster ride. He had four games with fewer than 10 yards but three games with more than 100. He also was limited to 10-30 yards on four other occasions. He's still young as he enters his age-26 season. The good news is that even though we've yet to see it, Justin Fields should be the best QB he's ever played with. And if Fields plays to his perceived ability, Moore could be in line for a career year. But even if Fields doesn't show major improvement, with Moore as the clear lead receiver on the team, his floor should be the 1,150 yards and four touchdowns he averaged between 2019-2021.
- Round 25, Pick 296 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 156 - 2022 Rank: 166
Lazard joins quarterback Aaron Rodgers in moving from Green Bay to New York this season. Garrett Wilson is the clear No. 1 option for the passing game, and while no obvious No. 2 wideout stands out, Lazard has the likely inside track following the abrupt retirement of Corey Davis in August. Mecole Hardman will give him his biggest challenge with only Randall Cobb among the top-4 WR. Lazard is a uniquely superior blocker among the Jets' receiving corps, which should guarantee him a sizeable weekly snap share. His connection with Rodgers also shouldn't be overlooked as a mere narrative, as his 6-foot-5 frame and 14 touchdowns the last two seasons are proof that he's trusted by his QB in the red zone. Lazard's four-year, $44 million contract is also incentive to get him involved early and often.
- Round 26, Pick 308 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 220 - 2022 Rank: 543
Going back to college, injuries have been an issue for Moore. After missing three games in 2021, he missed nine more last year. In 2022, it was hamstring, knee and groin injuries that limited him. In the offseason, he had surgery on both sides of his groin to repair a sports hernia, and he also had surgery on his pinky. When he was on the field, he looked like the real deal. He posted a 93rd percentile yards-after-catch rate, and he recorded 49-94 yards in five of his last six games. The injury history is too significant to ignore, but the same argument can be made for his talent. As long as the draft cost is minimal, he's definitely worth a late-round pick in the hopes that he stays healthy. and with him playing largely in the slot, he may be the one Cardinal skill position player that's immune to weak quarterback play.
- Round 27, Pick 320 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 155 - 2022 Rank: 468
With Jonathan Taylor on the shelf the final four weeks of 2022, Moss rushed for 334 yards and a touchdown on 69 carries, though he was limited to just 12 receiving yards over that span. That strong finish on the ground likely earned Moss a spot on the Colts' 2023 roster after the 2020 third-round pick opened his career with a pair of lackluster seasons in Buffalo. In fact, Moss even entered training camp with a shot at the second spot on the depth chart, which meant taking a lot of snaps with the starters while Taylor missed practice for what seemingly was a mix of contract and injury reasons. The opportunity may have slipped through Moss' hands, however, as a broken arm at the end of July left him with an estimated recovery timeline of six weeks. The Colts, meanwhile, are left with Deon Jackson and rookie Evan Hull as the top choices to fill in for Taylor.
- Round 28, Pick 332 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 119 - 2022 Rank: 156
Taken in the third round out of Memphis in 2020, Gibson found himself falling out of favor with former offensive coordinator Scott Turner last year and was reduced to primarily a passing-down role despite having rushed for over 1,000 yards in 2021. While he's an outstanding athlete with great speed and good receiving skills, Gibson's instincts as a runner have never really developed, and he lost early-down touches to rookie Brian Robinson. Robinson was unimpressive though, and Turner was replaced by former Kansas City coordinator Eric Bieniemy in the offseason. While Gibson's profile more closely resembles the kind of backs who thrived in the scheme Bieniemy brings with him, 2023 sixth-round pick Chris Rodriguez is also a legitimate threat to claim the starting job, which would once again relegate Gibson to passing-down and change-of-pace work.
- Round 29, Pick 344 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 87 - 2022 Rank: 121
Akers had a weird 2022 season. We'll never know if he was still recovering from the Achilles injury he suffered in 2021. In Weeks 1-10, he averaged 2.83 yards per carry and was benched for two games. Although he faced four of the top 10 defenses in those seven games, he looked as if he was struggling to get to the line of scrimmage before getting hit on most carries. After his banishment, he continued to struggle, as he played 21 snaps but ran for just 2.72 yards per carry. However, he was a completely different player during the last eight games of the season. He rushed for 4.8 yards per carry, though he did that against an easy schedule. He was specifically excellent in Weeks 15 through 18 when he faced defenses in the bottom 10 in three of the four games. He had at least 100 scrimmage yards in each of those games along with a three-touchdown performance. and during that stretch, he averaged 5.47 yards per carry while also catching nine passes. So the big question becomes whether his resurgence had to do with schedule or recovering from his injury. It's likely that the answer is somewhere in the middle. ranking him around RB20 seems safe, as he should get volume, though we're unsure as to what level he'll play at. If it was just a matter of Akers getting back to full health, he will be one of the biggest steals in fantasy drafts, but there is definitely a risk.
- Round 30, Pick 356 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 23 - 2022 Rank: 1
Fresh off his second Super Bowl victory, second MVP title and his best season since he took the league by storm in 2018, it's easier than ever to declare Mahomes the best quarterback in the NFL. Whether that proves to be true in fantasy football is a different question, but it's tough to bet against Mahomes after throwing for 5,250 yards and 41 touchdowns last year. Mahomes' rushing ability isn't the first thing to come to mind when looking at his game, but his ability to add at least 300 yards and a couple touchdowns on the ground provides a meaningful boost to his fantasy output. The departures of free agent wideouts JuJu Smith-Schuster and Mecole Hardman shouldn't matter much, especially since the Chiefs reloaded with second-round pick Rashee Rice and quality free agent slot man Richie James. There's also the expectation that Kadarius Toney step up more after the Chiefs acquired him in-season from the Giants in 2022. So long as Travis Kelce is on the field it seems like Mahomes can score points with pretty much any combination of wide receivers.
Team Forecast
Bye Week Points Lost
Each bar represents the total projected season points for each player that's on bye that week. This chart shows any potential bye week issues.
Schedule by Opponent Points
Week-by-week schedule with each opponent's projected season points. This chart shows any difficult or easy stretches in the schedule.
