In the high-stakes world of the League of Dynasties, the Vegas Legends made their mark with an impressive draft performance. With a draft grade of A+ and a projected finish of 1st, this team is poised to dominate the competition. Despite picking 3rd in the draft order, the Legends managed to secure top talent and build a roster that is the envy of the league. They navigated through 29 rounds with finesse, leaving no doubt that they are ready to take on the challenge.
The Legends' draft strategy was a masterclass in fantasy football finesse. Their best pick, George Kittle, was a steal at 51, beating out their own worst pick, George Kittle, who was also drafted at 51. Talk about keeping it interesting! Not content with just one team, the Legends went all-in on a single franchise, drafting a quartet of players from the same team: Chigoziem Okonkwo, Azeez Al-Shaair, Kevin Byard, and Jeffery Simmons. It's like they're trying to create their own Legends of the game. With a projected record of 15-0-0 and a schedule difficulty that ranks 9th toughest out of 12 teams, the Legends are ready to conquer the fantasy football world. Watch out, opponents, because the Vegas Legends are about to make history!
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ADP Analysis
Bars above zero indicate a pick was selected later than a player's ADP. Bars below zero show players that were taken earlier than their ADP.
Inside the Draft
Player Outlooks
- Round 1, Pick 3 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 23 - 2022 Rank: 1
Fresh off his second Super Bowl victory, second MVP title and his best season since he took the league by storm in 2018, it's easier than ever to declare Mahomes the best quarterback in the NFL. Whether that proves to be true in fantasy football is a different question, but it's tough to bet against Mahomes after throwing for 5,250 yards and 41 touchdowns last year. Mahomes' rushing ability isn't the first thing to come to mind when looking at his game, but his ability to add at least 300 yards and a couple touchdowns on the ground provides a meaningful boost to his fantasy output. The departures of free agent wideouts JuJu Smith-Schuster and Mecole Hardman shouldn't matter much, especially since the Chiefs reloaded with second-round pick Rashee Rice and quality free agent slot man Richie James. There's also the expectation that Kadarius Toney step up more after the Chiefs acquired him in-season from the Giants in 2022. So long as Travis Kelce is on the field it seems like Mahomes can score points with pretty much any combination of wide receivers.
- Round 2, Pick 15 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 4 - 2022 Rank: 83
Pollard finally emerged from Ezekiel Elliott's shadow in 2022. The Memphis product turned a career-high workload into career-best volume numbers without losing any efficiency, as Pollard topped 5.0 yards per carry for the third time in four NFL seasons while delivering his best yards per catch average to date at 9.5. The Cowboys were also more willing to use Pollard in the red zone, resulting in 12 total touchdowns after he had only 10 in his first three years combined. The breakout performance, along with salary cap concerns, finally convinced Dallas to move on from a declining Elliott, but that doesn't necessarily mean Pollard's role has room to grow further as his thin frame may not be able to handle much more than last season's 233 touches. Then again, Zeke's 231 carries will have to go somewhere. The team did add Ronald Jones in the offseason, and Malik Davis looked capable enough as a rookie last year, but Pollard will head into 2023 as the clear top option in the backfield after getting the franchise tag from the club to keep him from reaching free agency.
- Round 3, Pick 27 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 47 - 2022 Rank: 290
The Rams offense was a mess last year, largely due to offensive line issues as well as the lack of a rushing attack. Also, free agent addition Allen Robinson didn't work out for the team, and all they really had to lean on at that point was Kupp. From a production standpoint, he mostly picked up where he left off in 2021. He had at least nine targets in all but one game. He also had at least 122 yards in four of eight games. Kupp also had at least 79 yards in seven of the eight games he played. However, he suffered an ankle injury that cost him the last eight games of the season. Other than missing eight games in 2018 as well, he had a very healthy career to date. Even though Kupp's entering his age-30 season, there appeared to be no sign of decline last year. He still should be a very high floor and high ceiling fantasy option. and Kupp should be an obvious first-round draft pick in most leagues. But keep your eye on an in-practice hamstring injury that Kupp suffered in early August.
- Round 4, Pick 39 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 503 - 2022 Rank: 68
Injuries continue to be an issue for James, who played only 14 games and 799 defensive snaps in 2022. However, when he's on the field there are few safeties who can match the production of the 17th overall pick in 2018. He's topped 100 tackles on three occasions, but more importantly, he has a knack for the big play. In addition to breaking up 13 passes in his rookie year, James has combined to tally 11 such plays in the last two years. He's also picked off four passes in that span while forcing five fumbles. With the addition of Erick Hendricks and the ongoing presence of Joey Bosa, the Chargers could prove to be a menace to opposing quarterbacks in 2023, but James' health will play a key role in that possibility.
- Round 5, Pick 51 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 62 - 2022 Rank: 231
Kittle's receptions and yardage for 2022 were well below the numbers he put up in prior seasons. But the big difference last season was his nose for the end zone. After scoring 20 touchdowns over the first five seasons of his career, he scored 11 TD's last year. As usual, he was very volatile. He had seven games with single digit PPR points. He also went over 20 points on four occasions. When drafting Kittle, fantasy managers simply can't take him out of their lineup. When he appears to be in a slump, the magic happens. For instance, after three straight games with less than 40 yards receiving, he erupted for two straight two-TD, 90+ yard contests in week 15 and 16 and seven touchdowns over four weeks. Kittle should be drafted as the fourth or fifth tight end off the board in most drafts, and he should provide a strong. though erratic, return on investment.
- Round 6, Pick 63 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 1139 - 2022 Rank: 14
Bolton was selected in the second round of the 2021 NFL Draft and has quickly proven to be a force in the middle of the defense. As a rookie, he registered 112 tackles as a part of a rotation amongst the linebacker corps. In his second campaign, Bolton topped 1,000 snaps and increased his production to a whopping 180 tackles (108 solo). As would be expected, his primary assignment is to sit in the middle of the field, leaving him with limited sack upside. On the other hand, the next step in Bolton's career could be his work in coverage, as he picked off two passes in 2022 and also logged three passes deflected. Overall, he should rank among the most sought-after IDP options.
- Round 7, Pick 82 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 1630 - 2022 Rank: 36
- Round 8, Pick 87 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 1282 - 2022 Rank: 23
Entering his ninth NFL season, Mosley has emerged as one of the most consistent tacklers in the league, topping 100 stops on six occasions. However, he's particularly blossomed under coach Robert Saleh in the last two years, posting his two highest tackle-total seasons and totaling 326 stops. Even at a relatively advanced age of 31, Mosley has recently shown the ability to improve his skills. He tallied seven passes defensed in 2022, his highest mark since the 2017 season. Given the wear and tear on his body, there will be some risk that Mosley will either lose a step or lose out on playing time due to injury in 2023 and beyond. However, it's hard to argue with his track record until he shows tangible signs of slowing down.
- Round 9, Pick 106 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 1543 - 2022 Rank: 189
- Round 10, Pick 111 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 1101 - 2022 Rank: 40
White is entering the final season of his rookie contract with his future is in limbo. He requested a trade from the Buccaneers this offseason, though the team made it clear they have no interest in dealing him. They've stuck to that position, and White remains on the roster, though he made his displeasure known by sitting out mandatory minicamp. He'll gain no tangible benefit by sitting out game action, however, so we can expect him to be on the field come August and September. Once the pads come on, there are far fewer questions, as he has posted 252 tackles and nine sacks across the last two seasons. The addition of first-round pick Calijah Kancey gives Todd Bowles another disruptive defender to scheme with, but White will pair with Lavonte David as the heart of the defense again in 2023.
- Round 11, Pick 130 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 99 - 2022 Rank: 440
Last season, Johnson set a standard for high-volume, low-efficiency receiving, catching 86 passes for 882 yards and nary a touchdown on 147 targets. Even on a team with poor quarterback play, such a performance raises concerns about his target workload moving forward. That's doubly true given that Pittsburgh's second- and third-most targeted players, WR George Pickens and TE Pat Freiermuth, both managed above-average numbers for pass-pass efficiency. Pickens and Freiermuth also happen to be younger than Johnson, both coming from the second round in recent drafts. On the other hand, Johnson is only two years removed from putting up 1,161 receiving yards and eight TDs -- albeit on 169 targets -- and he's still one of the better receivers in the league when it comes to lateral agility and elusiveness. The drawbacks, of course, are numerous, as he's struggled with drops and is neither big (5-10, 183) nor fast (4.53 40-yard dash) by NFL standards. Johnson is locked in for a starting job and lofty snap counts after the Steelers settled for a post-prime Allen Robinson as their "big" offseason addition to the WR room, but there's major risk of a step back when it comes to target volume. The efficiency almost has to improve, especially if the Pittsburgh offense takes a step forward in QB Kenny Pickett's second pro season.
- Round 12, Pick 135 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 141 - 2022 Rank: 599
Okonkwo was brought along slowly for the first half of his rookie season, but the 2022 fourth-round pick out of Maryland flourished down the stretch. He caught at least three passes in six of Tennessee's final seven games, racking up 24 catches for 278 yards and two touchdowns over that span. Veteran WR Robert Woods and Austin Hooper, who worked ahead of Okonkwo at TE for most of last season, both left in free agency. Okonkwo and fellow 2022 draft pick Treylon Burks are thus set to take on expanded roles in the Tennessee passing game alongside offseason signing DeAndre Hopkins. Okonkwo's undersized at 6-foot-2 and 244 pounds, but if he blocks well enough to earn an every-down role in the Titans' run-first offense, the tight end should continue to cause mismatches for defenses with his 4.52 speed, which was the best among all tight ends in his draft class. Tennessee didn't bring in a veteran replacement for Hooper, settling for 2023 fifth-round pick Josh Whyle, so Okonkwo should get every opportunity to expand his role in 2023 after playing more than half of the team's offensive snaps only twice in 2022.
- Round 13, Pick 154 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 115 - 2022 Rank: 9
In many fantasy leagues, Goff was an afterthought going into the 2022 season. He ended up being a very strong fantasy performer. His 29:7 TD:INT was the best of his seven-year career. He also had an impressive 65.1% completion rate. Although that percentage was 2% lower than his previous two seasons, that could be explained away by his 7.6 yards per attempt, which was his highest in the previous four years. Goff completed 12 passes of at least 40 yards while posting 300 yards in five games. The only knock on his season was that he was very different at home versus on the road. He threw 23 touchdown passes at home but only six in away games. Goff has very good weapons going into the season, though Jameson Williams will miss the first six games (suspension). It's clear that the Detroit coaching staff is willing to let their quarterback air the ball out. Since it's possible that Goff's road struggles continue, he may be best viewed as a streaming option in leagues that require one starting quarterback.
- Round 14, Pick 159 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 27 - 2022 Rank: 398
A third-round pick in 2022 out of Alabama, Robinson's rookie campaign started out in shocking fashion when he was shot during an attempted robbery. He made his debut in Week 5 and was quickly pushed into a prominent early-down role by former offensive coordinator Scott Turner, who seemed to blame Antonio Gibson for his own failures. While Robinson delivered decent volume numbers, his inability to shed tacklers and gain yards after contact kept him from separating himself from his competition and establishing himself as the Commanders' lead back of the future. Turner has since been replaced by former Kansas City coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and it's not clear whether Robinson, Gibson, or even 2023 sixth-round pick Chris Rodriguez will emerge as the top option in Washington's backfield. If Robinson isn't in a workhorse role though, it's tough to see him making much of an impact due to his lack of passing-down work and ineffectiveness in short-yardage situations.
- Round 15, Pick 178 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 1117 - 2022 Rank: 575
Al-Shaair has had an impressive rise in his professional career, progressing from undrafted free agent to a key figure in the 49ers defense. Primarily a special teams contributor for the two seasons of his career, Al-Shaair emerged as an impressive per-game producer in both 2021 and 2022. The biggest issue for him has been his ability to stay on the field, as he's played only 25 games combined across the last two seasons. In that same span, he racked up a combined 146 tackles with two sacks, five passes defended, and two picks. Even when healthy, the 49ers used Al-Shaair in a rotational role due to their impressive defensive personnel. That isn't the case in Tennessee -- especially after the departure of David Long - so Al-Shaair should have the chance to further improve his production if he can stay on the field.
- Round 16, Pick 183 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 496 - 2022 Rank: 106
- Round 17, Pick 202 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 92 - 2022 Rank: 521
Although the Rams had a terrible season on offense, the same cannot be said for Higbee. He had career highs with 72 receptions and 108 targets. However, due to the crumbling offensive line and carousel at quarterback, his 8.6 yards per reception was the lowest since his 2016 rookie season. Higbee was frequently used on tight end screens, so his 64th-percentile yards after the catch rate helped him to post decent yardage totals, but he was very inconsistent (he had 15 or fewer yards in seven of his last 12 games). Nonetheless, in Weeks 1-5 when the offense was decent, he had between 39 and 73 yards in each game. Going into his age-30 season, it's unlikely Higbee will finish inside the top-12 tight ends, but he should be in the tier below that.
- Round 18, Pick 207 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 553 - 2022 Rank: 267
- Round 19, Pick 226 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 75 - 2022 Rank: 181
A move from Arizona to Jacksonville in free agency last year helped Kirk take his game to the next level. Kirk established himself as the favorite target for QB Trevor Lawrence en route to career highs in targets (133), catches (84), receiving yards (1,108) and touchdowns (eight). Repeating that volume will be difficult in 2023, as Kirk will have to compete for targets with Calvin Ridley, who has played only five games since the 2020 season but posted 1,374 receiving yards in that 2020 campaign. The Jaguars are also bringing back Zay Jones and Evan Engram, who ranked second and third behind Kirk in targets last season, with 121 and 98, respectively. A potential drop in targets could be canceled out by improved efficiency for Kirk in 2023, as Lawrence could take another step forward in his third NFL season, and defenses will likely have to divert attention away from Kirk to contain Ridley. Kirk turns 27 in November, so he's in no danger of losing a step due to age as he enters the second season of his four-year, $72 million deal with the Jaguars.
- Round 20, Pick 231 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 1289 - 2022 Rank: 854
- Round 21, Pick 250 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 1654 - 2022 Rank: 155
- Round 22, Pick 255 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 1415 - 2022 Rank: 378
- Round 23, Pick 274 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 1239 - 2022 Rank: 933
- Round 24, Pick 279 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 88 - 2022 Rank: 467
For a player with his physical gifts and consistent production, it's kind of remarkable that Cooks has never found a long-term home in the NFL. Since being selected in the first round in 2014, the speedster has played for four teams, and a March trade from the Texans has the Cowboys poised to be team No. 5. Through his travels, Cooks has topped 1,000 receiving yards six times in the last eight seasons, and the fact that he didn't reach that mark in Houston last year falls squarely on the shoulders of the erratic quarterback play. While he'll turn 30 in September, he still possesses the speed to force defenders back on their heels, and Dak Prescott should be the best QB he's worked with since he was Tom Brady's top option on the outside with the Patriots in 2017. CeeDee Lamb has that role in Dallas in 2023, but Cooks can still make an impact as the No. 2 wideout.
- Round 25, Pick 298 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 355 - 2022 Rank: 251
- Round 26, Pick 303 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 1455 - 2022 Rank: 220
- Round 27, Pick 322 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 221 - 2022 Rank: 273
Jacksonville promptly scooped up McManus after the 32-year-old kicker was released by the Broncos earlier this offseason. His career 81.4 percent conversion rate on field goals is nothing to write home about, but McManus has a big leg, and the Broncos didn't hesitate to have him attempt plenty of long kicks in the Denver altitude. Over the previous three seasons, McManus converted all 26 of his field-goal attempts from 40-49 yards but just 23 of 37 from 50-plus. His volume figures to go up on a Jaguars team that averaged 23.8 PPG last season compared to Denver's league-low 16.9, and Jacksonville's more likely to improve than regress in Trevor Lawrence's third season under center.
- Round 28, Pick 327 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 1308 - 2022 Rank: 153
- Round 29, Pick 346 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 91 - 2022 Rank: 393
Signed to a two-year, $7.5 million contract in free agency, Perine is Denver's insurance for Javonte Williams while Williams recovers from his season-ending ACL/LCL injury from Week 4. New coach Sean Payton likely appreciated Perine's ability to play passing-down snaps, as Perine can make an impact both as a pass catcher and in blitz pickup. His dense, 240-pound frame allows Perine to withstand big volume if necessary, so his presence buys enough time for Williams to progress at whatever pace the Broncos want. With a career total of 1,592 yards and seven touchdowns rushing at 4.0 yards per carry, however, it's safe to say that Perine is volume-dependent as a runner. So long as Williams is active, it's difficult to imagine Perine claiming the rushing volume necessary to stand out. If the volume is up for grabs, though, Perine is prepared to shoulder it.
Team Forecast
Bye Week Points Lost
Each bar represents the total projected season points for each player that's on bye that week. This chart shows any potential bye week issues.
Schedule by Opponent Points
Week-by-week schedule with each opponent's projected season points. This chart shows any difficult or easy stretches in the schedule.
