Die Nasty made waves in the League of Dynasties draft, earning an impressive A+ grade. With the 6th pick in the draft order, they had their work cut out for them, but they managed to assemble a team that has the potential to dominate the league. Projected to finish 2nd with a record of 14-1-0, Die Nasty is poised to make a strong playoff run. However, they'll need to navigate a tough schedule, ranked as the 11th toughest out of 12 teams. With 4 players on bye week 13, they'll have to strategize carefully to maintain their momentum.
Die Nasty's draft strategy paid off with their best pick at 79, where they snagged DeAndre Hopkins, who had an ADP of 61. This steal of a pick could be a game-changer for their team. On the other hand, their worst pick came at 90, where they reached for Mike Williams with an ADP of 81. While it's not the end of the world, Die Nasty may need to rely on some luck for this pick to pay off. One interesting aspect of their draft is that they selected 3 players from the same team: Bobby Wagner, Julian Love, and Jason Myers. Will this trio be the secret weapon that propels Die Nasty to victory, or will it be their downfall? Only time will tell, but one thing's for sure - Die Nasty is ready to make a name for themselves in the League of Dynasties!
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ADP Analysis
Bars above zero indicate a pick was selected later than a player's ADP. Bars below zero show players that were taken earlier than their ADP.
Inside the Draft
Player Outlooks
- Round 1, Pick 6 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 114 - 2022 Rank: 7
Typically when each season ends, Cousins puts up very good seasonal numbers. It's the week-to-week ride that can be very problematic for fantasy managers. He threw for the second-most yardage of his career last year, but don't forget we're in a 17-game season these days, so those numbers can be skewed a bit. Cousins threw 14 interceptions in 2022, which was his highest total in a season to go along with 29 touchdowns. And although he's great for having explosive games, Cousins had three games with at least three touchdown passes, he often goes flat. He had eight games in which he threw zero or one touchdown. Cousins also had three games in which he failed to surpass 175 passing yards. Still not enough? He had four games with multiple interceptions. Cousins' ceiling games make him an excellent option in best ball leagues. But in redraft leagues, the implosion games are often unpredictable, and that makes him better as a QB2 in leagues that start a single quarterback. He's obviously a great option in leagues that start two quarterbacks.
- Round 2, Pick 18 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 2396 - 2022 Rank: 38
Chubb is considered by many to be the top runner in the league, regularly topping 5.0 yards per carry despite getting a lot of work in situations where the defense expects a run or only needs to defend the final few yards of the field. On the other hand, Chubb's fantasy output has been somewhat limited by Kareem Hunt playing a lot of snaps and receiving most of Cleveland's RB targets. Although Chubb has been effective with his limited receiving opportunities, he simply hasn't been given the chance to accumulate many targets. The Browns may finally give Chubb more work as a pass catcher now that Hunt is no longer on the team, even if they ultimately settle on Jerome Ford or Demetric Felton as the back of choice for obvious passing situations. Should that happen, Chubb will be positioned for his best fantasy year yet, especially if QB Deshaun Watson regains his Houston form and buoys the entire offense. Chubb is already an annual candidate to lead the league in rushing yards and could now enter the mix to finish first in total yards and/or touchdowns. Even if things don't break in his favor, Chubb should retain his floor as an above-average fantasy starter thanks to both volume and efficiency on the ground.
- Round 3, Pick 30 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 8 - 2022 Rank: 86
A tight end only in title, Kelce is the WR1 of the Chiefs for all practical purposes. If one figures Patrick Mahomes is the best quarterback in the league and Kelce is basically his WR1, then it's easy to see why Kelce is a consensus first-round fantasy pick, and one who often goes as high as the top five. There's no historical precedent for tight ends to be drafted so high in fantasy, but Kelce continues to justify the expense year after year. The question is how much longer Kelce can continue to produce at these unprecedented levels. Unpleasant as it is to think about, the specter of decline looms with Kelce turning 34 in October, and it's unclear how easily he'll run his current route tree if he loses a step. Kelce certainly didn't look like a player facing decline in 2022, as his 152 targets and 12 touchdowns were both career highs. So long as Kelce remains in full form he has no imitators and is worthy of first round selection.
- Round 4, Pick 42 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 16 - 2022 Rank: 31
Not much went right for the Raiders in 2022, but Jacobs' season was one glaring exception. After a merely 'good' first three years to his NFL career, Jacobs went nuts and matched or set career highs in all of carries (340), rushing yardage (1,653), rushing touchdowns (12), yards per carry (4.9), targets (64) and receiving yardage (400) in 2022. Jacobs also logged a career high in snaps, his 783 in 2022 blazing past the previous high of 616 (2020). As much as coach Josh McDaniels struggled to run the Raiders in general, there does seem to be a solid link between the arrival of McDaniels (and Davante Adams) and this new level of production from Jacobs. McDaniels seems to have found a collection of playcalls that allows the two threats to play off of each other, keeping defenses off balance despite knowing either Jacobs or Adams will get the ball on most plays.
- Round 5, Pick 54 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 1210 - 2022 Rank: 13
Smith was dealt by the Bears just before the trade deadline last season after it became clear the sides wouldn't agree to terms on a long-term extension. He didn't take much time to acclimate to his new surroundings in Baltimore, as he managed 94 tackles, two sacks, three passes defended, and an interception across 10 games. Smith was rewarded with a five-year, $100 million contract extension in January, and will now be the long-term centerpiece of the Ravens' defense. After an offseason to learn the defense, Smith will officially become the leader of the unit and wear the green dot. While others around the league will have more gaudy sack totals, Smith has topped 160 tackles in consecutive seasons. We should expect more of the same in 2023, which makes him among the safest IDP selections available.
- Round 6, Pick 66 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 1130 - 2022 Rank: 25
Wagner suited up for a team other than the Seahawks for the first time in 2022, as he signed with the division-rival Rams. He has managed at least 100 tackles in each of his 11 seasons as a pro and has proven he can remain productive as he heads into the back end of his career. In fact, he showed a new facet to his game, racking up a career-high six sacks with Los Angeles. Despite things going well away from Seattle on a personal level, Wagner returned to the Seahawks on a one-year deal this offseason. He'll certainly be locked into a starting role, and with Jordyn Brooks on the mend from an ACL tear, Wagner should have the chance to lead the team in tackles.
- Round 7, Pick 79 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 74 - 2022 Rank: 457
Starting his 2022 season in Week 7 after a suspension to start the year, Hopkins came out on fire the first few games. He then tailed off the rest of the way. Of course, the Cardinals did lose Kyler Murray in December to a knee injury, so the quarterback play was not good. However, Hopkins posted just a 14th-percentile yards after the catch rate. But with him seeing 10.6 targets per game, his production was always going to be solid. Aside from the suspension, he missed two games due to injury at the end of the season, on top of missing six games in 2021. Prior to those injuries, he only missed two games in his first eight seasons. Going into his age-31 season, we have to begin to wonder whether the durability issues have to do with him aging. The Titans are betting against it, as they signed Hopkins to a two-year contract in July after the Cardinals released him earlier in the offseason. The veteran wideout now joins an offense that's consistently prioritized the run under coach Mike Vrabel, but Hopkins at least won't have much competition for targets apart from 2022 first-round pick Treylon Burks. The two wide receivers and RB Derrick Henry figure to account for a huge portion of Tennessee's offense.
- Round 8, Pick 90 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 2160 - 2022 Rank: 351
Back injuries are always concerning, and maybe even more so for Williams given the neck injury he suffered in his Clemson days, but the minor back fracture suffered by Williams in Week 18 appears to be a non-issue. More specifically, Williams said in June that the back had been fully recovered since the spring. So long as he's healthy, then Williams should plug back in to a high-volume role in one of the league's most enviable passing games. Williams' target rate rose significantly over the last two years, a span in which he averaged about 120 targets per 850 snaps after averaging only about 85 targets per 850 snaps in his first four seasons. If he can maintain that elevated target rate for a third year and stay healthy all season then 2023 could shape up to be a career year for Williams. There's a possible concern with the introduction of first-round pick Quentin Johnston, but Johnston is more of a downfield specialist than someone who can run the same intermediate routes as Williams. Rather than Williams' usage, Johnston should instead raid the comparatively inefficient targets that went to Joshua Palmer (107) and Gerald Everett (87).
- Round 9, Pick 103 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 1322 - 2022 Rank: 18
Edwards enjoyed a breakout 2022 season and emerged as a key member of the Eagles' excellent defense. His 1,005 snaps were 311 more than he had in the previous campaign, and he turned that into career-high marks in tackles (159) and passes defended (7). Edwards parlayed his production into a three-year, $19.5 million contract with the Bears this offseason. He'll play alongside Tremaine Edwards - another free-agent addition for Chicago - in a reimagined defense. While Edwards has just five sacks and two forced fumbles as a pro, he could become more of a playmaker on his new team as he's projected to shift from being inside to an outside linebacker. Regardless of exactly where he lines up, he'll be counted on for a similar workload in Chicago and thus should be a top IDP in the fall.
- Round 10, Pick 114 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 1553 - 2022 Rank: 84
- Round 11, Pick 127 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 1858 - 2022 Rank: 109
- Round 12, Pick 138 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 1202 - 2022 Rank: 41
David signed a modest one-year, $1.1 million contract this offseason to remain with the Buccaneers for a 12th NFL campaign. Despite his relatively advanced age and heavy workload during his career, David managed 123 tackles last year -- his most since 2019. He also played more than 1,000 snaps for the third time in the last four seasons, an impeccable record of consistency and availability. It's possible that we see his role shift in 2023, however. Tampa Bay spent a fifth-round pick on SirVocea Dennis, whose instincts make him an ideal player to apprentice with the veteran linebacker. If the team elects to begin the transition this year - a possibility considering the likelihood that the Buccaneers aren't competing for the playoffs -- David's volume would suffer even if his per-play efficiency remains consistent.
- Round 13, Pick 151 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 1631 - 2022 Rank: 138
- Round 14, Pick 162 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 1648 - 2022 Rank: 151
- Round 15, Pick 175 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 571 - 2022 Rank: 54
- Round 16, Pick 186 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 576 - 2022 Rank: 66
Wilson has overcome the odds as a sixth-round pick in 2019 to become a key part of the Dallas secondary. The 28-year-old rebounded from an injury-marred 2021 campaign, topping 100 tackles for the first time in his four-year career last season. He possesses a versatile skillset, as he regularly gets to the quarterback on blitzes and tallied a career-best five sacks in 2022. He rounds out his profile with good coverage skills, making him an outstanding fit for coordinator Dan Quinn's defense. Wilson was rewarded with a three-year contract this offseason worth up to $24 million. If he can stay healthy, Wilson again should post excellent all-around production again in 2023.
- Round 17, Pick 199 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 702 - 2022 Rank: 72
- Round 18, Pick 210 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 1392 - 2022 Rank: 102
- Round 19, Pick 223 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 157 - 2022 Rank: 233
The Rams had a terrible offensive line last year, and their running game was stuck in neutral. As a result, Stafford paid the price with 29 sacks in 11 games. Last year, the team added Allen Robinson in free agency, but either the team didn't properly use him, or Robinson was on the downside of his career. So with very little going his way, Stafford was consistently getting hit, which kept him unable to put up consistent fantasy points. Stafford's 10:8 TD:INT ratio was his worst since 2012. And due to the constant pressure, his 6.9 yards per attempt was significantly lower than any of his last three seasons. Although Stafford had at least 240 passing yards in each of his first six games, he failed to crack 190 in any of his last three. He then suffered a neck injury and was shut down for the season. Going into 2023, Stafford may see an improvement from the offensive line, as a number of starters will return from injuries, and the Rams added guard Steve Avila in the second round of the draft. Coach Sean McVay will have had time to consider different ways for Stafford to attack defenses while hopefully getting the ball out of his hands quicker to keep him healthy. Still, the Rams seem a bit of a rebuilding mess. Stafford shouldn't be considered more than a backup in typical fantasy leagues.
- Round 20, Pick 234 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 1863 - 2022 Rank: 112
- Round 21, Pick 247 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 1310 - 2022 Rank: 67
- Round 22, Pick 258 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 1123 - 2022 Rank: 116
- Round 23, Pick 271 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 156 - 2022 Rank: 347
Lazard joins quarterback Aaron Rodgers in moving from Green Bay to New York this season. Garrett Wilson is the clear No. 1 option for the passing game, and while no obvious No. 2 wideout stands out, Lazard has the likely inside track following the abrupt retirement of Corey Davis in August. Mecole Hardman will give him his biggest challenge with only Randall Cobb among the top-4 WR. Lazard is a uniquely superior blocker among the Jets' receiving corps, which should guarantee him a sizeable weekly snap share. His connection with Rodgers also shouldn't be overlooked as a mere narrative, as his 6-foot-5 frame and 14 touchdowns the last two seasons are proof that he's trusted by his QB in the red zone. Lazard's four-year, $44 million contract is also incentive to get him involved early and often.
- Round 24, Pick 282 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 207 - 2022 Rank: 494
After a disappointing 2021 campaign, it wasn't clear Slayton still had a future with the Giants, but he re-established himself as a downfield threat under new coach Brian Daboll. It took a few games and a few injuries ahead of him on the depth chart for that to happen, though, as Slayton didn't make his first catch until Week 4 before going on to set new career highs in yards per catch and yards per target. The Giants brought in plenty of competition in the offseason, adding Parris Campbell in free agency, Jalin Hyatt in the draft and tight end Darren Waller via trade, but Slayton's elite speed should still give him a role in the offense. Slayton, 26, signed a two-year, $12 million contract in March to stay in New York, but less than half that money is guaranteed, so if he tumbles down the depth chart again he may not get another chance to regain his standing with the team.
- Round 25, Pick 295 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 257 - 2022 Rank: 239
Hill remained in the hybrid role he's been in for years. But last year, his primary job was running the ball. He threw 19 passes and caught nine balls, but he rushed 96 times. HIll was excellent as a runner, averaging a career-high 6.0 yards per carry. Hill will realize his best fantasy value in leagues where he is TE-eligible. But going into his age-33 season, it's fair to question whether he'll enter the decline phase of his career. However, he didn't show those signs last year. Consistent usage is probably the bigger problem, especially if new Saint QB Derek Carr stays healthy. Hill could see an increase in work if Alvin Kamara receives league discipline based on his July 31 court case from a battery charge. Hill is an intriguing upside pick should you miss out on the more standard, Top-10 tight end options.
- Round 26, Pick 306 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 1681 - 2022 Rank: -
- Round 27, Pick 319 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 392 - 2022 Rank: 127
- Round 28, Pick 330 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 236 - 2022 Rank: 184
After averaging 21 made field goals between 2019-2021, the Seahawks offense finally had a successful year. As a result, Myers connected on 34 field goals, which was the most he has had in any of his eight seasons. Although he's had a couple down years from an accuracy standpoint, Myers has made at least 91.7 percent of his field goals in three of the last five years. He just signed a four-year contract, so he has job security. And if the Seahawks continue their positive direction on offense, he should be a top-eight kicking option.
- Round 29, Pick 343 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 474 - 2022 Rank: 147
Team Forecast
Bye Week Points Lost
Each bar represents the total projected season points for each player that's on bye that week. This chart shows any potential bye week issues.
Schedule by Opponent Points
Week-by-week schedule with each opponent's projected season points. This chart shows any difficult or easy stretches in the schedule.
