In a draft that left the other teams green with envy, 20 bucks is 20 bucks showed their prowess by snagging an A+ draft grade. With a projected finish of 1st and a perfect 14-0-0 record, this team is set to conquer the League of Ordinary Gentlemen. Their projected points of 2844.61 are enough to make any opponent quiver in fear, even with the 11th toughest schedule in the league. It seems like Lady Luck is on their side, as they only have 4 players on bye week 7, a minor inconvenience for a team destined for greatness.
The best pick of the draft for 20 bucks is 20 bucks was when they nabbed Sam Howell at pick 45, surpassing his ADP of 129. Talk about a steal! However, not every pick was a slam dunk. Their worst pick came at pick 7, when they reached for Anthony Richardson with an ADP of 122. But hey, nobody's perfect, right? What's interesting is that 20 bucks is 20 bucks decided to go all-in on a single team, drafting 3 players from the same team: Cincinnati, Ja'Marr Chase, and Tee Higgins. Perhaps they're banking on the power of teamwork to carry them to victory. And let's not forget their bold move of drafting 6 tight ends, well above the league average of 3.6. Maybe they're planning to start a tight end revolution in fantasy football. All in all, 20 bucks is 20 bucks has set themselves up for a season full of triumph and a name that will forever be remembered in fantasy football history.
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ADP Analysis
Bars above zero indicate a pick was selected later than a player's ADP. Bars below zero show players that were taken earlier than their ADP.
Inside the Draft
Player Outlooks
- Round 1, Pick 7 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 44 - 2022 Rank: -
The Colts couldn't pass up Richardson's tremendous athletic upside with the fourth overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. The rookie out of Florida is raw, having completed only 53.8 percent of his passes last season, but Richardson has one of the most impressive physical profiles ever among QB prospects. Richarson has a cannon for an arm at 6-foot-4 and 244 pounds, plus he boasts 4.44 speed and set the QB record at the NFL Combine with a 40.5-inch vertical jump. Indianapolis also brought in Gardner Minshew in free agency, but it's likely just a matter of time until Richardson is handed the reins to the offense, and the rookie should be involved in short yardage and goal-line packages from the get-go. Even under the tutelage of head coach Shane Steichen, who oversaw the meteoric rise of fellow dual-threat QB Jalen Hurts as Philadelphia's offensive coordinator over the past two seasons, Richardson will likely struggle as a passer early in his NFL career, especially with few established targets to throw to besides Michael Pittman in a run-first offense centered around RB Jonathan Taylor. Still, Richardson's rushing ability (nine rushing TDs in 2022) makes him the most intriguing member of this rookie QB class from a fantasy perspective, as Justin Fields proved last year that you don't need to be a proficient passer to find significant fantasy success as a QB in the modern NFL.
- Round 2, Pick 21 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 133 - 2022 Rank: -
Bigsby was selected in the third round of the 2023 NFL Draft by the Jaguars after posting 2,903 yards and 25 touchdowns on 540 carries (5.4 YPC) in 35 games over the past three years at Auburn. The 6-foot, 210-pound Bigsby reportedly impressed as both a rusher and pass catcher at OTAs, further entrenching his standing as the top backup to Travis Etienne. While Etienne was a big play machine in his first NFL season last year, he struggled to churn out consistent gains at times, so Bigsby has a direct path to a prominent role in clock-killing situations, which could be plentiful if the Jaguars play up to their billing as favorites in the AFC South. Bigsby will need to hold off RBs D'Ernest Johnson, JaMycal Hasty, Snoop Conner, and Qadree Ollison in camp and preseason, but the rookie is the clear favorite to open his NFL career as the No. 2 option behind Etienne, if not the 1B in a platoon.
- Round 3, Pick 44 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 188 - 2022 Rank: -
- Round 4, Pick 45 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 161 - 2022 Rank: 378
Howell made only one start last year as a rookie, and that came in Week 18, but the North Carolina product appears poised to begin 2023 as the starting quarterback for Washington. The team cleared the way for the 2022 fifth-round pick to take over by releasing Carson Wentz and letting Taylor Heinicke walk in free agency. Howell has the arm talent to succeed in the NFL, but he lacks game-changing mobility and has to prove he can diagnose coverage quickly enough to take full advantage of a solid group of wideouts led by Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson. The Commanders brought in Eric Bieniemy to run the offense, and the former Kansas City offensive coordinator will likely focus on setting Howell up for quick strikes rather than leave him hanging in the pocket behind what was one of the league's poorer offensive lines in 2022. If Howell stumbles badly, veteran Jacoby Brissett is a capable backup, but the younger QB will get every chance to show he can solve the franchise's long-running woes at the position.
- Round 5, Pick 57 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 2465 - 2022 Rank: -
Washington's collegiate stat line from three seasons at Georgia may be considered underwhelming, with a total of only 45 receptions, 774 yards and three touchdowns. Nevertheless, he displayed good speed and agility at the 2023 Scouting Combine and had some first-round hype due to his massive frame (264 pounds) and impressive blocking skills. Ultimately, Washington was drafted by Pittsburgh in the third round, with reports suggesting he dropped due to medical concerns with his knee. Although Pat Freiermuth is locked in as the team's top tight end, Washington could quickly unseat Zach Gentry for the No. 2 role and might find his way to rookie-year fantasy value in the event of a Freiermuth injury. If nothing else, Washington gives the Steelers more versatility to use multi-TE sets and help the running game.
DEF - Round 6, Pick 69 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 204 - 2022 Rank: 181
The Bengals defense had a strong 2022, ranking eighth with 24 takeaways and sixth with only 19 points allowed per game. However, the team lost both starting safeties, Jessie Bates and Vonn Bell, during free agency in the offseason. As a result, they will have to rely on 2022 first-rounder Dax Hill and new signing Nick Scott to step up.Additionally, the Bengals have added second-round rookie CB DJ Turner to their secondary. The team's front seven at least looks strong again, which may aid the inexperienced secondary. And from a fantasy standpoint, it helps that the Bengals have an offense capable of providing large leads throughout the season.
- Round 7, Pick 81 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 2239 - 2022 Rank: -
DEF - Round 8, Pick 93 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 231 - 2022 Rank: 190
The Bucs fell from their standing as a top defense last year. Their biggest issue was their inability to pressure, and they registered the seventh-fewest sacks in the league. Without consistent pressure, they were also in the bottom 10 in interceptions. Aside from the outside CBs, this defense won't likely see much improvement. Also, if their offense struggles with a new QB, the defense may be forced to spend more time than usual on the field, which could hurt their effectiveness. At best, they'll be a middling unit, but they could be a bottom quarter group as well.
- Round 9, Pick 105 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 258 - 2022 Rank: 208
Hardman couldn't take advantage of Tyreek Hill's departure in his fourth season with the Chiefs last year, averaging less than 40 yards per game in the eight games he played. He'll once again get the advantage of playing with a future Hall of Fame quarterback in New York, though Aaron Rodger's substandard 2022 campaign could be reason for tampering expectations. The Jets' receiving corps is less crowded behind No. 1 Garrett Wilson after Corey Davis retired in August. Hardman is the only real speedster of the group, and his skillset doesn't significantly overlap with Allen Lazard, a more big-bodied chain mover. Tthe 25-year-old Hardman could well be a regular fixture in three-wide sets. The argument for Hardman as a post-hype sleeper isn't difficult, as long as he's indeed able to get healthy without setbacks, but fantasy may be fatigued enough for him to fall to the last round of drafts.
- Round 10, Pick 117 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 6 - 2022 Rank: 20
Diggs' couldn't have asked for a better career development than being traded to Buffalo back in 2020, as each of his three seasons with the Bills resulted in more receiving yards and more catches than any of his five years in Minnesota. Heading into his age-30 season, Diggs is coming off three straight Pro Bowls and a 2022 campaign that saw him set a new career-high TD mark with 11 scores, including three in Week 2 alone. As the clear No. 1 target for Josh Allen, Diggs has averaged 112.7 catches for 1,396.3 yards and 9.7 touchdowns per season in his time with the Bills, solidifying himself as one of the few true alpha wideouts in the league. First-round rookie TE Dalton Kincaid a crowded cast of complementary options, but none of Gabe Davis, Khalil Shakir or Dawson Knox are a true threat to Diggs' target share. As he approaches his age-30 season, remember that Diggs will some day begin to slow down. But he hasn't shown any signs of that yet. For now, the veteran is attached to an elite quarterback and established as the unquestioned No. 1 option amid his offense.
- Round 11, Pick 129 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 12 - 2022 Rank: 38
The nature of Chase's production changed a lot between his rookie year and 2022, though he ranked fifth among WRs in fantasy points per game for a second straight year. After playing all 17 games in 2021 as a rookie, Chase made only 12 appearances last year yet finished with six more targets. He mostly added lower-value work, with his aDOT dropping from 12.6 to 9.0, his YPR from 18.0 to 12.0 and his YPT from 11.4 to 7.8. On the other hand, Chase was the lone player in the NFL to average 11 targets per game last year (11.2), and only Cooper Kupp and Justin Jefferson averaged more catches (Chase had 7.3 for 87.2 yards). The most likely scenario for Chase in his age-23 season is combining some elements of the past two years, but there's also a ceiling scenario where he combines the rookie efficiency and sophomore volume to elevate above college buddy Justin Jefferson for the overall WR1 crown. At worst, the 2021 fifth overall pick is locked in as a top-10 wideout for fantasy, catching passes from star QB Joe Burrow in a pass-first offense in which fellow WR Tee Higgins also demands attention from opposing defensive backs.
- Round 12, Pick 141 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 30 - 2022 Rank: 34
Last year, Jones was typically drafted as a top-10 running back. He ended the season with 1,516 scrimmage yards and seven touchdowns. That made Jones a very good early pick. So what happened this offseason? He took a $5 million pay cut. The big difference in the offense is that Aaron Rodgers is out and Jordan Love is in at quarterback. Rodgers was excellent when throwing to running backs, though we don't know how Love will be in that capacity. In early drafts, Jones is being selected outside of the top-15 running backs. His stock may be dropping because he's entering his age-28 season. In addition, fantasy managers may not be excited about the direction of the offense with Rodgers gone. Regardless, Jones has averaged over five yards per carry over his career, including a 5.3 mark last year. In addition, he's posted at least 355 receiving yards in the last four years. He had taken on the lead role over AJ Dillon last year, but once Jones was dealing with late-season injury issues, Dillon cut significantly into the workload. Jones may be the best player on the Green Bay offense, and the coaching staff may need to make him the focal point. If they do, Jones would become a great value in fantasy drafts.
- Round 13, Pick 153 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 32 - 2022 Rank: 35
Stevenson's raw athletic numbers don't jump off the page, but he makes up for a lack of elite speed or quickness with contact balance, vision and a versatile skillset. Stevenson's style breeds elusiveness with the ball in his hands, and he's proven to be a superior pass-catcher as well. Last season, he added a 69-421-1 line through the air in addition to 210 carries for 1,040 yards and five scores on the ground. Stevenson passed the eye-test as New England's undisputed RB1. Damien Harris left for Buffalo, but the Patriots signed Ezekiel Elliott in August. Stevenson's workload might not increase much this season with Elliott vying for touches, but he's still the lead back and first receiving option out of the backfield. As long as Elliott doesn't snipe too many goal-line carries, the explosive Stevenson is efficient enough to make up for a slight dip volume.
- Round 14, Pick 165 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 178 - 2022 Rank: 136
Knox managed a similar receiving line from 2021 to 2022, hovering within the 500-yard range each season, with the exception of his touchdown total dropping from nine to six. He earned his first Pro Bowl with scores in each of Buffalo's last four games, plus the team's playoff opener. Knox has momentum and clear chemistry with Allen on his side, making him a lock to retain a key role on offense for the Bills, but the selection of first-round rookie TE Dalton Kincaid clouds things. Though Knox is under contract for three more seasons, Kincaid represents Buffalo's future at the position, and he could begin competing for snaps as early as Year 1. Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis remain the top options in this passing game, making Knox the No. 3 look for Allen at best, with the danger of Kincaid earning work out of the slot. In all likelihood, the best path for Knox to maintain valuable production will be in the end zone.
- Round 15, Pick 177 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 36 - 2022 Rank: 76
A second-round pick in 2020, Swift flashed his talent and upside over three seasons with the Lions but also demonstrated an unfortunate propensity for getting hurt, and he got flipped to the Eagles in the offseason. Having proven he can't hold up under a big workload, the Georgia product could find himself in a somewhat ideal situation in the final year of his rookie contract, as coach Nick Sirianni has leaned toward using a backfield committee during his time at the helm in Philadelphia. The big question will be who's involved in that committee for any particular week in 2023. Miles Sanders is now in Carolina, but Swift will be joined by fellow injury-prone newcomer Rashaad Penny, and holdovers Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott have had their moments in an Eagles uniform. Swift's three-down skill set gives him more versatility than Penny, but the duo could both be extremely effective behind the team's elite offensive line if reduced volume allows them to stay out of the trainer's room.
- Round 16, Pick 189 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 78 - 2022 Rank: 55
Higgins is well established as a high-quality WR2 in both real life and fantasy football. There's been some talk of him getting a WR1 opportunity as he enters the final year of his contract, but the Bengals don't seem interested in succumbing to trade rumors. Higgins showed up for the offseason program, and the team can keep him around next year with a franchise tag even if he doesn't sign an extension this summer/fall. He had at least 908 yards and six touchdowns in each of his first three NFL seasons, including back-to-back 1,000 yard campaigns the past two years. At 6-4, he excels on jump balls and contested catches, and although he is not as fast as teammate Ja'Marr Chase or as much of a YAC threat, Higgins nonetheless has proven quite useful on short and intermediate passes. In terms of fantasy upside beyond the 1,200-yard range or so, that'll probably only happen for Higgins in Cincinnati if Chase misses extended time -- a scenario that would leave the talented 2020 second-round pick as Joe Burrow's unquestioned top option.
- Round 17, Pick 201 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 63 - 2022 Rank: 59
Wilson came on as a rookie sensation in 2022, topping 1,100 receiving yards despite being held back by bottom-of-the-barrel QB play. His winning Offensive Rookie of the Year was a tremendous accomplishment. It was a common sight for Jets fans to watch Wilson breaking wide open, only for the quarterback to either overlook him or miss a wide open throw. Aaron Rodgers, even if coming off a down year, is a huge upgrade over the combination of Zach Wilson, Mike White and an aged Joe Flacco, putting Wilson in prime position to make the leap forward in Year 2. Though Wilson finished 15th in receiving yards as a rookie, he nabbed only four touchdowns, a clear product of New York's limited offensive execution. Wilson's four scores were the worst mark against any receiver in the league with more than 1,100 yards last season, and Wilson has a demonstrable ability to threaten in the red zone. In his final season at Ohio State, Wilson was on the receiving end of 12 touchdowns.
- Round 18, Pick 213 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 92 - 2022 Rank: 117
Although the Rams had a terrible season on offense, the same cannot be said for Higbee. He had career highs with 72 receptions and 108 targets. However, due to the crumbling offensive line and carousel at quarterback, his 8.6 yards per reception was the lowest since his 2016 rookie season. Higbee was frequently used on tight end screens, so his 64th-percentile yards after the catch rate helped him to post decent yardage totals, but he was very inconsistent (he had 15 or fewer yards in seven of his last 12 games). Nonetheless, in Weeks 1-5 when the offense was decent, he had between 39 and 73 yards in each game. Going into his age-30 season, it's unlikely Higbee will finish inside the top-12 tight ends, but he should be in the tier below that.
- Round 19, Pick 225 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 104 - 2022 Rank: 47
Williams had a strong fantasy season with the Lions in 2022. He blew away his previous career highs with 262 carries and 1,066 yards, and his league-leading 17 rushing TDs were more than he scored through his first five years in the league combined (13). However, his use as a receiver evaporated. After catching at least 25 passes in each of his first five years, he had only 12 receptions in 2022. Once valued for versatility, Williams produced his best fantasy season while handling a more one-dimensional role. He now heads to New Orleans, where Alvin Kamara is suspended for the first three games of the season but QB/TE Taysom Hill ensures there will be competition for goal-line carries all the same. If the Saints view Williams the way the Packers once did, he could catch more passes over the first three weeks than he did all of last season, though the receiving volume would then figure to fall off a cliff upon Kamara's return. Further complicating matters is the presence of rookie third-round pick Kendre Miller, who could also get carries early in the season. It's probably best to view Williams as an RB2 for September and a question mark thereafter, though his history of varied usage suggests there are quite a few different ways things could play out.
- Round 20, Pick 237 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 2 - 2022 Rank: 7
After posting 1,400 yards as a rookie in 2021, Jefferson's production has increased by roughly a shocking 200 yards each season. He's also seen his targets go from 125 as a rookie to 184 last year. These are staggering numbers. He played 54% of the snaps in the slot, so the coaching staff definitely knows how to get him open and into space in many different ways. Jefferson had an incredible 10 games with at least a 100 yards with four of those games going for at least 150 yards. Jefferson scored between seven and 10 touchdowns in each of his three seasons. Not only is he as talented as any other receiver in the league, but his coaching staff understands the value of getting the ball in his hands frequently. The only minor concern is that he had a few games in which he mostly disappeared. He had six games with less than 50 yards receiving. In those games, the defense worked to take him out of the contest, and the coaching staff wasn't imaginative enough to overcome it. Regardless, the AP Offensive Player of the Year is still the safest option as the top player on draft boards.
- Round 21, Pick 249 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 182 - 2022 Rank: 240
Offseason knee surgery kept Jefferson out until Week 8 last season. When he returned, he had every opportunity to capitalize in the Rams' injury-riddled offense. By the time the team was down to a third-string quarterback and a bunch of depth pieces at wide receiver, Jefferson was seeing close to five targets per game. But he didn't do much with his opportunity, finishing with 24 receptions, 369 yards and three scores. He never caught more than three passes in a game. And that was with playing 64 percent of his snaps in the slot, so he frequently would get a free release from the line. The Rams traded Allen Robinson to the Steelers this offseason, leaving Jefferson as the No. 2 wideout to Cooper Kupp. That should give him plenty of opportunities this season to be a weekly threat in the passing game.
- Round 22, Pick 261 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 2607 - 2022 Rank: 366
The Titans probably aren't ready to completely give up on Willis, but he'll almost certainly enter the season as the team's third-string QB behind incumbent starter Ryan Tannehill and 2023 second-round pick Will Levis. When Tannehill missed time due to injury last season, Willis averaged a paltry 4.5 yards per pass attempt with a 0:3 TD: INT, and his 95 rushing yards in three starts weren't nearly enough to cover for Willis' deficiencies as a passer. With a playoff berth on the line and Tannehill hurt, Tennessee picked up journeyman Joshua Dobbs rather than start Willis in the must-win season finale. The dual-threat ability that prompted the Titans to take a chance on Willis in the third round of the 2022 NFL Draft could still be buried in there somewhere, but Willis will likely spend all of the 2023 season attempting to develop as a passer and is unlikely to see the field.
- Round 23, Pick 273 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 1920 - 2022 Rank: 242
- Round 24, Pick 285 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 1946 - 2022 Rank: 361
The since-fired Nathaniel Hackett dropped Okwuegbunam on the depth chart in training camp last year, anointing Greg Dulcich as the only Broncos tight end eligible for receiving work. Okwuegbunam was then criticized by his head coach for "failing" to block as well as blocking specialists like Eric Tomlinson and Eric Saubert, but 258-pound tight ends with 4.49 speed shouldn't be blockers anyway. They should be running routes downfield, where their size and speed makes them a compelling big-play threat down the seam. If Okwuegbunam is given a chance to show off his wheels this season under new coach Sean Payton then he could become a factor again for Denver. He has a lot of ground to make up in Denver's crowded offense, which features incumbent starting tight end Greg Dulcich as well as trade acquisition Adam Trautman. If given the chance to compete with Dulcich, Okwuegbunam could still resurface.
- Round 25, Pick 297 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 121 - 2022 Rank: 244
Pitts took a big step back between his rookie year in 2021 and his sophomore campaign in 2022. Before suffering a knee injury in his 11th game, he had scored twice while averaging 35.6 yards per game. Pitts had two solid games with 80 and 87 yards but was held under 30 yards seven times. Although Pitts didn't do much with his chances, he at least was targeted between five and nine times in each of his last five games. He remained the focal point of a low-volume passing game. Going into 2023, we're not questioning Pitts' talent. He's still one of the most physically gifted tight ends to ever come out of the college ranks, and it's highly likely he increases his production from last year. But if the offense is still run-heavy and sophomore WR Drake London is also handling a large target share, Pitts might not put up huge numbers even if he performs better. A shaky QB situation adds to the concern, with second-year pro Desmond Ridder having averaged only 6.2 yards per pass attempt in four games as a rookie last year.
- Round 26, Pick 309 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 314 - 2022 Rank: 354
Strong didn't see many opportunities as a rookie, finishing 2022 with just 10 carries for 100 yards. He showcased his 4.37 40 speed with a 44-yard breakaway run, a glimpse of what could be to come should more opportunities arise in 2023. His second shot at NFL success comes in Cleveland, after the Patriots signed Ezekiel Elliott in August and later shipped Strong out in a cutdown-day trade. As much as getting trade after one season isn't the best sign for his NFL future, Strong has a nice opportunity immediately ahead with a Browns team that has minimal experience in the backfield behind starter Nick Chubb. It looks like Strong and Jerome Ford will compete for the second spot on the depth chart, potentially jockeying for position throughout the year.
- Round 27, Pick 321 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 61 - 2022 Rank: 13
By now it's safe to call Herbert one of the league's elite quarterbacks, even after a somewhat disappointing 2022 season saw his touchdown rate and per-pass yardage decline from his 2021 and 2020 seasons. It didn't make much sense for Herbert to only throw for 25 touchdowns in 2022 after throwing for 69 touchdowns over the two prior seasons, so the Chargers decided to make a switch at offensive coordinator, deleting Joe Lombardi's dink-and-dunk offense for a Kellen Moore scheme that will hopefully do more to unleash Herbert's standout downfield passing ability. Between Moore's addition and the selection of first-round wide receiver Quentin Johnston, it's shaping up to be a bounce-back season for Herbert and the Chargers offense. Although it seems Herbert won't ever be inclined to run much, he still has the athleticism to do so. He could provide fantasy production similar to Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen if he can just get his per-pass yardage up over 8.0 yards per attempt. If Herbert's pass attempt volume stabilizes while his per-pass returns spike upward, something like a 5,000-yard, 40-touchdown season could be on the table. He was already close in 2021, when he threw for 5,014 yards and 38 touchdowns.
Team Forecast
Bye Week Points Lost
Each bar represents the total projected season points for each player that's on bye that week. This chart shows any potential bye week issues.
Schedule by Opponent Points
Week-by-week schedule with each opponent's projected season points. This chart shows any difficult or easy stretches in the schedule.
