In the CZNFL Dynasty League, the Tachov Angry Titans had the opportunity to make a splash in the draft, but unfortunately, they only managed to make a small ripple. With a draft grade of C and a projected finish of 7th, it seems like they're destined for a season of mediocrity. Despite drafting in the 7th spot, they failed to capitalize on their position and secure any game-changing players. Their projected record of 6-8-0 perfectly reflects their lackluster draft performance.
One interesting strategy the Tachov Angry Titans employed was their obsession with tight ends. While the league average for TE selections was 4.2, this team decided to go above and beyond by drafting a whopping 7 tight ends. Perhaps they're hoping to corner the market on tight ends and trade them for more valuable assets later on. Another peculiar move was drafting 4 players from the same team. While it's always good to have some team synergy, putting all your eggs in one basket can be risky. Only time will tell if this strategy pays off for the Tachov Angry Titans, but for now, it seems like they're setting themselves up for a season of frustration and disappointment.
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ADP Analysis
Bars above zero indicate a pick was selected later than a player's ADP. Bars below zero show players that were taken earlier than their ADP.
Inside the Draft
Player Outlooks
- Round 1, Pick 7 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 101 - 2022 Rank: 4
Last season was Burrow's second in a row leading the NFL in on-target percentage (76.7) while finishing second in completion percentage (68.3). However, there was a slight dip in these stats in 2022 compared to the previous year, which is perhaps surprising because Burrow decreased his rate of deep throws significantly. In 2022, Burrow threw 20-plus yards downfield on only 7.5 percent of his attempts, ranking him 30th in the league. Meanwhile, his rate of passes behind the line of scrimmage rose to 19.6 percent. Nevertheless, he finished as QB4 in fantasy with the help of five touchdown runs and 257 rushing yards. Burrow also remained efficient on deep throws, tying Geno Smith for the highest on-target rate on 20-plus-yard attempts (60.0 percent). The Bengals' rebuilt offensive line did not meet preseason expectations, which could explain Burrow's increase in dump-offs. However, the team has since signed standout left tackle Orlando Brown and moved Jonah Williams to right tackle. Burrow's top three wide receivers, including Ja'marr Chase, are still on the team, and Irv Smith is replacing Hayden Hurst at tight end. Burrow's efficiency could improve, and even with some expected regression in his rushing touchdowns he stands a decent chance to remain in the Top 5 of fantasy QBs.
- Round 2, Pick 19 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 59 - 2022 Rank: 64
Conner overcame a rough team situation for the second year in a row to post excellent production. In 13 games, He totaled 1,082 yards and eight touchdowns. Despite terrible run blocking from the Cardinals, he was able to produce due to a 73rd percentile broken tackle rate and 72nd percentile yards after contact. His 4.3 yards per carry equaled his best total since 2018 when he was running behind a strong offensive line in Pittsburgh. He continues to be an excellent receiver, recording 65th percentile yards after the catch rate. His 46 receptions represented the second most of his career. Of course, Conner will miss time. He's missed between two and six games over the last six seasons, but as the running back position goes, that's not terrible either. He continues to be disrespected in fantasy drafts. it's likely that people overrate his injury history. It's also possible that they remember the weak start to the season that he had last year. But going into his age-28 season, he still should have another year of solid production. and as long as you're prepared for him missing some time, drafting him to be an RB2 makes sense.
- Round 3, Pick 31 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 47 - 2022 Rank: 79
The Rams offense was a mess last year, largely due to offensive line issues as well as the lack of a rushing attack. Also, free agent addition Allen Robinson didn't work out for the team, and all they really had to lean on at that point was Kupp. From a production standpoint, he mostly picked up where he left off in 2021. He had at least nine targets in all but one game. He also had at least 122 yards in four of eight games. Kupp also had at least 79 yards in seven of the eight games he played. However, he suffered an ankle injury that cost him the last eight games of the season. Other than missing eight games in 2018 as well, he had a very healthy career to date. Even though Kupp's entering his age-30 season, there appeared to be no sign of decline last year. He still should be a very high floor and high ceiling fantasy option. and Kupp should be an obvious first-round draft pick in most leagues. But keep your eye on an in-practice hamstring injury that Kupp suffered in early August.
- Round 4, Pick 43 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 2501 - 2022 Rank: 349
Last year, Hendershot joined the Dallas team as an undrafted rookie. He surprisingly performed well during training camp and not only secured a spot on the roster but also found a place for himself on offense. He scored touchdowns in Weeks 7 and 15, in addition to showcasing his abilities as a blocker and on special teams. Though Hendershot proved to be a valuable asset, his counterpart Jake Ferguson and 2023 second-round pick Luke Schoonmaker better suit the Cowboys' starting tight end needs. Thus, it's probable for Hendershot to be relegated to a depth role again this season.
- Round 5, Pick 55 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 2514 - 2022 Rank: 358
For the second straight season, Brown saw limited usage on offense despite having been a third-round pick in 2021. The North Carolina product's size limits him in the NFL despite his plus speed, and he doesn't seem likely to displace Terry McLaurin, Jahan Dotson or Curtis Samuel from their spots ahead of him on the depth chart. Brown does have a leg up on the competition for the No. 4 wideout job, as he was Sam Howell's leading receiver during the quarterback's first two years as a starter for the Tar Heels. That pre-existing chemistry didn't turn into any production during Howell's first NFL start in Week 18 last season, however, and it might require other things to go Brown's way for it to make a difference in 2023.
- Round 6, Pick 67 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 2458 - 2022 Rank: 478
- Round 7, Pick 79 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 2601 - 2022 Rank: 24
The Rodgers era in Green Bay came to a less-than-ceremonious end, but following in the footsteps of Brett Favre before him, the future HOFer stays wearing green by moving on to the Jets. The 39-year-old didn't come cheap, costing New York a handful of early picks, but that will be unquestionably worth the investment if he can truly stabilize a plus roster that was held down last season by unconscionably poor QB play. There is a question of how much Rodgers has left in the tank, though, as his 12 interceptions in 2022 were the most he'd thrown since 2008, his first year as a starter, and just one off totaling his INT mark for the previous three seasons combined. His 3,695 were likewise a career-low mark for a full season. Much can be blamed on Rodgers' lack of playmakers in Green Bay, but it's not as though his arrival in New York comes without any concerns. The Jets' roster will put Rodgers in prime position to avoid another slump, at least, with Garret Wilson headlining an improved receiving corps. Wilson's 1,103 receiving yards as a rookie came in spite of league-worst QB play, while Allen Lazard joined Rodgers as a free agent, allowing speedster Mecole Hardman to slot in as the No. 3 man. If Breece Hall can get back to full speed from his ACL tear, Rodgers will command a plus grouping of offensive skill players, which when paired with Robert Saleh's defense should set the stage for a long awaited playoff run in New York.
- Round 8, Pick 91 - Bye 9
2023 Rank: 264 - 2022 Rank: 343
- Round 9, Pick 103 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 272 - 2022 Rank: 72
Tannehill has been a game manager for the run-first Titans over the past few years, and the 35-year-old quarterback should be headed for a similar role in 2023. He produced a 33:7 TD: INT in 2020 while throwing to a receiving corps headlined by A.J. Brown and Corey Davis, but Tannehill has just a 34:20 TD: INT across 29 games over the two subsequent seasons, and the Titans haven't done much to restock their cupboard of pass-catching options. His top targets in 2023 apart from summer signing DeAndre Hopkins figure to be WR Treylon Burks and TE Chigoziem Okonkwo, a pair of second-year pros who combined for 894 receiving yards last year. Tannehill chipped in seven rushing TDs apiece in 2020 and 2021, but at age 35 and coming off a season-ending ankle injury, he's unlikely to replicate that production. Tannehill should hang onto the starting job as long as Derrick Henry's legs and the defense have Tennessee in the mix for a playoff spot in the weak AFC South, but this is the last year of Tannehill's contract, so the Titans won't hesitate to turn to rookie second-round pick Will Levis under center the moment they drop out of playoff contention.
- Round 10, Pick 115 - Bye 10
2023 Rank: 343 - 2022 Rank: 335
Smith got little work in New England the last two seasons. Last year, he had the worst season since his rookie year. His downside weeks were terrible, as he posted 10 or fewer yards in half his games. And his upside was nearly nonexistent. He had three games with more than 25 yards that included a high of 61 yards. He reunites this season with coach Arthur Smith in Atlanta after the duo worked together in Tennessee. Most likely, he'll be a movable chess piece, which could mean work as an H-back. That could give him some fantasy value, but probably not much without injuries to his teammates.
- Round 11, Pick 127 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 283 - 2022 Rank: 147
A career backup, Hollins was thrust into a starting role last season to fill the void at outside receiver for the Raiders. He blew away his career highs with 57 catches and 604 yards. He was at his best as a perimeter presence, but with a 33rd-percentile yards-after-catch rate, he had just 10.6 yards per reception. Hollins signed with the Falcons this offseason and is expected to fill the No. 2 WR role behind Drake London. At 6-foot-4, 221, Hollins could be a factor in the red zone as well. But the Falcons are a run-first team with unproven QB Desmond Ridder at the helm. And while he could be second on the wideout depth chart, he still might be third in the passing game with tight end Kyle Pitts commanding considerable targets.
- Round 12, Pick 139 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 274 - 2022 Rank: 191
Carter regressed as a sophomore last year as his yards per carry dropped to 3.5 after averaging 4.3 as a rookie. His total scrimmage yardage also declined from 964 to 690, despite Breece Hall missing most of the year with an ACL tear after having established himself as the No. 1 option. Once Hall is back to full health there may not be much work left for Carter, especially after the Jets signed Dalvin Cook in August. The 5-foot-8, 201-pound Carter is best suited for a change-of-pace role, as he boasts elusiveness and pass-catching chops, but he'll likely have to compete to secure any such complementary gig behind Hall and Cook.
- Round 13, Pick 151 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 282 - 2022 Rank: 228
Claypool was traded midseason from the Steelers to the Bears last year. He played seven games with Chicago but had only 14 receptions for 140 yards as a part-timer in a run-heavy offense. This season, Claypool should slot in behind DJ Moore and Darnell Mooney as the third option in the passing attack. Tight end Cole Kmet will be involved as well, and Claypool will have to work for targets. At 6-foot-4, 238, with 4.42 speed, Claypool has both the size and speed to grow into a big role. Of course, Claypool didn't show much improvement during his years with the Steelers, so it's possible that a breakout will never occur.
- Round 14, Pick 163 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 178 - 2022 Rank: 182
Knox managed a similar receiving line from 2021 to 2022, hovering within the 500-yard range each season, with the exception of his touchdown total dropping from nine to six. He earned his first Pro Bowl with scores in each of Buffalo's last four games, plus the team's playoff opener. Knox has momentum and clear chemistry with Allen on his side, making him a lock to retain a key role on offense for the Bills, but the selection of first-round rookie TE Dalton Kincaid clouds things. Though Knox is under contract for three more seasons, Kincaid represents Buffalo's future at the position, and he could begin competing for snaps as early as Year 1. Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis remain the top options in this passing game, making Knox the No. 3 look for Allen at best, with the danger of Kincaid earning work out of the slot. In all likelihood, the best path for Knox to maintain valuable production will be in the end zone.
- Round 15, Pick 175 - Bye 11
2023 Rank: 237 - 2022 Rank: 217
Pierce is coming off a boom-or-bust rookie season. The 2022 second-round pick out of Cincinnati caught 41 of 78 targets for 593 yards and two touchdowns, including seven catches for 243 yards and a touchdown on his 15 deep targets. Pierce ranked third on the team in targets as a rookie, but the speedy big-play threat is penciled into a starting role opposite Michael Pittman (141 targets in 2022) after the Colts let Parris Campbell (91 targets) walk in free agency. Indianapolis added slot receivers Josh Downs and Isaiah McKenzie to replace Campbell, but the team's most impactful offseason changes came under center. The Colts parted ways with Matt Ryan and brought in fourth overall pick Anthony Richardson, as well as free agent Gardner Minshew. Richardson's strong arm and Pierce's 4.41 speed could make for an intriguing downfield combination, but it remains to be seen if the raw rookie has the accuracy to consistently link up with the second-year wideout.
- Round 16, Pick 187 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 95 - 2022 Rank: 179
Dotson came out of the gates firing as a rookie after being the 16th overall pick in the 2022 draft, scoring four touchdowns in his first four NFL games, but a hamstring injury cut short his momentum for the next couple months. He found his groove again down the stretch, though, posting a 21-344-3 line from Week 13 on, and the Penn State product could be poised for a classic Year 2 breakout. While Terry McLaurin remains the Commanders' most reliable wideout, Dotson's speed and ability to make catches in traffic positions him as the better deep threat, and new offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy could take full advantage of those traits. Second-year quarterback Sam Howell also offers more upside than last year's starters, Carson Wentz and Taylor Heinicke, did. Dotson saw one more target than McLaurin over those final five games of 2022, and he has a reasonable chance of emerging as the team's No. 1 receiver this season.
- Round 17, Pick 199 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 141 - 2022 Rank: 240
Okonkwo was brought along slowly for the first half of his rookie season, but the 2022 fourth-round pick out of Maryland flourished down the stretch. He caught at least three passes in six of Tennessee's final seven games, racking up 24 catches for 278 yards and two touchdowns over that span. Veteran WR Robert Woods and Austin Hooper, who worked ahead of Okonkwo at TE for most of last season, both left in free agency. Okonkwo and fellow 2022 draft pick Treylon Burks are thus set to take on expanded roles in the Tennessee passing game alongside offseason signing DeAndre Hopkins. Okonkwo's undersized at 6-foot-2 and 244 pounds, but if he blocks well enough to earn an every-down role in the Titans' run-first offense, the tight end should continue to cause mismatches for defenses with his 4.52 speed, which was the best among all tight ends in his draft class. Tennessee didn't bring in a veteran replacement for Hooper, settling for 2023 fifth-round pick Josh Whyle, so Okonkwo should get every opportunity to expand his role in 2023 after playing more than half of the team's offensive snaps only twice in 2022.
- Round 18, Pick 211 - Bye 6
2023 Rank: 56 - 2022 Rank: 45
Despite dealing with some nagging injuries last year, Harris managed to play all 17 games and scored 10 touchdowns for the second time in two pro seasons, albeit within the confines of a sluggish Pittsburgh offense. The 2021 first-round pick fell shy of 4.0 yards per carry for a second straight year, with big plays few and far between while his receiving volume dipped from 93 targets in 2021 to 54 in 2022. Part of that was due to the Steelers throwing less and part due to backup Jaylen Warren getting a lot of playing time on passing downs. Warren is back this season and should have a sizable role off the bench again, but there's still room for Harris to have his best year yet if the Steelers take a step forward in QB Kenny Pickett's second pro year. As much as the young quarterback remains a huge question mark, the team's blocking should be better after Pittsburgh added former Eagles G Isaac Seumalo, rookie OT Broderick Jones (14th overall pick) and 264-pound rookie TE Darnell Washington (93rd pick). The Steelers could have above-average blocking for the first time in years. The lack of backfield depth behind the top two on the depth chart leaves room for Harris to push for 300 touches even if Warren also has a regular role in the offense.
- Round 19, Pick 223 - Bye 14
2023 Rank: 13 - 2022 Rank: 5
There are very few players in NFL history who compare to Ekeler, and aside from maybe Jahmyr Gibbs, none are in the league today. Among active players Ekeler is one of a kind, and the Chargers offense would be in a lot of trouble without him. Ekeler has reached volume/efficiency thresholds as a pass catcher otherwise only matched historically by Marshall Faulk, so when a pass catcher that productive adds 25 rushing touchdowns over two years it's unsurprising that Ekeler is now a consensus first-round fantasy pick. Ekeler is too small to hold up with a big rushing workload (that's why he's not Faulk), but his per-carry returns are excellent and his effectiveness as a runner should never be questioned. As much as Ekeler might be vulnerable to rushing touchdown regression, it won't occur on the basis of ability - if the touchdown carries are there for the taking, Ekeler is still a great bet to claim them. After a brief contract standoff earlier in the offseason, Ekeler raised the white flag and clarified that he will report for training camp.
- Round 20, Pick 235 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 2507 - 2022 Rank: 282
Last August, the Jaguars traded Shenault to the Panthers, giving up on the 2020 second-round pick. Despite occasionally displaying his playmaking ability for Carolina, he finished the year with only 27 catches for 272 yards and a touchdown in 13 games. He also ran nine times for 65 yards and another score, at least demonstrating some utility as a gadget player. Shenault now enters the final year of his rookie contract without any assurances of a role, as the Panthers traded WR DJ Moore but also acquired veterans Adam Thielen and DJ Chark and rookie second-round pick Jonathan Mingo. They also have 2021 second-round pick Terrace Marshall looming as a longshot candidate for a Year 3 breakout; he's nearly two years younger than Shenault and had better numbers last season. It's even fair to wonder if Shenault's roster spot is safe, as new coach Frank Reich may prioritize special teams experience over athleticism for the bottom of his depth chart at wide receiver.
- Round 21, Pick 247 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 2340 - 2022 Rank: 434
For one game last season, it looked like the Titans had found a gem in Philips in the fifth round of the 2022 NFL Draft. The slot receiver out of UCLA finished his NFL debut with six catches for 66 yards on nine targets. Unfortunately, injuries hampered Philips for the remainder of the season. After playing 31 snaps in Week 1, Philips played just 33 snaps across the next four weeks while battling a shoulder injury. The rookie picked up only two catches for 12 yards over that span, then suffered a hamstring injury that sidelined him for the remainder of the campaign. While one week of promising production isn't much to go on, Philips should be in the mix for a slot role this year, hoping to serve as the No. 3 receiver behind DeAndre Hopkins and Treylon Burks.
- Round 22, Pick 259 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 288 - 2022 Rank: 108
After being a roughly average kicker through his first eight years in the NFL, Gano made some adjustments and has been one of the league's most accurate and reliable legs since 2017. His fantasy value has wavered along with the efficiency of the offenses supporting him, but Brian Daboll turned the Giants into a solid unit last season, and the New York offense could take another step forward in 2023 if quarterback Daniel Jones continues his development and takes advantage of an improved collection of receiving options. Gano has seen either 32 or 33 field-goal attempts in each of his three seasons with the team, but there are reasons to believe his opportunities will increase this year.
DEF - Round 23, Pick 271 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 151 - 2022 Rank: 63
Between Dan Quinn's revitalization as a coordinator and some outstanding drafting in recent years, the Cowboys' defense has become one of the league's elite fantasy options. The team led the NFL in takeaways while finishing tied for third in sacks and tied for fifth in points per game allowed in 2022, as Micah Parsons led an aggressive, attacking unit that didn't give quarterbacks much chance to get comfortable. The front office didn't rest on those laurels though, trading for Stephon Gilmore to provide a veteran presence opposite ballhawking cornerback Trevin Diggs and drafting Mazi Smith late in the first round to bolster the middle of the defensive line. Young players like edge rusher Sam Williams and linebacker Damone Clark could also take big steps forward this season, but Parsons remains the star attraction. As long as he's disrupting plays all over the field, this should be one of the league's best defenses,
- Round 24, Pick 283 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 48 - 2022 Rank: -
Flowers was chosen as the third pick among four consecutive WRs taken in the first round during this April's draft. He was selected one pick ahead of Jordan Addison and went right after Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Quentin Johnston. During his four years in college, Flowers played in subpar-to-mediocre offenses at BC, where he finished strong as a senior with 78 catches, 1,077 yards and 12 touchdowns. In total, he accumulated 3,056 yards and 29 touchdowns throughout his college career. The 5-foot-9 wideout showcased his athleticism at the combine with a 4.42 40, 127-inch broad jump and a 35.5-inch vertical. The downside is that he's small, even for a speed merchant, and is the oldest of the four WRs drafted in Round 1 this April (23 in September). Furthermore, Flowers faces stiff competition for targets in Baltimore, where Rashod Bateman is returning from a foot injury, Odell Beckham signed an $15 million contract and TE Mark Andrews remaining a threat to lead the team in any and all receiving stats. Even with the addition of new OC Todd Monken, the Ravens offense is unlikely to rank among the league leaders in pass attempts, in part because QB Lamar Jackson is such a scrambling threat. There's also some risk of Flowers primarily playing the slot and thus being left off the field in two-wide formations in favor of Beckham, Bateman and possibly even Nelson Agholor.
- Round 25, Pick 295 - Bye 13
2023 Rank: 352 - 2022 Rank: -
Mayer probably shouldn't have fallen to the Raiders at the 35th pick. As much as it was fair for NFL teams to find some concern in his athletic testing (4.7-second 40 at 249 pounds), it was never a good basis for letting Mayer fall out of the first round. If Mayer had run any faster, he would have been worth a top-15 pick - his barely disappointing combine was a basis to have Mayer fall out of the top-15, not out of the first round. Dalton Kincaid wasn't nearly as good of a collegiate tight end as Mayer, and Sam LaPorta probably was worse too, yet both players went ahead of Mayer. Mayer will likely be a steal for the Raiders as a result - think a better version of Zach Ertz - so the question of when Mayer breaks out as a fantasy asset might be pending how soon he can overtake the veteran Austin Hooper. Mayer is a good bet to skip the rookie-year struggles that most tight ends face (Mayer caught 42 passes as a true freshman at Notre Dame), but Hooper could be just enough of an obstacle to delay Mayer's full arrival as a fantasy option by a year.
- Round 26, Pick 307 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 242 - 2022 Rank: -
Tiny by NFL running back standards, Vaughn's 5-foot-5 frame didn't stop him from being incredibly productive at Kansas State, and the Cowboys decided to invest a sixth-round pick in him rather than try to sign him as a priority UDFA. There are advantages to being a David in a land of Goliaths, and Darren Sproles made a career out of getting lost behind his offensive line before exploding into open space, but Vaughn has a lot to prove before he'll be at that level. If he's going to carve out a role it will likely come via his plus receiving skills. Dallas' backfield is wide open behind Tony Pollard, and while Vaughn almost certainly won't be a factor on early downs, he could inherit a sliver of the multi-purpose role Pollard held before ascending to the starting spot.
- Round 27, Pick 319 - Bye 5
2023 Rank: 290 - 2022 Rank: -
A 2023 sixth-round pick, Palmer has 4.33 speed at 6-foot, 192. He showed a good catch radius in college, though he didn't always run crisp routes or show consistent footwork. He also struggled with drops. With Mike Evans and Chris Godwin dominating snaps and Russell Gage penciled into the No. 3 WR job, Palmer might compete for a low-volume rotational role as a deep threat this season. He may also be an asset on special teams.
- Round 28, Pick 331 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 2073 - 2022 Rank: -
The 2023 draft class was seen as one of the best ever when it came to tight end depth, so the fact that the Cowboys used a second-round pick to make Schoonmaker the fifth tight end off the board is a strong indicator of his upside. The Michigan product offers good size and in-line blocking skills while also flashing plus athleticism and route-running, which is essentially the template Dallas has been using at the position ever since Jason Witten's heyday. Schoonmaker did deal with plantar fasciitis over the summer, which could limit him in his first training camp, and Jake Ferguson has a similar all-around profile while also having the advantage of an extra year in the system. Schoonmaker might end up being the team's future starter, but he has some obstacles to overcome to make a splash as a rookie.
- Round 29, Pick 343 - Bye 7
2023 Rank: 2534 - 2022 Rank: -
A sixth-round pick this spring, Hutchinson has his work cut out for him if he's going to make a rookie impact in Houston. The Texans also drafted Nathaniel Dell in the third round and signed Noah Brown to battle for the third or fourth WR role. Hutchinson showed improvement each year Iowa State and caught 107 passes for 1,171 receiving yards while being targeted a nation-high 161 times in 2022. And he at least has size at 6-foot-3, 205, which could pay off in the red zone. He's not particularly fast (4.53 40), but he could have opportunities in Houston, which lacks proven talent.
Team Forecast
Bye Week Points Lost
Each bar represents the total projected season points for each player that's on bye that week. This chart shows any potential bye week issues.
Schedule by Opponent Points
Week-by-week schedule with each opponent's projected season points. This chart shows any difficult or easy stretches in the schedule.
