Hogan's Gurley Men Draft Report Card

1
A.J. Green
2
Todd Gurley II
3
Marshawn Lynch
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With Too Many Reaches Early, Hogan's Gurley Men Threw the Draft on Purpose?

Draft Summary

If Hogan's Gurley Men handles adversity during the season the way they did in this draft, it's going to be a long year. After receiving the ninth overall pick they were clearly rattled, which was made evident by their draft performance. As a result, they are projected to finish 11th in Unicorns and Show Ponies League with a record of 2-12-0 (2,201 points). They aimed for having a balanced roster throughout, taking QB Jameis Winston (57th overall), RBs Todd Gurley (16th) and Marshawn Lynch (33rd), and WRs A.J. Green (9th) and Keenan Allen (40th). They wound up with one of the weakest groups of RBs in the league, as they added Gurley, Lynch, Rob Kelley, and Dion Lewis.

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Schedule

Whether by good fortune or well-planned strategy, Hogan's Gurley Men has secured a favorable bye week schedule for their superstars. Of their top five players in projected points, none share a common off week. Taking a look at the season from start to finish, they have one of the most challenging schedules. Corresponding with the third-most grueling overall schedule, Hogan's Gurley Men also has the second-toughest first four games of the season.

Draft Notes

  • A Dominating Duo

    TE and DEF are both projected to be really solid units for Hogan's Gurley Men.

  • Earning Your Paycheck

    Hogan's Gurley Men will have some tough decisions to make at WR each week, with a scant projected points difference between their third- (Marvin Jones Jr.), fourth- (Chris Hogan), and fifth-ranked (Sterling Shepard) wideouts.

  • Captain Obvious

    Selecting starting RBs should be a simple task most weeks for Hogan's Gurley Men, as the projected point difference between their second-ranked (Marshawn Lynch) and third-ranked (Rob Kelley) RBs is significant.

  • Close to the Vest

    Hogan's Gurley Men was focused on a squad with minimal volatility, grabbing six "low-risk" players out of 15 picks.

  • The Golden Boot

    Matt Prater is projected to lead the NFL with 8 makes from 50+ yards.

  • Digging Deep

    Dion Lewis is owned in only 3% of all Yahoo! leagues, but will surely reward Hogan's Gurley Men for their faith! Or not.

Player Analysis

    • A.J. Green, WR
    • Round 1, Pick 9
    Hogan's Gurley Men Gets Groovy With Green

    A.J. averaged 11.0 targets, 7.3 receptions, and 107.1 yards in nine games prior to getting injured in Week 11 last year. The 29-year-old Bengals star is healthy and primed for a big campaign this season.

    • Todd Gurley, RB
    • Round 2, Pick 16
    Advanced Math

    If Hogan's Gurley Men had a nickel for every time Todd Gurley is projected to touch the ball this season, they'd have 307 nickels.

    • Marshawn Lynch, RB
    • Round 3, Pick 33
    Homecoming for Beast Mode

    Averaging 1,339 rush yards and 12 rush TDs per year from 2011-14, Lynch returns to football behind one of the most bruising offensive lines in the league.

    • Keenan Allen, WR
    • Round 4, Pick 40
    Rethinking That One

    While drafted 40th overall, Keenan Allen isn't projected among the NFL's top-20 in either receiving TDs (24th with 7.9) or receiving yards (28th with 1,015).

    • Jameis Winston, QB
    • Round 5, Pick 57
    Go Big or Go Home

    Jameis Winston likes to go over the top, projected to be fifth among NFL QBs with 4.9 plays over 40 yards.

Best Available

Hogan's Gurley Men has four positions that may need to be addressed at some point, including K and RB, which look like the biggest areas of need.

    • Brandon McManus
    • Rank 203, ADP 125
    • Cairo Santos
    • Rank 205, ADP 128
    • C.J. Prosise
    • Rank 138, ADP 126
    • Darren Sproles
    • Rank 147, ADP 122
  • Bye Week Points Lost
    Points

    Each bar represents the total projected season points for each player that's on bye that week. This chart shows any potential bye week issues.

  • Pick Number Minus ADP
    Pick Number

    Bars above zero indicate a pick was selected later than a player's ADP. Bars below zero show players that were taken earlier than their ADP.

  • Avg Points by Position vs League
        Team     League

    The average projected points for all the players at each position versus the average projected points for all players at that position in the league.

  • Schedule by Opponent Points
    Week

    Week-by-week schedule with each opponent's projected season points. This chart shows any difficult or easy stretches in the schedule.

How We Grade

Draft grades are based strictly on teams' draft performances. This is calculated by counting the number of fantasy points teams are projected to score over the course of the season using their optimal line-ups. The grades do not take schedule into account. Because of bye weeks and other variables it is possible to earn a high grade yet be projected to finish in the middle of the pack. The opposite is also true. Bottom line: Fantasy Football is like the real game. You can draft the greatest talent in the world but you still need to manage your team every week to get the most out of that talent. As a wise man once said, "On any given Sunday..."

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Hogan's Gurley Men
1. (9) A.J. Green (Cin - WR)
2. (16) Todd Gurley II (LAR - RB)
3. (33) Marshawn Lynch (Oak - RB)
4. (40) Keenan Allen (LAC - WR)
5. (57) Jameis Winston (TB - QB)
6. (64) Martellus Bennett (NE - TE)
7. (81) Chris Hogan (NE - WR)
8. (88) Rob Kelley (Was - RB)
9. (105) Philip Rivers (LAC - QB)
10. (112) Sterling Shepard (NYG - WR)
11. (129) Eric Ebron (Det - TE)
12. (136) Marvin Jones Jr. (Det - WR)
13. (153) Matt Prater (Det - K)
14. (160) Oakland (Oak - DEF)
15. (177) Dion Lewis (NE - RB)

Best Draft

Best Draft is awarded to the team with the most projected season points based on weekly optimal starting lineups.

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