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Week 16

Weekly
Grade
NinsWins
8-7 214.46
128.77
 
VS
proj
ALMOST 1st
83.48 7-9
115.62

NinsWins brush off predictions, defeat ALMOST 1st in 214.46-83.48 rout

NinsWins brought their A game, cruising to a 214.46-83.48 win over ALMOST 1st, who fell short of projections. ALMOST 1st nabbed a 5.60-point lead on Thursday, but NinsWins held the lead the rest of the way. They were led by T.J. Hockenson, who caught 13 passes for 109 yards and 2 touchdowns for 38.9 points, and Tee Higgins, who caught 8 passes for 128 yards and a touchdown (29.8 points). Josh Allen (28.98 points) and Najee Harris (15.5) did their part for ALMOST 1st in the loss. This marks the first time this season NinsWins have knocked off ALMOST 1st, after falling 109.78-96.62 in their last matchup. NinsWins improve to 8-7 for the season, while ALMOST 1st fall to 7-9.

Matchup Timeline

  NinsWins   ALMOST 1st

Inside the Matchup

Matchup Player of the Week

Gay scored 19 points against the Broncos in Week 16 to more-than-double his 7.61-point projection. He made all 3 of his FG attempts to beat his projection by the third-highest percentage of any K in the league this season. Next week, Gay will battle the Chargers.
Matt Gay

Top Player Comparison

NinsWins
Points
% of total points 214.46
1
T.J. Hockenson
TE
38.9
12.48
18.1%
2
Tee Higgins
WR
29.8
13.88
13.9%
3
Patrick Mahomes
QB
27.76
30.84
12.9%
4
Saquon Barkley
RB
27.3
15.19
12.7%
ALMOST 1st
Points
% of total points 83.48
1
Josh Allen
QB
28.98
29.38
34.7%
2
Najee Harris
RB
15.5
12.11
18.6%
3
Diontae Johnson
WR
11.4
13.09
13.7%
4
Younghoe Koo
K
9
8.04
10.8%

Matchup Highlights

Saturday
Patrick Mahomes had a 52-yard pass for NinsWins, while Saquon Barkley had a 27-yard touchdown run, contributing to a 174.76-80.48 lead for NinsWins.
Sunday Late
Matt Gay had a 55-yard field goal and a 53-yard field goal for NinsWins to contribute to a 214.46-83.48 lead for the team.

Points By Position

  NinsWins   ALMOST 1st

StatSmack

We heard scoring helps you win. ALMOST 1st need some help then, averaging just 107.46 versus NinsWins's 131.94.
Even the machines think NinsWins have a better lineup. Their projected average points is higher (125.86) than ALMOST 1st (118.57).
You can't win if you leave points on the bench. ALMOST 1st has left more points on the bench this season (892.22) than NinsWins (762.12).
NinsWins don't let their opponents come within striking distance. They've got more blowout wins this season than ALMOST 1st (5 vs 3).
NinsWins have the clutch gene, with more close wins than ALMOST 1st (2 vs 1).
NinsWins should change their team name to "The Overachievers" since they have beat their projection in more matchups than ALMOST 1st (7 vs 5).
NinsWins have started more fantasy players who beat their projected score than ALMOST 1st (60 vs 46).
ALMOST 1st have worked hard with little to show for it, making more transactions (1) than NinsWins (0) this week and still losing the matchup.
By position, NinsWins have outscored ALMOST 1st at RB, TE, and DEF this season.
NinsWins has a higher average scoring margin (7) than ALMOST 1st this season (-14).
The starters for NinsWins had more big plays in their NFL games this week (6) than the starters for ALMOST 1st (0).
Hey ALMOST 1st, maybe you'll have better luck next year!

Coach Talk

NinsWins
Identifying mismatches is a huge component to winning in football. Not only did we double up ALMOST 1st at RB (51.9 points to 22.5), we also royally dominated them at WR (66.9 to 25.1).
ALMOST 1st
Well, ALMOST 1st, this week's problem is pretty easy to identify. Choosing to start the Denver Broncos defense in a fantasy matchup where your opposition put up 214.46 points... let's attempt to move forward with a full deck of cards next time?