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Matchup Recap Summary

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Week 14

Weekly
Grade
Buffalo Bills
7-7 179.54
221.02
 
VS
proj
Miami Dolphins
134.62 7-7
189.04

Buffalo Bills come up short of expectations, find way to defeat Miami Dolphins, 179.54-134.62

Both teams failed to bring their A game, coming up short of projections, but Buffalo Bills did enough to knock off Miami Dolphins. Predicted to come out on top by a score of 221.02-189.04, Buffalo Bills earned a 179.54-134.62 win over Miami Dolphins. Miami Dolphins earned a 5.46-point lead on Thursday, but Buffalo Bills held the lead the rest of the way. They were led by (20.5 points) and Josh Allen (16.14). Jerome Baker (21 points) and Christian Wilkins (19) led the charge for Miami Dolphins in the loss. Buffalo Bills ends the season on a high note, but they'll miss the postseason with a record of 7-7. Miami Dolphins will also be home for the playoffs, finishing at 7-7.

Matchup Timeline

  Buffalo Bills   Miami Dolphins

Inside the Matchup

Matchup Player of the Week

Hodgins overachieved for the second time this season, scoring 15.8 points against his 6.86-point projection. In a 48-22 loss to the Eagles, he caught 4 passes for 38 yards and a touchdown. Hodgins will face the Commanders next week.
Isaiah Hodgins

Top Player Comparison

Buffalo Bills
Points
% of total points 179.54
1
LB
20.5
11.85
11.4%
2
Josh Allen
QB
16.14
25.12
9%
3
Isaiah Hodgins
WR
15.8
6.86
8.8%
4
Greg Rousseau
DE
14.5
6.97
8.1%
Miami Dolphins
Points
% of total points 134.62
1
Jerome Baker
LB
21
12.86
15.6%
2
Christian Wilkins
DT
19
11.07
14.1%
3
Ogbo Okoronkwo
DL
12
0
8.9%
4
Lavonte David
LB
10.5
13.74
7.8%

Matchup Highlights

Sunday Early
Josh Allen hit Dawson Knox for a 24-yard touchdown pass for Buffalo Bills to contribute to a 115.64-31.96 lead for Buffalo Bills.
Sunday Night
Tua Tagovailoa had a 60-yard touchdown pass for Miami Dolphins, who trailed 119.24-102.42 after the Sunday night game.

Points By Position

  Buffalo Bills   Miami Dolphins

StatSmack

They weren't even trying all that hard. Buffalo Bills scored fewer points in this one (179.54) than their season average of 198.93.
Even the machines think Buffalo Bills have a better lineup. Their projected average points is higher (206.99) than Miami Dolphins (193.35).
You can't win if you don't play. Buffalo Bills has left fewer points on the bench this season (248.9) than Miami Dolphins (304.98).
Miami Dolphins are like tires on a highway full of nails. They've been blown out more times than Buffalo Bills (3 vs 1).
Buffalo Bills are clutch masters, with more close wins than Miami Dolphins (2 vs 0).
Well, there’s one stat in favor of Miami Dolphins - they’ve made more transactions (3) than Buffalo Bills (2) this week. That didn't seem to help them this time, though.
By position, Buffalo Bills have outscored Miami Dolphins at QB, RB, WR, TE, and K this season.
The starters for Buffalo Bills had more big plays in their NFL games this week (2) than the starters for Miami Dolphins (1).
Hey Miami Dolphins, want to see stats that favor your team? Well, try winning for a change, and see what the numbers have to say next week!

Coach Talk

Buffalo Bills
You know Buffalo Bills, I'm a glass-half-full kind of coach. While some may harp on the fact that our scoring output has slipped recently, I'll choose to spin this in a positive direction. Averaging 200.42 points through Week 13, our crew has shown it's certainly capable of outproducing the 179.54 we needed to win this past week!
Miami Dolphins
Talk about under-utilized: The starting backfield for Miami Dolphins collectively logged only three targets this past week. Tell those offensive coordinators to draw up a screen play or two in Week 15!