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Matchup Recap Summary

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Week 16

Weekly
Grade
Terps
10-6 89.95
88.68
 
VS
proj
SMOKE
86.25 9-6
84.73

Despite top scorer Minshew II, SMOKE fall to Terps in 89.95-86.25 squeaker

Gardner Minshew II accumulated 28.25 points for SMOKE, the best total in the matchup and third-highest in the league this week, but it wasn't enough to overcome Terps, who narrowly earned an 89.95-86.25 victory. SMOKE had a chance to come from behind on Monday night, but they fell short. Terps led 89.95-75.35 after Sunday's action and held on for the win despite a combined 10.9 points from Zack Moss and Michael Pittman Jr. on Monday night for SMOKE. Terps were led by Saquon Barkley (84 Rush Yds, 1 Rush TD, 49 Rec Yds) and Brett Maher (4-4 FG, 48 long, 4-4 XP). This marks the second time this season Terps have beaten SMOKE, after falling 90.95-70.8 in their last matchup.

Matchup Timeline

  Terps   SMOKE

Inside the Matchup

Matchup Player of the Week

Projected to score 8.56 points, Maher more-than-doubled that amount by scoring 18 points as the Cowboys beat the Eagles 40-34. He made all 4 of his FG attempts to beat his projection by the fourth-highest percentage of any K in the league this season. In Week 17, Maher and the Cowboys will battle the Titans.
Brett Maher

Top Player Comparison

Terps
Points
% of total points 89.95
1
Saquon Barkley
RB
19.3
13.62
21.5%
2
Brett Maher
K
18
8.56
20%
3
A.J. Brown
WR
10.3
11.47
11.5%
4
Justin Fields
QB
10.05
21.23
11.2%
SMOKE
Points
% of total points 86.25
1
Gardner Minshew II
QB
28.25
18.53
32.8%
2
T.J. Hockenson
TE
22.9
7.49
26.6%
3
The Buffalo Bills defense
DEF
10
8.24
11.6%
4
Dalvin Cook
RB
7.7
12.99
8.9%

Matchup Highlights

Saturday
Both teams had players with big-time plays Saturday, but it was Terps who grabbed the lead, 89.95-75.35. Saquon Barkley had a 27-yard touchdown run for Terps, while A.J. Brown had a 48-yard catch. Gardner Minshew II made the highlight reel for SMOKE with a 48-yard pass.

Points By Position

  Terps   SMOKE

StatSmack

Terps are over .500 versus SMOKE this season, with a record of 2-1.
Once Terps put their foot on the gas, they don't let up. They've got more blowout wins this season than SMOKE (6 vs 5).
Terps laugh in the face of danger. They've got more upset wins this season (1) than SMOKE (0).
Terps are better at closing games out, with fewer close losses than SMOKE (1 vs 2).
SMOKE have worked hard with little to show for it, making more transactions (4) than Terps (2) this week and still losing the matchup.
By position, Terps have outscored SMOKE at RB, WR, and K this season.
The starters for Terps had more big plays in their NFL games this week (4) than the starters for SMOKE (1).
Hey SMOKE, maybe you'll have better luck next year!

Coach Talk

Terps
Spotting mismatches is a huge component to winning in football. Thanks to stellar production from our pass-catchers, our team really took that to heart this past week. We tripled SMOKE at wide receiver (18.4 points to 5.4). A.J. Brown had 103 receiving yards while Brandon Aiyuk chipped in with 81 yards.
SMOKE
SMOKE may find it tough to gripe about lack of opportunities this past week. As a group, our trio of pass-catchers (two WR and one TE) were targeted a grand total of 32 times in Week 16. With just 19 total catches, that group may have some chemistry issues.