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Matchup Recap Summary

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Week 16

Weekly
Grade
Green Bay Packers
8-7 233.62
259.42
 
VS
proj
New England Patriots
183.98 5-11
176.78

Green Bay Packers overcome starter's goose egg, top New England Patriots, 233.62-183.98

Both teams were frustrated by starters who put up goose eggs, but Green Bay Packers were able to persevere and earn the victory, coming out on top with a 233.62-183.98 win over New England Patriots. Green Bay Packers earned an early 3.50-point lead on Thursday. New England Patriots bounced back to take the lead on Saturday, powered by De'Vondre Campbell (26 points) and Michael Badgley (11). Unphased, Green Bay Packers made a run later that afternoon, as Foye Oluokun (31 points) and Mark Andrews (26.5) put them back ahead for good. This marks the first time this season Green Bay Packers have beaten New England Patriots, after falling 292.5-243.4 in their last matchup. Green Bay Packers improve to 8-7 for the season, while New England Patriots fall to 5-11.

Matchup Timeline

  Green Bay Packers   New England Patriots

Inside the Matchup

Matchup Player of the Week

Playing the Falcons in Week 16, St. Brown racked up 110 yards from scrimmage and caught a touchdown pass. In doing so, he put up 26 points to more-than-double his 12.65-point projection, the highest percent increase of any player on Green Bay Packers this week. Next week, St. Brown will battle the Seahawks.
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Top Player Comparison

Green Bay Packers
Points
% of total points 233.62
1
Foye Oluokun
LB
31
18.93
13.3%
2
Mark Andrews
TE
26.5
13.36
11.3%
3
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR
26
12.65
11.1%
4
Patrick Mahomes
QB
22.32
25.31
9.6%
New England Patriots
Points
% of total points 183.98
1
De'Vondre Campbell
LB
26
15.56
14.1%
2
David Montgomery
RB
23.6
13.91
12.8%
3
Cameron Jordan
DE
22
10.11
12%
4
Justin Jefferson
WR
19.6
19.07
10.7%

Matchup Highlights

Sunday Early
There were players with big-time moments on both teams early Sunday, but after the smoke cleared, Green Bay Packers boasted a 136.30-103.98 lead. For Green Bay Packers, Amon-Ra St. Brown had a 20-yard touchdown catch. Tom Brady made the highlight reel for New England Patriots with a 62-yard pass.
Sunday Late
Patrick Mahomes had a 50-yard pass for Green Bay Packers, while Jerry Jeudy had a 40-yard catch to contribute to a 209.62-142.68 lead for Green Bay Packers.
Sunday Night
Michael Gallup had a 40-yard catch for New England Patriots, who trailed 226.62-149.98 after Sunday night.

Points By Position

  Green Bay Packers   New England Patriots

StatSmack

We heard scoring helps you win. New England Patriots need some help then, averaging just 227.54 versus Green Bay Packers's 253.78.
As Herm Edwards once said, "You play to win the game!" Green Bay Packers (8-7) have a better record than New England Patriots (5-11).
Even the machines think Green Bay Packers have a better-constructed roster. They have a higher projected points average (257.26) than New England Patriots (241.37).
Green Bay Packers don't let their opponents come within striking distance. They've got more blowout wins this season than New England Patriots (1 vs 0).
Green Bay Packers play up to their potential, with fewer upset losses (0) than New England Patriots (1).
Green Bay Packers have the clutch gene, with more close wins than New England Patriots (1 vs 0).
Green Bay Packers should change their team name to "The Overachievers" since they have scored higher than projected in more matchups than New England Patriots (6 vs 5).
By position, Green Bay Packers have outscored New England Patriots at TE and IDP this season.
Green Bay Packers has a higher average scoring margin (8) than New England Patriots this season (-6).
The starters for Green Bay Packers had more big plays in their NFL games this week (3) than the starters for New England Patriots (2).
Hey New England Patriots, maybe you'll have better luck next year!

Coach Talk

Green Bay Packers
Hey, we do appreciate the confidence this past week, Green Bay Packers. Playing a starter with zero points (Jaelan Phillips), while still getting the W... talk about arrogant! We just ask you to please limit that flashy, show-off type of stuff to the regular season. Do it in the postseason and we'll be toast.
New England Patriots
Unless New England Patriots wants to go diva-mode on us, then "not getting enough looks" is not an excuse this week. Our pass-catching corps (five WR and one TE) collectively got a whopping 26 targets in Week 16. With just 16 total catches, this group may be showing signs of chemistry issues.