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Matchup Recap Summary

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Week 16

Weekly
Grade
Just Win Baby
8-7 148.72
124.51
 
VS
proj
Sherlock Mahomes
146.06 7-8
126.27

Just Win Baby brush off projections, come back to defeat Sherlock Mahomes in 148.72-146.06 battle

Both teams outperformed their projected point totals, but it was Just Win Baby who came out on top, staging an impressive comeback to earn a 148.72-146.06 win over Sherlock Mahomes. Just Win Baby trailed 100.22-92.68 heading into Sunday night, but the unit came storming back behind Davante Adams, who caught 11 passes for 142 yards and 3 touchdowns for 37.7 points, and Ryan Tannehill, who passed for 121 yards , ran for 55 yards and scored 2 touchdowns (18.34 points). Mike Evans (10 Rec, 181 Rec Yds, 2 Rec TDs) and Jeff Wilson Jr. (183 Rush Yds, 21 Rec Yds, 1 Rec TD) led the way for Sherlock Mahomes in defeat. This marks the first time this season Just Win Baby have taken down Sherlock Mahomes, after falling 135.38-133.76 in their last matchup. Just Win Baby end the season with a record of 8-7, while Sherlock Mahomes finish the campaign at 7-8.

Matchup Timeline

  Just Win Baby   Sherlock Mahomes

Inside the Matchup

Matchup Player of the Week

While racking up 131 yards from scrimmage against the Texans, Bernard recorded 16.6 points this week. His scoring output was 53.7% more than his 10.8-point projection and was higher than his 11.36-point season scoring average.
Giovani Bernard

Top Player Comparison

Just Win Baby
Points
% of total points 148.72
1
Davante Adams
WR
37.7
19.16
25.3%
2
Andy Dalton
QB
27.58
18.71
18.5%
3
Ryan Tannehill
QB
18.34
20.29
12.3%
4
Giovani Bernard
RB
16.6
10.8
11.2%
Sherlock Mahomes
Points
% of total points 146.06
1
Mike Evans
WR
35.1
12.57
24%
2
Jeff Wilson Jr.
RB
26.9
11.28
18.4%
3
Aaron Rodgers
QB
26.14
24.22
17.9%
4
Patrick Mahomes
QB
20.22
27.21
13.8%

Matchup Highlights

Saturday
Mike Evans had a 27-yard touchdown catch and a 22-yard touchdown catch for Sherlock Mahomes, while Jeff Wilson Jr. had a 21-yard touchdown catch to contribute to a 70.40-8.80 lead for Sherlock Mahomes.
Sunday Early
Patrick Mahomes had a 25-yard touchdown pass for Sherlock Mahomes, contributing to a 91.22-65.10 lead for the team.
Sunday Late
Andy Dalton had a 52-yard touchdown pass and a 21-yard touchdown pass for Just Win Baby, who trailed 100.22-92.68 after the late round of games.
Sunday Night
There were players with highlight-reel plays on both teams on Sunday night, but after the scoring was completed, Just Win Baby owned a 148.72-126.36 lead. For Just Win Baby, Ryan Tannehill had a 45-yard touchdown run. Aaron Rodgers made the highlight reel for Sherlock Mahomes with a 21-yard touchdown pass.

Points By Position

  Just Win Baby   Sherlock Mahomes

Game Notes

Five of the 10 starters on Just Win Baby exceeded their projected point totals.
Despite six of their 10 starters exceeding their projected points, Sherlock Mahomes lost.
The final outcome could've looked differently, as each team had a starter that failed to score.
Both teams put up more points than their season scoring average.
Both teams scored higher than their projected point total.
The matchup featured the two highest scores of the week.
Just Win Baby moves to (1-2) in close games this year, while Sherlock Mahomes falls to (1-1).
In a losing effort, Mike Evans scored 35.1 points, the third-highest score in the league this week.

Coach Talk

Just Win Baby
Well, we do admire the confidence this past week, Just Win Baby. Starting a player with zero points (James Robinson), while still getting the W... that's a bit too risky for us traditionalists! We just ask you to please limit those flashy shenanigans to the regular season. Do it in the playoffs and we're done.
Sherlock Mahomes
Well, we can't really complain about a lack of opportunities this week, can we? As a group, our pass-catching corps (four WR, one TE) collectively saw a grand total of 36 targets in Week 16. With just 22 total receptions, that group may be showing signs of chemistry issues.