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Matchup Recap Summary

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Week 15

Weekly
Grade
3rd and Long
7-7 135.18
133.68
 
VS
proj
Holy Smokers
112.4 6-9
135.24

Back-and-forth battle ends with 3rd and Long coming back to beat Holy Smokers, 135.18-112.40

Well, that was exciting! After a back-and-forth matchup featuring three lead changes, 3rd and Long earned a come-from-behind win over Holy Smokers, rallying to earn a 135.18-112.40 victory. 3rd and Long trailed 112.40-98.90 heading into Monday night, but the team charged back behind Drew Brees (307 Pass Yds, 4 Pass TDs). Patrick Mahomes (340 Pass Yds, 2 Pass TDs, 11 Rush Yds) and Odell Beckham Jr. (8 Rec, 66 Rec Yds) carried the flag for Holy Smokers in the loss. This marks the first time this season 3rd and Long have taken down Holy Smokers, after falling 136.34-120.58 in their last matchup. 3rd and Long improve to 7-7 for the season, while Holy Smokers fall to 6-9.

Matchup Timeline

  3rd and Long   Holy Smokers

Inside the Matchup

Matchup Player of the Week

With 23.2 points, Parker scored 60.4% more than his 14.46-point projection as the Dolphins lost to the Giants 36-20. He caught 4 passes for 72 yards and 2 touchdowns to beat his projection by the highest percentage of any player on 3rd and Long this week. Parker will square off against the Bengals in Week 16.
DeVante Parker

Top Player Comparison

3rd and Long
Points
% of total points 135.18
1
Drew Brees
QB
36.28
25.35
26.8%
2
Chris Carson
RB
26.7
18.24
19.8%
3
DeVante Parker
WR
23.2
14.46
17.2%
4
Josh Jacobs
RB
12.9
14.65
9.5%
Holy Smokers
Points
% of total points 112.4
1
Patrick Mahomes
QB
26.7
27.54
23.8%
2
Odell Beckham Jr.
WR
14.6
14.22
13%
3
Robby Anderson
WR
12.6
10.43
11.2%
4
Leonard Fournette
RB
12.3
16.18
10.9%

Matchup Highlights

Thursday
Robby Anderson had a 41-yard catch for Holy Smokers, helping Holy Smokers to a 12.60-4.00 lead.
Sunday Early
There were players with big-time plays on both teams early Sunday, but it was 3rd and Long who emerged with the lead, 77.40-73.90. DeVante Parker had a 29-yard touchdown catch and a 20-yard touchdown catch for 3rd and Long, while Noah Fant had a 43-yard catch. Patrick Mahomes made the highlight reel for Holy Smokers with a 41-yard touchdown pass.
Monday
Drew Brees had a 28-yard touchdown pass and a 21-yard touchdown pass for 3rd and Long on Monday night, helping push the team to the win.

Points By Position

  3rd and Long   Holy Smokers

Game Notes

3rd and Long won even though only three of their 11 starting players scored higher than their point projections.
Holy Smokers had only three of their 11 starters score higher than their projected points.
3rd and Long won despite starting Phillip Dorsett II, who scored zero points.
Both teams failed to reach their season scoring average.
3rd and Long put up more points than their projected total, while Holy Smokers fell short of their projection.
3rd and Long ranked 9th in the league in scoring this week, while Holy Smokers ranked 11th.
In comeback games this season, 3rd and Long moves to (1-1), while Holy Smokers falls to (0-1).
In a losing effort, Patrick Mahomes scored 26.7 points, the fourth-best score for a quarterback this week.

Coach Talk

3rd and Long
A big key to success in football is taking advantage of the mismatches. We really took that to heart by doubling up Holy Smokers at running back this past week (39.6 points to 16.3).
Holy Smokers
Welp, we certainly can't whine about a shortage of opportunities this week, can we? As a group, our six pass-catchers (five WR and one TE) were targeted a whopping 38 times in Week 15. Timing and chemistry seem to be issues as that group tallied just 22 receptions.