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Matchup Recap Summary

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Week 16

Weekly
Grade
Nerd Herd
6-10 108.24
97.55
 
VS
proj
Wheezy
104.42 7-8
101.38

Nerd Herd outperform predictions, come back to defeat Wheezy in 108.24-104.42 battle

Nerd Herd brought their A game, rallying to earn a 108.24-104.42 win over Wheezy. After trailing 104.42-89.64 heading into Monday night, Nerd Herd charged back behind Davante Adams, who caught 13 passes for 116 yards for 9.6 points, and the Minnesota Vikings defense, who allowed 23 points, surrendered 383 yards, and forced 3 turnovers (9 points). Saquon Barkley (189 Rush Yds, 1 Rush TD, 90 Rec Yds, 1 Rec TD) and Mark Andrews (6 Rec, 93 Rec Yds, 2 Rec TDs) carried the flag for Wheezy in the loss. This marks the second time this season Nerd Herd have taken down Wheezy, after winning 111.12-81.72 in their last matchup. Nerd Herd end the season with a record of 6-10, while Wheezy finish the campaign at 7-8.

Matchup Timeline

  Nerd Herd   Wheezy

Inside the Matchup

Matchup Player of the Week

Lindsay (109 Rush Yds, 1 Rush TD) scored 17.8 points against the Lions in Week 16. His scoring output was 70% more than his 10.47-point projection and was much higher than his 9.84-point season scoring average.
Phillip Lindsay

Top Player Comparison

Nerd Herd
Points
% of total points 108.24
1
Patrick Mahomes
QB
25.44
22.9
23.5%
2
Phillip Lindsay
RB
17.8
10.47
16.4%
3
DeVante Parker
WR
17.1
10.12
15.8%
4
John Brown
WR
11.6
7.73
10.7%
Wheezy
Points
% of total points 104.42
1
Saquon Barkley
RB
39.9
15.57
38.2%
2
Mark Andrews
TE
21.3
8.54
20.4%
3
Kyler Murray
QB
12.72
19.06
12.2%
4
The San Francisco 49ers defense
DEF
7
8.51
6.7%

Matchup Highlights

Saturday
John Brown had a 53-yard touchdown catch for Nerd Herd to contribute to an 11.60-7.00 lead for the team.
Sunday Early
There were players with big-time moments for both teams early Sunday, but after all the plays were accounted for, Wheezy emerged with a 74.50-37.70 lead. For Nerd Herd, DeVante Parker had a 51-yard catch. Saquon Barkley had a 67-yard touchdown run and a 33-yard touchdown catch for Wheezy, while Mark Andrews had a 39-yard touchdown catch.
Sunday Late
Both teams had players with highlight-reel plays on Sunday afternoon, but after all the plays were accounted for, Wheezy boasted a 99.12-58.30 lead. For Nerd Herd, Phillip Lindsay had a 27-yard touchdown run. Kyler Murray made the highlight reel for Wheezy with a 21-yard touchdown pass.

Points By Position

  Nerd Herd   Wheezy

What If

Nerd Herd would have beaten five other teams besides Wheezy this week.
Wheezy would have lost to just one other team besides Nerd Herd this week.
If they played Wheezy every week, Nerd Herd would be 6-9 this season.
Nerd Herd would be 6-6 if they played the same schedule (excluding head-to-head matchups) as Wheezy.
If they played the same schedule (excluding head-to-head matchups) as Nerd Herd, Wheezy would be 8-4.
If Nerd Herd had played every team in the league each week, they would be 72-96.
If they played every team every week, Wheezy would be 88-73.

Coach Talk

Nerd Herd
Identifying mismatches is a huge component to winning in football. Thanks to a stellar outing from Patrick Mahomes, we doubled up Wheezy at the quarterback position this past week (25.44 points to 12.72). Mahomes went 23-for-33 for 251 yards and two TDs in a 26-3 win over the Bears.
Wheezy
Welp, we can't really whine about a lack of opportunities this time, can we? As a group, our trio of pass-catchers (two WR, one TE) were targeted a grand total of 28 times in Week 16. With only 14 total receptions, this group may need to work on chemistry with their QBs.