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Matchup Recap Summary

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Week 16

Weekly
Grade
Out Go the Lights
12-4 177.12
190
 
VS
proj
The Backpackers
140.17 8-8
174.91

The Backpackers fall short of projections, succumb to Out Go the Lights, 177.12-140.17

The Backpackers were unable to rise to the occasion, as Out Go the Lights emerged victorious with a 177.12-140.17 win. The Backpackers nabbed a 6.32-point lead on Saturday behind Za'Darius Smith (7 points) and Marcus Mariota (5.35), but Out Go the Lights held the lead the rest of the way. They were led by Ben Roethlisberger, who passed for 380 yards and 3 touchdowns for 33.1 points, and Dak Prescott, who passed for 161 yards and a touchdown (18.29 points). T.Y. Hilton (17.05 points) and Case Keenum (14.43) carried the flag for The Backpackers in the loss. This marks the second time this season Out Go the Lights have beaten The Backpackers, after winning 266.06-152.82 in their last matchup. Out Go the Lights improve to 12-4 for the season, while The Backpackers fall to 8-8.

Matchup Timeline

  Out Go the Lights   The Backpackers

Inside the Matchup

Matchup Player of the Week

While catching 5 passes for 75 yards against the Jets, Valdes-Scantling scored 9.25 points this week. His scoring output more-than-doubled his 3.52-point projection and was higher than his 6.24-point season scoring average. Valdes-Scantling will face the Lions next week.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Top Player Comparison

Out Go the Lights
Points
% of total points 177.12
1
Ben Roethlisberger
QB
33.1
20.54
18.7%
2
Dak Prescott
QB
18.29
20.7
10.3%
3
Calvin Ridley
WR
17.5
7.03
9.9%
4
Leonard Fournette
RB
14.1
12.1
8%
The Backpackers
Points
% of total points 140.17
1
T.Y. Hilton
WR
17.05
10.72
12.2%
2
Case Keenum
QB
14.43
17.35
10.3%
3
Jalen Richard
RB
11.6
6.5
8.3%
4
Nyheim Hines
RB
11.05
7.17
7.9%

Matchup Highlights

Sunday Early
Both teams had players with big-time plays early Sunday, but after all was said and done, Out Go the Lights had a 114.77-66.50 lead. Calvin Ridley had a 75-yard touchdown catch for Out Go the Lights, while Adam Thielen had a 40-yard catch. T.Y. Hilton made the highlight reel for The Backpackers with a 55-yard catch.
Sunday Late
Both teams had players with standout plays on Sunday afternoon, but after the dust settled, Out Go the Lights emerged with a 157.22-108.58 lead. For Out Go the Lights, Ben Roethlisberger had a 20-yard touchdown pass and a 49-yard pass. Larry Fitzgerald made the highlight reel for The Backpackers with a 32-yard touchdown pass.

Points By Position

  Out Go the Lights   The Backpackers

StatSmack

There's a pattern emerging. In their two head-to-head wins against The Backpackers, Out Go the Lights averaged more points (221.59) than they usually score (183.07).
We heard scoring helps you win. The Backpackers need some help then, averaging just 163.48 versus Out Go the Lights's 183.07.
As Herm Edwards once said, "You play to win the game!" Out Go the Lights (12-4) have a better record than The Backpackers (8-8).
Even the computers think Out Go the Lights have better players. They have a higher projected points average (190.44) than The Backpackers (172.04).
Once Out Go the Lights put their foot on the gas, they don't let up. They've got more blowout wins this season than The Backpackers (8 vs 6).
Out Go the Lights should change their team name to "The Overachievers" since they have beat their projection in more matchups than The Backpackers (6 vs 5).
By position, Out Go the Lights have outscored The Backpackers at QB, RB, WR, and TE this season.
Out Go the Lights has a higher average scoring margin (44) than The Backpackers this season (-1).
The starters for Out Go the Lights had more big plays in their NFL games this week (5) than the starters for The Backpackers (2).
Hey The Backpackers, maybe you'll have better luck next year!

Coach Talk

Out Go the Lights
Football is all about creating mismatches. Our squad found one this past week and thoroughly outplayed The Backpackers at the quarterback position (51.39 points to 19.78).
The Backpackers
Happy holidays, The Backpackers! We hope the GM of Out Go the Lights will write a thank-you card for the generous 140.17-point gift this past week.