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Overall Results

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Odds: Calculating odds of making it this far based on how many people started and how many people are still standing is very basic. Subtract the % of incorrect picks from 1 each week, multiply that by x, and it equals the number of original people playing. That may have sounded confusing, but the correct math is below.

(1-.2953)(1-.3629)(1-.026)(1-.2178)(1-.109)(1-.2259)(1-.4805 )(1-.5459)(x) = 10,817

.0556545237x = 10,817

x = 194,360

So we are down to 10,817 survivors after having 194,360 players, meaning the percentage of people who have made it this far (which is the odds of making it this far assuming everyone has equal knowledge, which obviously is untrue) is 10,817/194,360 = .05565, so 5.56%.

Recent Messages

ID Date Time Message Author
456 10/29 5:15 pm Odds Connor
455 10/29 6:37 am Snally Kenno
454 10/28 6:06 pm RE: 453 Jared Zack
453 10/28 3:32 pm RE: 452 Cliff
452 10/28 3:07 pm Odds and number of starting entries snaily28
451 10/28 1:06 pm 284,000 is also not correct Kevin
450 10/28 12:02 pm Perfect Survivors - Approx. 284,000 Celterwolves
449 10/28 10:19 am Rick Corey
448 10/28 10:01 am Perfect Survivor Response John D
447 10/28 10:00 am Sorry Charlie, er, Rick but Kevin is right Cliff
446 10/28 8:43 am number of perfect survivors at beginning of current season? marion
445 10/28 6:42 am 195,000 is correct Rick
444 10/28 6:32 am 195000 is not correct Kevin
443 10/28 6:29 am Perfect survivor question Joel
442 10/28 5:47 am Started with 195000 Players Rick
441 10/28 5:08 am Hey David..strategy.. JJ
440 10/28 4:35 am Haha screwed on both ends by Dallas Cliff
439 10/27 9:18 pm the real players left David
438 10/27 9:01 pm Need more Members please: Jason
437 10/27 8:59 pm Woop woop! Tristan Cota
436 10/27 8:04 pm dawg pound got the bone Dirty
435 10/26 3:55 pm Another close call Douglas
434 10/26 3:40 pm Need more Members for NBA Fantasy Groups: Jason
433 10/26 9:48 am Whew...Detroit.... JJ
432 10/24 8:27 pm *UNDERDOGS ONLY SURVIVAL LEAGUE HAS BEEN RESET* 12 openings THE KID
431 10/24 12:09 am Need more people for NBA Fantasy Groups: Jason
430 10/23 8:17 pm Thursday night games David
429 10/23 5:12 pm How hard could it be? Ricky
428 10/22 10:14 am Wiped Out? Start anew▼▼▼ Boondocks
427 10/20 10:10 pm Feel free to join my 3 Yahoo Sports NBA Fantasy Groups: Jason
426 10/20 9:35 am Never mind JJ
425 10/20 9:33 am Total Players? JJ
424 10/19 8:58 pm Cincy and Carolina picks should be gone Broncosareforreal
423 10/19 6:56 pm RE: 419 Cliff
422 10/19 4:18 pm Winner susie
421 10/19 3:47 pm hey dan
420 10/19 3:21 pm undefeated MichaelB
419 10/19 2:46 pm What happens..... Chelsey
418 10/19 1:20 pm Seatle Devo
417 10/17 11:28 am Start anew▼▼▼ Boondocks
416 10/17 8:32 am Starting Survivors Surfer Calavera
415 10/16 3:00 pm Re: How many of us were there? Michael
414 10/16 1:54 pm Surviving is winning Ghost Rider
413 10/16 1:39 pm Wins, Losses, and Ties Ghost Rider
412 10/16 12:12 pm How many of us were there? Kyle
411 10/16 5:16 am WEEK 7 BALTIMORE MICHAEL
410 10/16 4:54 am Pick a winner each week Cliff
409 10/15 11:02 pm survivor QBall
408 10/14 9:37 pm Re: There is no crying in survival football platinumzombraro
407 10/14 7:09 am There is no crying in survival football Thomas & Debbie
406 10/14 6:46 am Wk 7 Arizona Cardinals Country Music
405 10/13 10:43 pm Feel free to join my 3 Yahoo Sports NBA Fantasy Groups: Jason
404 10/13 2:34 pm Bengals tie platinumzombraro
403 10/13 2:18 pm Ties Corey
402 10/13 1:46 pm re: tie VinShady
401 10/13 1:42 pm Tie.... Michelle
400 10/13 12:03 pm Re Tie Ryan
399 10/13 9:22 am what a joke yahoo is. Austin
398 10/13 8:29 am Week 7 Baltimore C Saari
397 10/13 8:10 am Unable to edit/make pick for week 7 HarmyG
396 10/13 7:23 am Last yer's winner eliminated in week 6 Shelley
395 10/13 7:11 am watch out when picking on your phone Robert
394 10/13 6:25 am The Rule on a Tie Fanatic
393 10/13 6:06 am Ties not shown as a LOSS!! Ron
392 10/13 5:59 am Which is it? W or L Cindy
391 10/13 5:11 am yahoo remedy request Billy
390 10/12 10:40 pm Cinci tie fix on the way. Anthony Petrello
389 10/12 10:30 pm tie login
388 10/12 10:07 pm Cincinnati Carolina Austin
387 10/12 8:53 pm Remedy the Cincy/Carolina situation, Yahoo! Lukas C
386 10/12 8:12 pm Here is the rules link Jolt
385 10/12 6:44 pm Rules link hodgmaw1
384 10/12 6:35 pm Rules link hodgmaw1
383 10/12 6:35 pm Curly Go
382 10/12 6:07 pm Go Curly
381 10/12 6:02 pm Tie is a loss per yahoo rules Ken Jones
380 10/12 5:40 pm A tie is a loss, straight form yahoos rules Go
379 10/12 5:31 pm Ties Curly
378 10/12 5:28 pm ties? Joe
377 10/12 5:15 pm Tie is a loss Tom DeSanctis
376 10/12 5:13 pm Ties Broncosareforreal
375 10/12 5:12 pm Ties. Curly
374 10/12 5:07 pm Ties.... Anthony
373 10/12 5:01 pm Ties Curly
372 10/12 4:44 pm RE: Tie GFX
371 10/11 11:00 pm Feel free to join my 3 Yahoo Sports NBA Fantasy Groups: Jason
370 10/9 9:26 am @ ben David
369 10/8 7:28 pm READ: Revealed Picks Before Deadline Ben
368 10/8 7:25 pm FIXED LINK: Revealed Picks Before Deadline Ben
367 10/8 7:19 pm Revealed Picks Before Deadline Ben
366 10/8 8:13 am That Smell Paul
365 10/7 12:22 am Feel free to join my 3 Yahoo Sports NBA Fantasy Groups: Jason
364 10/5 9:08 pm RE: Tie Cliff
363 10/5 4:20 pm Glad the Saints Won Austin
362 10/5 2:09 pm Saints comeback Wild Bill
361 10/5 1:58 pm Tie? Dean
360 10/5 1:50 pm New Orleans David
359 10/5 1:45 pm Referring to real tie game in NFL, sir. car
358 10/5 1:41 pm if its a tie in this league, then i must have died Cent
357 10/5 1:31 pm What happens if it's a tie? car