Suba's patriots's Draft Report Card

--hidden-- | Drafted Round 23, Pick 355
A Grade
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Suba's Standout Team: A Draft Grade That Shines Brighter Than a Diamond 💎

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In the deep waters of the 16 Team Dive league, Suba's Standout Team made a splash with their impressive draft performance. Despite picking third, they managed to assemble a roster that has the potential to make waves. With a draft grade of A, they left their competitors green with envy. Projected to finish fourth, Suba's Standout Team is poised to rise above the competition like a majestic dolphin leaping out of the water.

Suba's Standout Team's draft strategy was as bold as a shark hunting its prey. While some may question their decision to draft Patrick Mahomes at the third spot, their selection of Keenan Allen at 62 was a stroke of genius. This steal of a pick, surpassing their ADP of 48, has the potential to propel the team to greatness. Additionally, Suba's Standout Team showed their loyalty by drafting four players from the same team, forming a formidable alliance that could dominate the league. With six players on bye week 11, they'll have to navigate the treacherous waters of the schedule, but with their determination, they're sure to come out on top. Suba's Standout Team is ready to make a splash and leave their opponents in their wake!

ADP Analysis

Pick Number

Bars above zero indicate a pick was selected later than a player's ADP. Bars below zero show players that were taken earlier than their ADP.

Inside the Draft

Player Outlooks

QB - Round 1, Pick 3 - Bye 10

2023 Rank: 23 - 2022 Rank: 1

Fresh off his second Super Bowl victory, second MVP title and his best season since he took the league by storm in 2018, it's easier than ever to declare Mahomes the best quarterback in the NFL. Whether that proves to be true in fantasy football is a different question, but it's tough to bet against Mahomes after throwing for 5,250 yards and 41 touchdowns last year. Mahomes' rushing ability isn't the first thing to come to mind when looking at his game, but his ability to add at least 300 yards and a couple touchdowns on the ground provides a meaningful boost to his fantasy output. The departures of free agent wideouts JuJu Smith-Schuster and Mecole Hardman shouldn't matter much, especially since the Chiefs reloaded with second-round pick Rashee Rice and quality free agent slot man Richie James. There's also the expectation that Kadarius Toney step up more after the Chiefs acquired him in-season from the Giants in 2022. So long as Travis Kelce is on the field it seems like Mahomes can score points with pretty much any combination of wide receivers.

RB - Round 2, Pick 30 - Bye 11

2023 Rank: 32 - 2022 Rank: 43

Stevenson's raw athletic numbers don't jump off the page, but he makes up for a lack of elite speed or quickness with contact balance, vision and a versatile skillset. Stevenson's style breeds elusiveness with the ball in his hands, and he's proven to be a superior pass-catcher as well. Last season, he added a 69-421-1 line through the air in addition to 210 carries for 1,040 yards and five scores on the ground. Stevenson passed the eye-test as New England's undisputed RB1. Damien Harris left for Buffalo, but the Patriots signed Ezekiel Elliott in August. Stevenson's workload might not increase much this season with Elliott vying for touches, but he's still the lead back and first receiving option out of the backfield. As long as Elliott doesn't snipe too many goal-line carries, the explosive Stevenson is efficient enough to make up for a slight dip volume.

WR - Round 3, Pick 35 - Bye 7

2023 Rank: 78 - 2022 Rank: 103

Higgins is well established as a high-quality WR2 in both real life and fantasy football. There's been some talk of him getting a WR1 opportunity as he enters the final year of his contract, but the Bengals don't seem interested in succumbing to trade rumors. Higgins showed up for the offseason program, and the team can keep him around next year with a franchise tag even if he doesn't sign an extension this summer/fall. He had at least 908 yards and six touchdowns in each of his first three NFL seasons, including back-to-back 1,000 yard campaigns the past two years. At 6-4, he excels on jump balls and contested catches, and although he is not as fast as teammate Ja'Marr Chase or as much of a YAC threat, Higgins nonetheless has proven quite useful on short and intermediate passes. In terms of fantasy upside beyond the 1,200-yard range or so, that'll probably only happen for Higgins in Cincinnati if Chase misses extended time -- a scenario that would leave the talented 2020 second-round pick as Joe Burrow's unquestioned top option.

WR - Round 4, Pick 62 - Bye 13

2023 Rank: 33 - 2022 Rank: 166

Decline will come for Allen some day, and perhaps as soon as the 2023 season. There were no signs in 2022, though. The early-season hamstring injury was a major frustration, but upon his return Allen pretty much torched in the final eight weeks. Allen finished the year with 66 catches for 752 yards on 89 targets and 505 snaps - an extremely high target rate and with exceptional efficiency. To draw that many targets per snap and still provide a catch rate of 74.2 percent at 8.5 yards per target is dominance, and not the kind of thing declining players are known for. Age-related decline can be harsh and sudden, so it's an understandable concern with Allen now 31 years old, but his recent play was some of the best of his career. The Chargers will remain a pass-happy offense in 2023 and there's even some hope of improvement with new coordinator Kellen Moore replacing the disappointing Joe Lombardi. Based on all material evidence, Allen should once again be a good bet for 100-plus catches.

WR - Round 5, Pick 67 - Bye 11

2023 Rank: 66 - 2022 Rank: 149

London had a great start and a great finish to his rookie season, but the nine games that fell between those periods of production were uninspiring. In the first three games of the season, the eighth overall pick averaged 5.3 receptions for 71 yards and scored two touchdowns. Over the last five games of the year, he fell below 70 yards just once. In between those two stretches, he had 40 or fewer yards in nine consecutive games. Some of his downswing may have been due to Marcus Mariota being the QB, especially after defenses had an idea how the Falcons wanted to 'run' their offense. However, the fact that London played his best football with Desmond Ridder under center bodes well for his future. Utilized both outside and in the slot, London was able to win matchups even when defenses focused on him after TE Kyle Pitts suffered a season-ending injury. London's overall numbers didn't look great, but he had enough big games to show that he has the makings of a star. While the Falcons figure to sport a run-first offense again, it's a safe bet London and Pitts dominate whatever volume the passing game provides.

RB - Round 6, Pick 94 - Bye 10

2023 Rank: 191 - 2022 Rank: 392

The opposite of a lucky Penny, the San Diego State product has never been able to put together a full, healthy season in the NFL, topping out at 14 games in his rookie campaign and playing just 28 of a possible 66 games in the four years since due to a number of injuries, mainly to his lower body. Seattle let him hobble out the door after his rookie contract expired, and the Eagles were able to sign him to a cheap one-year deal despite the fact the 2018 first-round pick has been incredibly productive the last couple of years when he's been on the field. Penny heads into this season as part of a backfield committee that also includes fellow injury-prone newcomer D'Andre Swift and depth options with plenty of experience in the offense in Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott, and the reduced workload that comes with that set-up might just allow the former Seahawk to stay mostly healthy. Penny averaged 6.2 yards per carry over the last two seasons for Seattle, and he gets a massive upgrade in blocking with the elite Philadelphia offensive line in front of him, so the per-touch upside is there if he manages to avoid breaking down again.

RB - Round 7, Pick 99 - Bye 11

2023 Rank: 104 - 2022 Rank: 39

Williams had a strong fantasy season with the Lions in 2022. He blew away his previous career highs with 262 carries and 1,066 yards, and his league-leading 17 rushing TDs were more than he scored through his first five years in the league combined (13). However, his use as a receiver evaporated. After catching at least 25 passes in each of his first five years, he had only 12 receptions in 2022. Once valued for versatility, Williams produced his best fantasy season while handling a more one-dimensional role. He now heads to New Orleans, where Alvin Kamara is suspended for the first three games of the season but QB/TE Taysom Hill ensures there will be competition for goal-line carries all the same. If the Saints view Williams the way the Packers once did, he could catch more passes over the first three weeks than he did all of last season, though the receiving volume would then figure to fall off a cliff upon Kamara's return. Further complicating matters is the presence of rookie third-round pick Kendre Miller, who could also get carries early in the season. It's probably best to view Williams as an RB2 for September and a question mark thereafter, though his history of varied usage suggests there are quite a few different ways things could play out.

QB - Round 8, Pick 126 - Bye 11

2023 Rank: 117 - 2022 Rank: 14

Carr threw 24 or fewer TD passes in five of the last six years. He also has been held to fewer than 29 TD passes in nine of 10 seasons with a career high of 32 in 2015. It speaks volumes that the Raiders basically sent him home for the last three games of last season, eventually letting him walk with no real backup plan or compensation in return. Joey Bosa called it out a couple of years ago when he said that Carr folds under pressure. Last year, Carr had good blocking from his tackles, though the interior was a mess. Now with the Saints, he'll have solid RT play from Ryan Ramczyk. But unless the other linemen make jumps in previous effectiveness, this line will be a problem for Carr. Expect the Saints to hope their defense can keep them competitive. Also, look for a slow pace on offense with an emphasis on the running game when possible. The downfield passing could be a problem due to the OL, so Carr will need to have success in the short and intermediate areas. He'll likely be a borderline top-24 QB.

RB - Round 9, Pick 131 - Bye 11

2023 Rank: 106 - 2022 Rank: 66

There's always concern about sustainability when a running back flashes in a small sample. But Allgeier definitely made the most of his opportunities as a rookie last year. The fifth-round pick averaged 4.9 yards per carry while ranking in the 92nd percentile for broken-tackle rate and 87th percentile for yards after contact. The 220-pound back had six runs of at least 20 yards (with three of those going over 40 yards) on 210 total carries. And his role increased as the season wound down. His four highest-usage games came in the last four weeks of the year, and he averaged 5.5 yards per carry in that stretch. Only one of those games came against a bad run defense, and he also caught six of seven targets for 52 yards during that span. Despite the impressive rookie year, Atlanta drafted RB Bijan Robinson eighth overall in April, leaving Allgeier without much of a fantasy ceiling unless his new teammates miss time.

DEF - Round 10, Pick 158 - Bye 7

2023 Rank: 204 - 2022 Rank: 116

The Bengals defense had a strong 2022, ranking eighth with 24 takeaways and sixth with only 19 points allowed per game. However, the team lost both starting safeties, Jessie Bates and Vonn Bell, during free agency in the offseason. As a result, they will have to rely on 2022 first-rounder Dax Hill and new signing Nick Scott to step up.Additionally, the Bengals have added second-round rookie CB DJ Turner to their secondary. The team's front seven at least looks strong again, which may aid the inexperienced secondary. And from a fantasy standpoint, it helps that the Bengals have an offense capable of providing large leads throughout the season.

DEF - Round 11, Pick 163 - Bye 13

2023 Rank: 144 - 2022 Rank: 79

Last season, the Ravens performed impressively and ranked third, fifth, and ninth in points allowed per game, sacks and takeaways, respectively. The addition of LB Roquan Smith helped a great deal, and fellow linebacker Patrick Queen stepped up his own performance after the mid-season trade for Smith. However, the Ravens suffered a setback this offseason with the loss of DE Calais Campbell to the Falcons, while OLB Justin Houston, who posted 9.5 sacks last season, has not been signed yet. As a result, it's possible that the Ravens D/ST may not perform at the same level this season, sporting major question marks at cornerback and along the defensive line.

TE - Round 12, Pick 190 - Bye 13

2023 Rank: 160 - 2022 Rank: 206

Now in the second year of a two-year contract with the Chargers, Everett heads into 2023 after a Chargers debut that was more busy than it was effective. Everett's target rate was excellent - 87 targets on 648 snaps should be major currency in such an enviable passing game - but the returns for those targets were underwhelming. It's a theme throughout Everett's career: despite being fast and making the occasional big play, his efficiency leaves something to be desired. To be fair to Everett, his 2022 production looks better if you include his performance in the Chargers' wildcard round loss to the Jaguars. If you include that game, then Everett finished 2022 with 64 catches for 663 yards and five touchdowns on 95 targets - an improved 67.4 percent catch rate at 7.0 yards per target compared to 66.7 percent at 6.4 YPT from the regular season - but it's worth remembering that Mike Williams missed that game and the Jaguars clearly sold out to stop Keenan Allen (six catches for 61 yards on 13 targets) and Austin Ekeler (two catches for eight yards on four targets). Everett is likely an excellent fantasy TE2 who could provide TE1 returns with a little luck, just don't expect the Jaguars game to be the norm.

K - Round 13, Pick 195 - Bye 10

2023 Rank: 181 - 2022 Rank: 298

The 2022 season was a frustrating one for Butker, a kicker not used to struggling. An ankle injury in Week 1 seemed to stick with Butker for most of the year, and he ended up converting just 18 of his 24 field goal attempts in 13 games. If Butker had stayed healthy he would have likely posted a much better conversion rate. In each of the five prior seasons Butker finished with a field goal percentage of 88.9 or better, even while kicking often and regularly from long range. Now healthy again, Butker should resume his pre-2022 functions as a high-volume, high-efficiency kicker in one of the league's best offenses. Before 2022 Butker averaged 29 field goals and 47 PATs made per season.

LB - Round 14, Pick 222 - Bye 11

2023 Rank: 1164 - 2022 Rank: 301

Bentley has proven to be a trustworthy member of Bill Belichick's defense across the last three seasons, playing at least 600 snaps and over 90 tackles each year during that span. He's coming off of his best campaign, during which he racked up a team-high 125 tackles along with three sacks, an interception, and a fumble recovery in 17 games. The team rewarded him with an extension, which should keep him in New England until after the 2024 campaign. It also means that the 2018 fifth-rounder is set to reprise his starting inside linebacker role for the Patriots. Bentley isn't an IDP superstar, as he's never managed to contribute much in the way of pass rush or coverage stats. On the other hand, he has a clear role in the middle of the defense and should pile up tackles once again.

LB - Round 15, Pick 227 - Bye 13

2023 Rank: 1166 - 2022 Rank: 223

Milano is as steady as they come and served in a prime role in the Bills' defense since 2018. He's topped 100 tackles only once in his career, which doesn't keep pace with his peers at the position. However, Milano stands out for his ability in coverage, as he has 38 pass breakups and eight picks across 85 career games. He inked a two-year extension with the Buffalo this offseason and is still in his prime heading into his age-29 campaign. Milano is set to once again anchor a strong defense while working as a core piece at outside linebacker.

LB - Round 16, Pick 254 - Bye 14

2023 Rank: 1207 - 2022 Rank: 230

Luvu entered the 2022 season known almost exclusively for his work on special teams. He had never totaled more than 43 tackles in any of his first four pro campaigns, but he enjoyed a breakout season with increased opportunity. Despite missing two games, he registered 111 stops to go with seven sacks - both marks were second on the Panthers - and four passes defended. Those numbers are impressive on their own, but he also displayed big-play ability by forcing a fumble and returning his only interception for a score. Looking forward, Luvu faces a transition to new coordinator Ejiro Evero's 3-4 scheme, but he is slated to start alongside Shaq Thompson at inside linebacker. Whether he can reproduce last year's success remains to be seen, but Luvu's stock nonetheless has never been higher.

S - Round 17, Pick 259 - Bye 13

2023 Rank: 492 - 2022 Rank: 283

DE - Round 18, Pick 286 - Bye 7

2023 Rank: 1648 - 2022 Rank: 398

LB - Round 19, Pick 291 - Bye 11

2023 Rank: 1140 - 2022 Rank: 351

WR - Round 20, Pick 318 - Bye 13

2023 Rank: 292 - 2022 Rank: 582

Taken in the second round of the 2022 NFL Draft, Robinson was seen as the potential slot replacement for brittle veteran Sterling Shepard. While Shepard predictably got hurt early in the season, the rookie couldn't take advantage as he suffered two knee injuries of his own, including a season-ending ACL tear. Robinson didn't have elite speed or impressive measurables to begin with, so he likely can't afford to return less than 100 percent healthy if he wants to stay in the Giants' plans. New York also added Parris Campbell in the offseason on a one-year deal to make the slot receiver picture even murkier. If Robinson regains the form he flashed last year between knee injuries though, a stretch capped by a nine-reception, 100-yard performance during his final game of the year in Week 11, he could establish himself as the future of the team's receiving corps alongside 2023 third-round pick Jalin Hyatt.

WR - Round 21, Pick 323 - Bye 13

2023 Rank: 223 - 2022 Rank: 431

It would be hasty to count Renfrow out after one bad season, especially since he was so solid in all of the three prior years. But his 2022 season could hardly have been more concerning. A concussion and oblique issue played a role, but for Renfrow to return just 36 receptions for 330 yards and two touchdowns on 50 targets in 10 games is the kind of dysfunction that could hint at a poor system fit. It's possible that Josh McDaniels just doesn't have much idea of how to use Renfrow, a fear that was made worse when the Raiders signed New England slot standout Jakobi Meyers to a three-year, $33 million contract this offseason. Then the Raiders bizarrely targeted two more slot specialists -- former Chargers wideout DeAndre Carter in free agency and Cincinnati wideout Tre Tucker in the third round of the draft. Renfrow himself is on a two-year, $31.7 million extension signed before the 2022 season, so the Raiders are on the hook for a lot of cash either way. Even if it's not his first inclination, McDaniels has plenty of incentive to figure out how to use Renfrow more properly in 2023. It's just not clear if McDaniels is any closer to getting there.

TE - Round 22, Pick 350 - Bye 14

2023 Rank: 335 - 2022 Rank: 538

In his rookie year in 2022, McBride moved to a more prominent role after Zach Ertz tore his ACL in the second half of the season. As a first-year tight end, it was no surprise that he got off to a slow start. However, he did get into a bit of a groove as the season wound down. He had at least 41 yards in three of his last four games, and he caught at least three passes in each of his last five games while averaging 5.6 targets. McBride's 23rd-percentile yards after the catch was unimpressive, but that's something he can build on in his second year. With Ertz having an uncertain status while coming back from his knee injury, McBride could easily start and finish the season as the Cardinals top receiving tight end. However, it's unlikely he sees a high-volume role, so he'll likely finish outside the top-20 at his position.

WR - Round 23, Pick 355 - Bye 10

2023 Rank: 205 - 2022 Rank: 316

Parker, who was traded to New England via the Dolphins last April, caught 31 of his 47 targets for 539 yards and three scores in 13 games in his first season with the Patriots. The 30-year-old is the best contested-catch option in New England's wide receiver room, though the presence of two capable pass-catching tight ends in Hunter Henry and Mike Gesicki could portend significant role overlap. Parker's key to fantasy success will be to establish better chemistry with Mac Jones in their second year together, thus earning more reliable volume. Even then, JuJu Smith-Schuster profiles as the leader among the Patriots' WR room, while Tyquan Thornton and Kendrick Bourne could both realistically be featured more prominently in 2023.

Team Forecast

Bye Week Points Lost

Points

Each bar represents the total projected season points for each player that's on bye that week. This chart shows any potential bye week issues.

Schedule by Opponent Points

Week

Week-by-week schedule with each opponent's projected season points. This chart shows any difficult or easy stretches in the schedule.

Suba's patriots
1. (3) Patrick Mahomes (KC - QB)
2. (30) Rhamondre Stevenson (NE - RB)
3. (35) Tee Higgins (Cin - WR)
4. (62) Keenan Allen (Chi - WR)
5. (67) Drake London (Atl - WR)
6. (94) Rashaad Penny (Phi - RB)
7. (99) Jamaal Williams (NO - RB)
8. (126) Derek Carr (NO - QB)
9. (131) Tyler Allgeier (Atl - RB)
10. (158) Cincinnati (Cin - DEF)
11. (163) Baltimore (Bal - DEF)
12. (190) Gerald Everett (Chi - TE)
13. (195) Harrison Butker (KC - K)
14. (222) Ja'Whaun Bentley (NE - LB)
15. (227) Matt Milano (Buf - LB)
16. (254) Frankie Luvu (Was - LB)
17. (259) Harrison Smith (Min - S)
18. (286) DeMarcus Lawrence (Dal - DE)
19. (291) Matthew Judon (NE - LB)
20. (318) Wan'Dale Robinson (NYG - WR)
21. (323) Hunter Renfrow (LV - WR)
22. (350) Trey McBride (Ari - TE)
23. (355) DeVante Parker (Phi - WR)

Best Draft

Best Draft is awarded to the team with the most projected season points based on weekly optimal starting lineups.

League Draft Grades

Draft Day Projected Standings

Draft Day Power Rankings

Power Rankings are based on projected points for the remainder of the season.