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Fire king's Draft Report Card

--hidden-- | Drafted Round 23, Pick 366
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MischiefMaster's Draft: A Masterclass in Misfortune

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In the 16 Team Dive 🎖️ league, MischiefMaster found themselves in the 14th draft order, which is never an ideal position. With a total of 23 rounds, they had plenty of opportunities to turn their luck around, but unfortunately, their draft grade of D- suggests that things didn't quite go according to plan. The projections aren't looking too bright either, with a projected record of 2-12-0 and a projected finish in 15th place. Ouch. It seems like MischiefMaster might need a bit of mischief to pull off a miracle.

One glimmer of hope for MischiefMaster was their best pick, where they managed to snag Dallas Goedert at pick 78, despite an ADP of 54. It's always nice to find a hidden gem in the later rounds. However, their worst pick was a bit of a head-scratcher. They reached for D'Andre Swift at pick 51, even though their ADP was 78. Maybe they saw something that nobody else did, or maybe they just wanted to keep things interesting. Speaking of interesting, MischiefMaster decided to go all-in on a single team, drafting a whopping four players from the same team: Jalen Hurts, D'Andre Swift, Dallas Goedert, and Kenneth Gainwell. It's a bold strategy, Cotton, let's see if it pays off for them.

ADP Analysis

Pick Number

Bars above zero indicate a pick was selected later than a player's ADP. Bars below zero show players that were taken earlier than their ADP.

Inside the Draft

Player Outlooks

QB - Round 1, Pick 14 - Bye 10

2023 Rank: 17 - 2022 Rank: 6

Hurts ascended to elite status in 2022, finishing as QB3 for fantasy purposes while posting MVP-quality numbers and leading the Eagles to the Super Bowl. The improvements he made as a passer during his first two seasons in the league paid dividends after the team added A.J. Brown to a receiving corps already headlined by DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert. Hurts emerged as one of the NFL's most accurate passers in his third campaign. It's his running ability, however, that takes his production to another level. Nick Sirianni's scheme is designed around his game-breaking ability on the ground, and Hurts' 13 rushing touchdowns were the second most in NFL history by a quarterback. While it's hard to bank on that kind of record-setting performance repeating itself, the league elected not to legislate away the team's "tush push" rugby scrum approach to gaining short yards and getting the ball across the goal line, so double-digit rushing TDs could well be his floor. Hurts may not match the volume or pure passing upside of the likes of Patrick Mahomes or Josh Allen, but at 24 years old, his best days should still be ahead of him.

WR - Round 2, Pick 19 - Bye 10

2023 Rank: 3 - 2022 Rank: 37

Hill's record of exceptional on-field play has been consistent enough that his first year in Miami may actually be flying under the radar. Wide receivers usually see a dip in production in their first year with a new team, but Hill's inaugural season with the Dolphins saw him rack up a career-high 1,710 receiving yards (11th most in NFL history) to go with eight total touchdowns. The speedster managed that feat despite enduring tumultuous injuries at the quarterback position, and catching passes from a third-stringer by the end of the season. Part of the credit needs to go to coach Mike McDaniel's outstanding offensive scheme, and to Tua Tagovailoa's play under center. But the ultimate takeaway is that Hill is a game-breaker still in his prime. In 17 games last season, Hill broke 100 yards on seven occasions and led the entire NFL with 3.20 yards per route run. He seems a likely candidate for positive touchdown regression, especially if Tagovailoa can put together an fully healthy season. With Jaylen Waddle present to keep defenses honest but no other target competition of real significance, Hill finds himself in the perfect situation to once again produce Top-5 wide receiver stats.

DEF - Round 3, Pick 46 - Bye 7

2023 Rank: 151 - 2022 Rank: 55

Between Dan Quinn's revitalization as a coordinator and some outstanding drafting in recent years, the Cowboys' defense has become one of the league's elite fantasy options. The team led the NFL in takeaways while finishing tied for third in sacks and tied for fifth in points per game allowed in 2022, as Micah Parsons led an aggressive, attacking unit that didn't give quarterbacks much chance to get comfortable. The front office didn't rest on those laurels though, trading for Stephon Gilmore to provide a veteran presence opposite ballhawking cornerback Trevin Diggs and drafting Mazi Smith late in the first round to bolster the middle of the defensive line. Young players like edge rusher Sam Williams and linebacker Damone Clark could also take big steps forward this season, but Parsons remains the star attraction. As long as he's disrupting plays all over the field, this should be one of the league's best defenses,

RB - Round 4, Pick 51 - Bye 13

2023 Rank: 36 - 2022 Rank: 87

A second-round pick in 2020, Swift flashed his talent and upside over three seasons with the Lions but also demonstrated an unfortunate propensity for getting hurt, and he got flipped to the Eagles in the offseason. Having proven he can't hold up under a big workload, the Georgia product could find himself in a somewhat ideal situation in the final year of his rookie contract, as coach Nick Sirianni has leaned toward using a backfield committee during his time at the helm in Philadelphia. The big question will be who's involved in that committee for any particular week in 2023. Miles Sanders is now in Carolina, but Swift will be joined by fellow injury-prone newcomer Rashaad Penny, and holdovers Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott have had their moments in an Eagles uniform. Swift's three-down skill set gives him more versatility than Penny, but the duo could both be extremely effective behind the team's elite offensive line if reduced volume allows them to stay out of the trainer's room.

TE - Round 5, Pick 78 - Bye 10

2023 Rank: 71 - 2022 Rank: 199

Goedert hasn't played a full schedule since he was a rookie in 2018, and 2022 was no exception. The tight end missed five games last season with a shoulder injury. And yet Goedert still turned in another productive season. Since supplanting Zach Ertz as the Eagles' top tight end, he's averaged more than 10 yards a target and 50 receiving yards a game over the last two years. A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith are the top weapons for quarterback Jalen Hurts, but Goedert is a capable No. 3 option in an explosive offense that will have a lot of continuity from last season. While his floor is his big selling point from a fantasy perspective, there's room for growth in his red-zone production if defenses find a way to force Philadelphia to shy away from using Hurts on goal-line sneaks. Even without a big spike in his touchdown output, Goedert has plenty of appeal once the elite tight ends are off the board.

S - Round 6, Pick 83 - Bye 5

2023 Rank: 580 - 2022 Rank: 441

WR - Round 7, Pick 110 - Bye 10

2023 Rank: 102 - 2022 Rank: 186

Brown is at his best when he's used as a downfield target, however he had a career low 6.6 yards per target and 10.6 yards per reception with the Cardinals last year. It didn't help that Kyler Murray missed the end of the season with a knee injury, but regardless, this was far from a big play offense last year. There's also concern that Murray may not be ready to start the season due to his injury. Brown did miss Weeks 7 through 11 with an injury last year, but he had been coming on just before then. He posted at least 68 yards in each of the five games leading up to week 11. And during that stretch, he averaged 11.6 targets with no fewer than nine in any game. but once he returned, and specially due to the quarterback play, he never surpassed 61 yards the rest of the way. If Murray was going to be a full go for the season, Brown's fantasy value would be much higher. but if Murray misses time, the drop off in quarterback play is so significant that it hurts Brown's fantasy value.

WR - Round 8, Pick 115 - Bye 13

2023 Rank: 89 - 2022 Rank: 145

Meyers continues to ascend as an NFL wideout, a conversion project that started in 2016 after he arrived to North Carolina State as a quarterback recruit. Perhaps Meyers will unveil a trick pass now and then, but at this point he's established himself as a natural wide receiver. After primarily lining up as a slot receiver in New England, Josh McDaniels might envision more of an all-around role for Meyers with the Raiders, if only because it's impossible to see how slot specialist Hunter Renfrow would see the field if it were Meyers in the slot. It's not a given that Meyers thrives outside -- his 4.63-second 40 is not normally what you look for in a boundary wideout -- but his lack of speed can be mitigated somewhat if the Raiders line up with tight splits. If the Raiders line up in narrow formations then it places Meyers a little closer to the slot than if he were lining up closer to the sideline, and perhaps that's all the accommodation he needs. With 303 targets on his last 2,180 snaps (118 per 850 snaps) and a three-year, $33 million contract in hand it's safe to say that Meyers will be busy with the Raiders one way or another. As long as Jimmy Garoppolo (foot) stays healthy, Meyers should be a decent bet to surpass 70 catches on the year, even with Davante Adams raking ahead of him.

K - Round 9, Pick 142 - Bye 13

2023 Rank: 177 - 2022 Rank: 172

Bass has proven to be one of the league's most accurate kickers since joining the Bills as a sixth-round pick back in 2020. He's logged back-to-back seasons with at least an 87 percent field-goal conversion rate, with 57, 51 and 48 PATs over the last three years. The weather conditions in Buffalo aren't ideal for a kicker, but Bass makes up for it in opportunities within one of the top offenses in the league. He's converted either 27 or 28 in each of his pro seasons.

LB - Round 10, Pick 147 - Bye 7

2023 Rank: 1131 - 2022 Rank: 259

Not all careers progress linearly, but Wilson's certainly has. A third-round pick in 2020, Wilson served primarily on special teams as a rookie. He took a step forward in 2021, only to truly break out in 2022 by tallying 123 tackles and 2.5 sacks. Though he's not overly athletic, Wilson has shown enough intelligence to be an asset in coverage as he has racked up 11 passes defended and seven interceptions across 40 career games. He's a true three-down linebacker. Heading into the final year of his rookie contract, Wilson will certainly be a key member of the Bengals defense yet again. The only question is his health, as he's missed eight games in his three-year career.

DE - Round 11, Pick 174 - Bye 13

2023 Rank: 1680 - 2022 Rank: 559

CB - Round 12, Pick 179 - Bye 10

2023 Rank: 1423 - 2022 Rank: 220

RB - Round 13, Pick 206 - Bye 13

2023 Rank: 193 - 2022 Rank: 68

Singletary spent most of the past four years as Buffalo's starting RB after being selected in the third round of the 2019 NFL Draft. He averaged a respectable 4.7 YPC over that span, and after scoring just six scrimmage touchdowns in his first two seasons, Singletary found the end zone 14 times over the last two years. Despite underwhelming measurables (5-foot-8 and 203 pounds with 4.66 speed), Singletary has proven to be a capable NFL running back, but he's looking at a massive downgrade in the situation heading into 2023. After playing the lead RB role in one of the league's most prolific offenses, Singletary's expected to be bumped to the backup spot behind Dameon Pierce in a Houston offense that's been one of the least effective in recent years. The Texans are going through a makeover on offense, and the addition of Singletary on a one-year deal is part of that effort, but there isn't much upside here barring an injury to Pierce. Perhaps Singletary can carve out more playing time on passing downs since Pierce is unproven as a receiver, though Singletary's career mark of 5.0 yards per target doesn't inspire much confidence in that regard, either.

WR - Round 14, Pick 211 - Bye 10

2023 Rank: 258 - 2022 Rank: 344

Hardman couldn't take advantage of Tyreek Hill's departure in his fourth season with the Chiefs last year, averaging less than 40 yards per game in the eight games he played. He'll once again get the advantage of playing with a future Hall of Fame quarterback in New York, though Aaron Rodger's substandard 2022 campaign could be reason for tampering expectations. The Jets' receiving corps is less crowded behind No. 1 Garrett Wilson after Corey Davis retired in August. Hardman is the only real speedster of the group, and his skillset doesn't significantly overlap with Allen Lazard, a more big-bodied chain mover. Tthe 25-year-old Hardman could well be a regular fixture in three-wide sets. The argument for Hardman as a post-hype sleeper isn't difficult, as long as he's indeed able to get healthy without setbacks, but fantasy may be fatigued enough for him to fall to the last round of drafts.

LB - Round 15, Pick 238 - Bye 9

2023 Rank: 1223 - 2022 Rank: 286

Entering the 2022 season, Anzalone had shown the ability to stay on the field and produce at an elite clip on a per-game basis. However, those things had never coalesced. That changed in 2022, as he put up a career year highlighted by 125 tackles. Across two campaigns with the Lions, he has also shown significant involvement in pass defense by breaking up a combined 13 passes. Detroit acknowledged Anzalone's importance to their defensive scheme and rewarded him with a three-year, $18.75 million this offseason -- positioning him as the 13th-best paid inside linebacker in the league. With that new deal, he'll be expected to anchor a young and potential-filled linebacker corps, highlighted by Jack Campbell and Malcolm Rodriguez.

WR - Round 16, Pick 243 - Bye 13

2023 Rank: 146 - 2022 Rank: 549

Selected 27th overall in the 2021 NFL Draft after a prolific college career, Bateman has seen his pro career defined by injuries. After undergoing abdominal surgery in the summer of his rookie season, Bateman missed the first five games. He then sustained a Lisfranc injury early last October, causing him to miss the final 11 weeks of the 2022 season. Bateman showed promise early last year in catching eight of 16 targets for 226 yards and two touchdowns in the first three weeks, supported by two long-distance scores on which his 4.39 speed was evident. Bateman is only 23 and remains a promising prospect, but he confronts greater competition for targets after the Ravens signed WRs Odell Beckham and Nelson Agholor and spent a first-round pick on WR Zay Flowers. There should at least be more receiving production to go around in Baltimore this year, as the change in offensive coordinator from Greg Roman to Todd Monken implies a more pass-oriented offense. This modification gives Bateman a chance at a third-year breakout even with more competition for QB Lamar Jackson's attention.

WR - Round 17, Pick 270 - Bye 7

2023 Rank: 240 - 2022 Rank: 1615

Dell didn't have to travel too far between college and the NFL, as the wide receiver out of Houston was selected 69th overall in the 2023 NFL Draft by the Texans. What Dell lacks in size (5-foot-8 and 165 pounds), he made up for with production in college, leading the NCAA in both receiving yards (1,398) and touchdowns (17) last season. Due to his modest frame, Dell will likely operate as a slot receiver in the NFL, but he could have an opportunity to carve out a substantial role out of the gate in an underwhelming Houston receiving corps. No WR on Houston's roster reached 600 yards last season, and the entire team will be adapting to new offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik and new QB C.J. Stroud. Dell could also be the team's punt and kickoff returner on special teams. He plays faster than his good-not-great 4.49 40-yard dash but will need to bulk up without sacrificing speed to hang around in the NFL and avoid injuries.

RB - Round 18, Pick 275 - Bye 10

2023 Rank: 86 - 2022 Rank: 280

Gainwell gave a glimpse of what he might be able to accomplish in a bigger role in last season's wild-card win over the Giants, erupting for 112 rushing yards and a touchdown, but that could well end up being the high point of his Eagles tenure. A fifth-round pick in 2021, Gainwell's a valuable depth option in Nick Siranni's scheme, but his biggest asset is receiving skills that often go under-utilized in an offense that would rather have Jalen Hurts keep the ball himself than dump it off to a running back. Miles Sanders, another back who didn't get the workload his talent may have warranted, left for Carolina in the offseason, but Gainwell's shot at rising up the depth chart got thwarted when the team signed Rashaad Penny in free agency and traded for D'Andre Swift. The two imports have long injury histories though, so Gainwell might yet get a look as the Eagles' starter if both Swift and Penny happen to be on the shelf at the same time.

TE - Round 19, Pick 302 - Bye 7

2023 Rank: 243 - 2022 Rank: 338

Gesicki is a uniquely athletic pass-catcher for a tight end, but for the first time in his NFL career, he'll have to contend with another competent No. 1 option at the same position. Hunter Henry is more than capable of moving the chains, and he's a much more proficient blocker than Gesicki. Henry has even historically been more effective in the end zone, but Gesicki's explosiveness could give him an edge on obvious passing downs. Offensive coordinator Bill O'Brien may well implement multi-TE formations as a fixture of New England's identity, but it doesn't seem likely that Mac Jones will air it out enough to guarantee Gesicki consistent weekly volume. That could mean he repeats as a low-floor, high-upside option, reminiscent of his time in Miami.

WR - Round 20, Pick 307 - Bye 6

2023 Rank: 128 - 2022 Rank: 1599

A 2023 second-round draft pick, Reed has a chance to earn a significant role in the Packers' offense this season. The Packers are young and inexperienced at wide receiver with second-year wideouts Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs his main competition for targets. Reed showed versatility in college and should have little trouble earning a spot in the top-three WRs, even if he doesn't over take Watson or Doubs. But the Packers are likely to remain a run-heavy offense, which could limit the WR targers. New quarterback Jordan Love is also a factor. Reed's development could hinge on Love's development.

QB - Round 21, Pick 334 - Bye 14

2023 Rank: 195 - 2022 Rank: 250

It's difficult to evaluate Ridder on the four games he started as a rookie to close out last season for the Falcons. They had a run-heavy offense with little interest in leaning on the pass and had already lost TE Kyle Pitts for the season by the time Ridder took over. Even though Pitts was having a disappointing year, his presence would've helped in an offense that otherwise had little beyond rookie WR Drake London. The good news is that Ridder took care of the football, finishing without any interceptions while attempting 26-to-33 passes in each game. On the other hand, he averaged better than 6.6 YPA just once and wasn't exactly taking a lot of risks or moving the offense consistently. And although the 2022 third-round pick was a running threat in college, he finished three of his four starts last year with fewer than 10 rushing yards. The Falcons apparently saw enough to make him their starter entering Week 1 this year, but they did sign a high-end backup in Taylor Heinicke in case things don't work out with the second-year pro.

K - Round 22, Pick 339 - Bye 5

2023 Rank: 236 - 2022 Rank: 151

After averaging 21 made field goals between 2019-2021, the Seahawks offense finally had a successful year. As a result, Myers connected on 34 field goals, which was the most he has had in any of his eight seasons. Although he's had a couple down years from an accuracy standpoint, Myers has made at least 91.7 percent of his field goals in three of the last five years. He just signed a four-year contract, so he has job security. And if the Seahawks continue their positive direction on offense, he should be a top-eight kicking option.

DEF - Round 23, Pick 366 - Bye 13

2023 Rank: 300 - 2022 Rank: 112

A top-notch group of pass rushers headlined by Leonard Williams and Kayvon Thibodeaux didn't translate into much fantasy production last year, as the Giants finished outside the top 10 in sacks and in the bottom eight in turnovers. Having Azeez Ojulari healthy for a full season would help, and free-agent tackling machine Bobby Okereke should bolster a shaky run defense, but the secondary lost safety Julian Love in the offseason and will likely need 2023 first-round pick Deonte Banks to make an immediate impact at cornerback if the unit as a whole is going to take a step forward.

Team Forecast

Bye Week Points Lost

Points

Each bar represents the total projected season points for each player that's on bye that week. This chart shows any potential bye week issues.

Schedule by Opponent Points

Week

Week-by-week schedule with each opponent's projected season points. This chart shows any difficult or easy stretches in the schedule.

Fire king
1. (14) Jalen Hurts (Phi - QB)
2. (19) Tyreek Hill (Mia - WR)
3. (46) Dallas (Dal - DEF)
4. (51) D'Andre Swift (Chi - RB)
5. (78) Dallas Goedert (Phi - TE)
6. (83) Jaylinn Hawkins (LAC - S)
7. (110) Marquise Brown (KC - WR)
8. (115) Jakobi Meyers (LV - WR)
9. (142) Tyler Bass (Buf - K)
10. (147) Logan Wilson (Cin - LB)
11. (174) Greg Rousseau (Buf - DE)
12. (179) L'Jarius Sneed (KC - CB)
13. (206) Devin Singletary (NYG - RB)
14. (211) Mecole Hardman (KC - WR)
15. (238) Alex Anzalone (Det - LB)
16. (243) Rashod Bateman (Bal - WR)
17. (270) Tank Dell (Hou - WR)
18. (275) Kenneth Gainwell (Phi - RB)
19. (302) Mike Gesicki (Cin - TE)
20. (307) Jayden Reed (GB - WR)
21. (334) Desmond Ridder (Ari - QB)
22. (339) Jason Myers (Sea - K)
23. (366) New York (NYG - DEF)

Best Draft

Best Draft is awarded to the team with the most projected season points based on weekly optimal starting lineups.

League Draft Grades

Draft Day Projected Standings

Draft Day Power Rankings

Power Rankings are based on projected points for the remainder of the season.