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Noah’s Dream Team's Draft Report Card

--hidden-- | Drafted Round 23, Pick 361
B- Grade
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Noah's Dream Team Drafts a Solid Squad, But Will It Be Enough to Make the Dream a Reality?

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Noah's Dream Team had the honor of picking 9th in the 16 Team Dive 🎖️ league draft, and they made the most of it. With 23 rounds to work with, they carefully selected a roster that earned them a respectable B- draft grade. While it may not be the highest grade in the class, it's certainly not a failing one either. Noah's Dream Team's projected record of 9-5-0 suggests they have a solid chance of making the playoffs, landing them in 4th place. However, they'll need to bring their A-game to overcome the 16th toughest schedule in the league.

Noah's Dream Team made some savvy moves during the draft, including snagging George Kittle at pick 88, well below his ADP of 43. This steal of a pick could prove to be a game-changer for the team. On the other hand, they may have reached a bit with their selection of Raheem Mostert at pick 105, who had an ADP of 128. Time will tell if this gamble pays off. Additionally, Noah's Dream Team took a bold approach by drafting three players from the same team: Chris Jones, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, and Drue Tranquill. This strategy could either lead to a harmonious symphony of points or a disastrous cacophony of underperformance. Only time will tell if Noah's Dream Team can turn their dream into a reality, but one thing's for sure - they'll need to wake up and smell the victory if they want to live up to their name.

ADP Analysis

Pick Number

Bars above zero indicate a pick was selected later than a player's ADP. Bars below zero show players that were taken earlier than their ADP.

Inside the Draft

Player Outlooks

RB - Round 1, Pick 9 - Bye 11

2023 Rank: 49 - 2022 Rank: 77

Taylor has more fantasy risk than any of the top running backs this year thanks to offseason ankle surgery and a contract dispute. He started training camp on the PUP list, still working his way back to full strength after a season-ending high ankle sprain in Week 15 last year. His contract situation might be an even bigger issue. Taylor demanded a contract extension; the Colts refused but gave him permission to seek a trade. He's since moved to the regular-season PUP list, making him ineligible for the first four games of the season, though the Colts can still trade him in the meantime. If he returns to the Colts, he'll look for a delayed bounce-back year after last season's disappointment. Expectations were sky high heading into 2022 after he led the league in rushing yards (1,811) and rushing touchdowns (18) in 2021, but his season was derailed by injuries and poor play from the imploding Indianapolis offense. A Week 4 ankle sprain limited his effectiveness for a time, but his production also suffered from the ineptitude of the players around him -- the biggest culprit being QB Matt Ryan. Taylor's touchdowns dropped to four after he posted 12 and 20 in his first two seasons, and his 3.6 yards per target was less than half of his career average of 7.3. Quarterback remains a question mark for Indianapolis this season, but it's hard to imagine fourth overall pick Anthony Richardson faring worse than the now-retired Ryan. The big questions now are whether Taylor will be ready to play by Week 5 and if he'll still be a member of the Colts at that point.

QB - Round 2, Pick 24 - Bye 13

2023 Rank: 43 - 2022 Rank: 18

Jackson's 2022 was cut short by a Week 13 knee injury, limiting him to just 12 games. If his 11 complete games were prorated to a full season, he would have recorded almost 3,500 passing yards and 26 touchdowns. Despite his completion percentage (62.3) and yards per attempt (6.9) dropping compared to the previous few years, he still managed QB1-level fantasy production thanks to his exceptional running ability. Jackson's performance was hindered by arguably the worst wideout corps in the league, but the Ravens took steps to address this issue by signing Odell Beckham and then drafting Zay Flowers in the first round. A healthy season from Rashod Bateman, their 2021 first-round pick who missed six games with a Lisfranc injury, would also be significant. Tight end Mark Andrews is still the main target in the offense, with fellow TE Isaiah Likely providing an additional receiving threat. The most crucial change could be the switch in offensive scheme from Greg Roman's run-heavy playbook to a more pass-oriented one led by new OC Todd Monken. Jackson ended the uncertainty around his future by signing a five-year deal worth $135 million guaranteed in May. He is undoubtedly the best QB in the league when it comes to running, and a full season could see him reach 1,000 rushing yards even if he gets fewer designed carries under Monken.

RB - Round 3, Pick 41 - Bye 7

2023 Rank: 25 - 2022 Rank: 173

Hall tore his ACL in Week 7 last season just as he was emerging as a dominant workhorse RB, making the injury all the more frustrating. The 2022 second-round pick started slowly, with less than 50 rushing yards in his first three appearances, but the Jets finally shifted gears Week 4 and handed Hall the majority of backfield work. Hall hopes to return by Week 1, and New York's offense looks primed to take a significant step forward in 2023 with Aaron Rodgers at the helm. But the Jets likely will take their time with Hall, especially after signing Dalvin Cook in August. Cook could start Week 1, and even when Hall returns could still steal touches as the No. 2. That said, if Hall returns to his pre-injury form and Rodgers indeed boosts the offense this season, Hall could even see an uptick in scoring opportunities.

WR - Round 4, Pick 56 - Bye 5

2023 Rank: 37 - 2022 Rank: 98

In the current iteration of the Seahawks offense, Metcalf isn't quite the explosive downfield threat that he was earlier in his career. Last year, he saw a career low 11.6 yards per reception while posting just a 10th-percentile yardage after the catch rate. After being targeted 129 times in each of the two prior seasons, Metcalf was targeted 141 times last year leading to a career high 90 catches. To this point, 2020 is looking like his career year, when he had 1,303 yards and 10 touchdowns. As long as the team continues to roll with Geno Smith as quarterback, it's unlikely that this becomes a team that consistently attacks downfield, which will limit Metcalf's upside. but his target volume should continue to help him be a strong weekly fantasy option. Based on volume and talent, he should remain in the top-15 conversation at wide receiver.

WR - Round 5, Pick 73 - Bye 5

2023 Rank: 55 - 2022 Rank: 95

Evans is coming off an odd season. The numbers ended up where they needed to be, as his 1,124 receiving yards were his most since 2019. In addition, his 77 receptions and 127 targets were his most since 2018. With touchdowns being unpredictable, the fact he scored six, which was his fewest since 2017, was understandable. From a week-to-week standpoint, his performance was frustrating. He had eight games with two-to-four receptions. And over his last eight games, he surpassed 60 yards twice. And he really had just two big games all year, though one of those was in Week 17, and it may have helped win leagues, as he surpassed 200 yards with three TDs. With Tom Brady gone and Baker Mayfield in, that may not be optimal. But having shown that he hasn't slowed down entering his age-30 season, if he gets reasonable QB play, he should have a chance for a top-20 season.

TE - Round 6, Pick 88 - Bye 9

2023 Rank: 62 - 2022 Rank: 126

Kittle's receptions and yardage for 2022 were well below the numbers he put up in prior seasons. But the big difference last season was his nose for the end zone. After scoring 20 touchdowns over the first five seasons of his career, he scored 11 TD's last year. As usual, he was very volatile. He had seven games with single digit PPR points. He also went over 20 points on four occasions. When drafting Kittle, fantasy managers simply can't take him out of their lineup. When he appears to be in a slump, the magic happens. For instance, after three straight games with less than 40 yards receiving, he erupted for two straight two-TD, 90+ yard contests in week 15 and 16 and seven touchdowns over four weeks. Kittle should be drafted as the fourth or fifth tight end off the board in most drafts, and he should provide a strong. though erratic, return on investment.

RB - Round 7, Pick 105 - Bye 10

2023 Rank: 77 - 2022 Rank: 70

Mostert re-signs in Miami to return to an ideal scheme fit with coach Mike McDaniel, and also one of the league's more crowded backfields. He and fellow 49ers holdover Jeff Wilson figure to open the season as effectively a 1a/1b tandem, regardless of whoever is officially the starter, just as was the case last season whenever both veterans were simultaneously available. Wilson saw more work as a pass-catcher in 2022 while Mostert's skillset allows him to manufacture big plays more regularly. However, Mostert's role could overlap more with rookie third-round pick Devon Achane. Both are speedsters of slighter frames, although Mostert is far closer to a back or prototypical size than Achane. It seems almost a likely event that the Dolphins ultimately roll out a three-headed committee, one which would almost certainly prove productive, but make week-to-week performances difficult to predict.

WR - Round 8, Pick 120 - Bye 13

2023 Rank: 80 - 2022 Rank: 1593

After the Vikings cut ties with Adam Thielen, they were in need of a clear No. 2 receiver. They didn't waste time in addressing that need, using the 23rd pick in this year's draft to select Addison. In college, he showed the ability to run effective routes at all levels of the field. He also showed excellent separation skills. But his game wasn't without questions. The 175-pound receiver seemed to lack some physicality, which could be an issue in the NFL. Also, quite a bit of his college production came on screen passes, and that may be difficult to duplicate at the next level. Finally, he disappointed at the NFL Combine. He ran a 55th-percentile 40-yard-dash time, and his explosiveness testing came in at the 50th percentile. Regardless, he is expected to start across from Justin Jefferson this season. He'll also have a quarterback in Kirk Cousins, who has shown the ability to lead a productive passing attack. Despite some knocks on his profile as he enters the pros, volume and circumstance could propel Addison to a productive rookie campaign.

RB - Round 9, Pick 137 - Bye 13

2023 Rank: 232 - 2022 Rank: 81

Foreman is one of the true success stories of a player making it back from an Achilles injury. Once Christian McCaffrey was traded away by the Panthers last year, Foreman stepped into a large role. His 203 carries was the first big workload he had in his career. And he responded very well by posting a career-high 4.5 yards per carry. Despite having just a 25th-percentile broken-tackle rate, he was 76th percentile in yards after contact. But as good as some of his numbers looked, he was inconsistent. He had five games with at least 113 rushing yards. Conversely, he was held to fewer than 25 yards four times. And his performances weren't based on the level of competition. He had some excellent games against strong defenses while having some poor performances against weaker defenses. Now with Chicago, Foreman should bring the thunder to Khalil Herbert's lighting to form a one-two punch in the backfield. Foreman should profile as the primary goal-line back, though Justin Fields is sure to be a factor at the goal. Even though the Bears drafted Roschon Johnson in the fourth round, Foreman is likely a better RB at this stage, and Johnson may not be a major threat to Foreman's role. In his current situation, Foreman has RB2 or flex value in drafts.

LB - Round 10, Pick 152 - Bye 9

2023 Rank: 1143 - 2022 Rank: 261

Warner is entering his sixth season in the NFL and has been the picture of consistency. He's been available for either 16 or 17 games in every campaign, benefitting from playing a major role in an excellent defense but also getting some rest due to the excellent depth the team boasts. Warner has no fewer than 118 tackles in a given season and has at least 79 solo tackles in all five of his professional campaigns. If there's a downside to his game, it's a lack of production as a pass rusher, as he has only 6.5 career sacks. On the other hand, it's hard to argue with his work in coverage as he has 35 passes defended and four picks to his ledger. All told, he's an extremely reliable fantasy option due to both his skill and role in a prolific defense.

DT - Round 11, Pick 169 - Bye 10

2023 Rank: 1853 - 2022 Rank: 396

DB,S - Round 12, Pick 184 - Bye 7

2023 Rank: 394 - 2022 Rank: 179

The Texans haven't done much right in the past couple of seasons, but selecting Pitre in the second round of the 2022 NFL Draft certainly appears to be one. The rookie out of Baylor excelled with 147 tackles and five interceptions, wildly exceeding expectations while topping the team in both categories. One thing to keep an eye on is Pitre's deployment moving forward. He opened the 2022 campaign at strong safety and appeared to be heading to a reserve role after a number of miscues. Instead, the team shifted him to free safety, where he seemingly found a groove and some comfort on the field. The Texans did a lot of work on defense during the offseason, but Pitre is expected to remain a starter alongside veteran Jimmie Ward. All told he'll be looking to prove his initial production in the NFL was no fluke.

LB - Round 13, Pick 201 - Bye 13

2023 Rank: 792 - 2022 Rank: 248

Kirksey is entering the final season of a two-year contract with the Texans and his 10th overall campaign in the NFL. He is coming off of his first fully healthy year for the first time since 2017, also topping 100 tackles for the first time in that span. Despite being limited in his snap count due to injury throughout his career, Kirksey has done a lot of damage in coverage. Across his last three seasons and 31 games, he has combined to rack up five interceptions and 17 pass breakups. Though Houston made some additions to its porous defense in 2022, Kirksey projects to maintain a significant role as he heads into his age-30 campaign. He'll look to pair with offseason addition Denzel Perryman as a fearsome duo among the team's linebacker corps.

K - Round 14, Pick 216 - Bye 10

2023 Rank: 230 - 2022 Rank: 226

Sometimes, an offense can be too good, at least when it comes to providing value for its kicker. Elliott led the league in PATs in 2022, but he saw only 23 field-goal attempts as the Eagles' efficiency in the red zone and aggressiveness in going for the big play helped carry the team to the Super Bowl, but didn't leave it settling for three points often. There's little reason to think Elliott's opportunities will increase significantly this season. Philadelphia's scheme and main skill players, including quarterback Jalen Hurts, are unchanged, and coach Nick Siranni will keep calling Hurts' numbers at the goal line until defenses prove they can stop him. Elliott has a decent fantasy floor due to all those PATs, but his upside is lacking.

DEF - Round 15, Pick 233 - Bye 5

2023 Rank: 311 - 2022 Rank: 115

The Chargers defense lost defensive coordinator Renaldo Hill to the Dolphins in what was actually a demotion in title (defensive backs coach), a strange twist given that Hill seemed to have a good thing going with the Chargers. At least they were able to replace Hill with Derrick Ansley, who hopefully won't miss a beat after serving as the defensive backs coach under Hill the last two years. If Ansley can keep the system working, then the Chargers otherwise have the player talent to field a strong defense in 2023. Cornerback is the main question following the devastating patellar tendon tear suffered by high-dollar pickup J.C. Jackson, but the good news is the secondary should have help from a strong pass rush, especially if Joey Bosa can stay healthy. Bosa, Khalil Mack and second-round rookie Tuli Tuipulotu could form a fierce edge rush, and inside linebacker signing Eric Kendricks could improve the run defense and tight end coverage both. Durability has been the main undoing of the Chargers defense lately, so some better luck might be all it takes for them to break out in 2023.

RB - Round 16, Pick 248 - Bye 13

2023 Rank: 254 - 2022 Rank: 57

Fournette will no longer be in Tampa Bay. Although he had 3.5 yards per carry last year, which was his worst since 2018, the Bucs offensive line was terrible in scheme and run blocking. So his performance may not be indicative of how the 28 year old is actually playing. However, some of the blame may be on him, as he had a seventh-percentile broken-tackle rate and 25th-percentile yards after contact. With Tom Brady getting the ball out at a very quick rate, Fournette set career highs with 73 receptions, 523 yards, and three touchdowns. Overall, he had 1,191 scrimmage yards on 262 touches. But after posting at least 15 PPR points in four of his first six games, he only did so once in his last 10 games. If his landing spot is favorable, drafting him outside of the top-20 running backs makes sense. But he could enter the decline phase of his career quickly, so there is a definite risk.

QB - Round 17, Pick 265 - Bye 7

2023 Rank: 272 - 2022 Rank: 33

Tannehill has been a game manager for the run-first Titans over the past few years, and the 35-year-old quarterback should be headed for a similar role in 2023. He produced a 33:7 TD: INT in 2020 while throwing to a receiving corps headlined by A.J. Brown and Corey Davis, but Tannehill has just a 34:20 TD: INT across 29 games over the two subsequent seasons, and the Titans haven't done much to restock their cupboard of pass-catching options. His top targets in 2023 apart from summer signing DeAndre Hopkins figure to be WR Treylon Burks and TE Chigoziem Okonkwo, a pair of second-year pros who combined for 894 receiving yards last year. Tannehill chipped in seven rushing TDs apiece in 2020 and 2021, but at age 35 and coming off a season-ending ankle injury, he's unlikely to replicate that production. Tannehill should hang onto the starting job as long as Derrick Henry's legs and the defense have Tennessee in the mix for a playoff spot in the weak AFC South, but this is the last year of Tannehill's contract, so the Titans won't hesitate to turn to rookie second-round pick Will Levis under center the moment they drop out of playoff contention.

LB - Round 18, Pick 280 - Bye 7

2023 Rank: 1169 - 2022 Rank: 356

Williams is outshined by his brother Quinnen, but that doesn't mean he hasn't been productive in his own right. He's coming off consecutive 100-tackle seasons with the Jets, and he's become a staple at outside linebacker for the team. The Jets showed their dedication to Williams by re-signing him to a three-year, $18 million contract this offseason. That should safely lock in his starting role for at least the 2023 campaign. There are some drawbacks to his game, as he can sometimes get lost in coverage and also takes bad angles while supporting the run defense at times. On the other hand, he's also one of the biggest hitters in the NFL and will continue to rack up plenty of tackles.

WR - Round 19, Pick 297 - Bye 10

2023 Rank: 192 - 2022 Rank: 255

Valdes-Scantling is a textbook example of a player who's more useful on the real football field than in fantasy football. He has speed that forces the safety to stay over the top, a useful decoy function that helps buy cover for Travis Kelce underneath, and if the safety doesn't defend MVS over the top then Patrick Mahomes is prepared to strike against the single coverage. If the defense tries to counter MVS' speed with a similarly speedy corner, then that corner is usually much smaller and thus someone MVS can bully as a blocker in the ground game. The problem is neither of these scenarios result in fantasy points for MVS, even though he's playing a very real role in making the Chiefs offense succeed. Dropped passes have always been an issue and will likely continue to cap MVS' per-snap target upside. The result is that MVS can't credibly draw targets in the underneath or intermediate, leaving him mostly dependent on hit-or-miss production on sporadic downfield targets.

RB - Round 20, Pick 312 - Bye 7

2023 Rank: 327 - 2022 Rank: 868

After a frustrating end to his time in Tampa Bay, Jones signed a one-year deal last offseason to try to turn his career around in Kansas City. While the decision did get him a Super Bowl ring, he had a career low in touches as seventh-round rookie Isiah Pacheco outperformed Jones in training camp and never looked back. Jones topped 1,000 scrimmage yards as recently as 2020, but at this stage he looks primarily like an early down option who relies more on athleticism and elusiveness to gain yards than size and power. He heads to Dallas looking to win a backup role behind Tony Pollard, and while nothing is guaranteed, the departure of Ezekiel Elliott does leave more than 200 carries up for grabs in the Cowboys' backfield. If Jones shows he still has something left in the tank, he could win a significant share of those available totes as the team tries to make sure Pollard doesn't wear down in his first season as the unquestioned starter.

WR - Round 21, Pick 329 - Bye 9

2023 Rank: 304 - 2022 Rank: 267

Despite being an outside starting receiver for Trevor Lawrence last season in Jacksonville, Jones looked like he might be nearing the end of an excellent career. He saw a reasonable 81 targets but produced just 529 yards. In his last nine games, which included the playoffs, he reached 30 yards once. After a two years in Jacksonville, Jones returned to Detroit this offseason, where he played from 2016 to 2020, this offseason. Entering his age-33 season, he could easily find himself in a backup role, but his chances for snaps improved when 2022 first-round pick Jameson Williams was suspended six games to start the year. Jones will compete with Josh Reynolds and Kalif Raymond for a larger early season role with Amon-Ra St. Brown the top WR target.

S - Round 22, Pick 344 - Bye 14

2023 Rank: 582 - 2022 Rank: 519

LB - Round 23, Pick 361 - Bye 10

2023 Rank: 1195 - 2022 Rank: 202

Team Forecast

Bye Week Points Lost

Points

Each bar represents the total projected season points for each player that's on bye that week. This chart shows any potential bye week issues.

Schedule by Opponent Points

Week

Week-by-week schedule with each opponent's projected season points. This chart shows any difficult or easy stretches in the schedule.

Noah’s Dream Team
1. (9) Jonathan Taylor (Ind - RB)
2. (24) Lamar Jackson (Bal - QB)
3. (41) Breece Hall (NYJ - RB)
4. (56) DK Metcalf (Sea - WR)
5. (73) Mike Evans (TB - WR)
6. (88) George Kittle (SF - TE)
7. (105) Raheem Mostert (Mia - RB)
8. (120) Jordan Addison (Min - WR)
9. (137) D'Onta Foreman (Chi - RB)
10. (152) Fred Warner (SF - LB)
11. (169) Chris Jones (KC - DT)
12. (184) Jalen Pitre (Hou - DB,S)
13. (201) Christian Kirksey (Buf - LB)
14. (216) Jake Elliott (Phi - K)
15. (233) Los Angeles (LAC - DEF)
16. (248) Leonard Fournette (Buf - RB)
17. (265) Ryan Tannehill (Ten - QB)
18. (280) Quincy Williams (NYJ - LB)
19. (297) Marquez Valdes-Scantling (KC - WR)
20. (312) Ronald Jones (Dal - RB)
21. (329) Marvin Jones Jr. (Det - WR)
22. (344) Jeremy Chinn (Was - S)
23. (361) Drue Tranquill (KC - LB)

Best Draft

Best Draft is awarded to the team with the most projected season points based on weekly optimal starting lineups.

League Draft Grades

Draft Day Projected Standings

Draft Day Power Rankings

Power Rankings are based on projected points for the remainder of the season.