Draft Grade: C+
Ouch. Prove these ratings wrong by nominating yourself for the Toyota Hall of Fame.
Statistical Anomaly was unable to capitalize on their fortuitous draft position. Despite selecting first overall, they're projected to finish 10th in Stampede Blue League 8 League with a mark of 5-8-0 (1,566 points). Statistical Anomaly loaded up on ballcarriers early, using three of their first five picks to scoop up RBs Adrian Peterson (first round), Stevan Ridley (second round), and Lamar Miller (fourth round). Corresponding with that strategy, they landed the best triumvirate of RBs in the league.
The Season Ahead
Whether by good fortune or well-planned strategy, Statistical Anomaly has secured a favorable bye week schedule for their superstars. Of their top five players in projected points, none share a common off week. From the perspective of opponents' projected points, they have a harder-than-average schedule. Statistical Anomaly could run into an early buzzsaw, as the first four games of their season are projected to be more difficult than the league average. Statistical Anomaly has a well-balanced schedule this season, avoiding prolonged stretches against either the projected top or bottom teams in the league.
- Strongest Position: RB (4.0% above the league average) and WR (0.3%) are projected as especially strong units for Statistical Anomaly.
- On Autopilot: Picking starting RBs should be an academic exercise most weeks for Statistical Anomaly, as there's a healthy projected points difference between their third-ranked (Stevan Ridley) and fourth-ranked (Pierre Thomas) RBs.
- Taking a Chance: With their ninth-round pick, Statistical Anomaly threw caution to the wind. They took Bryce Brown at pick number 97 vs. an ADP of 123.4 across all Yahoo! leagues.
- Don't Rock the Boat: Statistical Anomaly was focused on a steady squad, grabbing six consistent players out of 16 picks.
- Digging Deep: Rod Streater is owned in less than 10% of all Yahoo! leagues (1%). Perhaps he will reward Statistical Anomaly for their faith.
- A Pair of Winners: Statistical Anomaly has a couple of proven fantasy champs in their lineup. Across all Yahoo! leagues last season, two of their players (Adrian Peterson and Demaryius Thomas) finished among the top 20 in percentage of times on a first-place roster.
Toyota Top Picks
- A. Peterson
1st Round (1st Pick)
Value Found: Adrian Peterson is expected to score 80.1% more points than the average player at that position, making him the best value pick of the round.
- Stevan Ridley
2nd Round (24th Pick)
According to projections, Stevan Ridley was the worst value pick of the round; however, estimates still show him putting up 19.2% more points than the average player at that position.
- D. Thomas
3rd Round (25th Pick)
Demaryius Thomas ranks fourth in the league among WRs with 271 projected fantasy points, 41.9% higher than the average at that position.
- Lamar Miller
4th Round (48th Pick)
According to projections, Lamar Miller will fall outside of the NFL top 10 in both rushing TDs (16th with 7.3) and yards (17th with 1,090).
- Jordy Nelson
5th Round (49th Pick)
Jordy Nelson is expected to reach paydirt 9.1 times, placing him sixth in the NFL in projected receiving TDs.
Calling an Audible
While Statistical Anomaly is projected to have four below-average positions, TE is clearly their worst unit (43.5% below the league average at that position).
The following undrafted players may be worth considering:
Rank: 171 ADP: 135.48
Rank: 190 ADP: 135.68
Rank: 197 ADP: 124.2
Rank: 217 ADP: 120.95
- Player Points by Bye WeekPointsEach bar represents the total projected season points for each player that's on bye that week. This chart shows any potential bye week issues.
- Pick Number Minus ADPPick NumberBars above zero indicate a pick was selected later than a player's ADP. Bars below zero show players that were taken earlier than their ADP.
- Avg Points by Position vs LeagueTeam LeagueThe average projected points for all the players at each position versus the average projected points for all players at that position in the league.
- Schedule by Opponent PointsWeekWeek-by-week schedule with each opponent's projected season points. This chart shows any difficult or easy stretches in the schedule.
How We Grade
Draft grades are based strictly on teams' draft performances. This is calculated by counting the number of fantasy points teams are projected to score over the course of the season using their optimal line-ups. The grades do not take schedule into account. Because of bye weeks and other variables it is possible to earn a high grade yet be projected to finish in the middle of the pack. The opposite is also true. Bottom line: Fantasy Football is like the real game. You can draft the greatest talent in the world but you still need to manage your team every week to get the most out of that talent. As a wise man once said, "On any given Sunday..."