Draft Grade: B
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Coinciding with a juicy draft position (third overall), 4th and inches had an outstanding performance. They're projected to finish third in Stampede Blue League 6 League with a record of 10-3-0 (1,607 points). 4th and inches loaded up on ballcarriers early, using three of their first five picks to scoop up RBs Stevan Ridley (second round), Chris Johnson (third round), and DeMarco Murray (fourth round). Corresponding with that strategy, they landed a better-than-average quartet of RBs.
The Season Ahead
Week 9 appears to be a tricky one, as the top two projected scorers (Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson) for 4th and inches will be relaxing during off weeks. They have the least difficult schedule in Stampede Blue League 6 League when factoring in opponents' projected points. Corresponding with the easiest overall schedule, 4th and inches also has the easiest first four games of the season. An especially easy stretch appears to start in Week 1, during which 4th and inches plays projected bottom-tier teams for two consecutive games.
- Sturdiest Slot: On a team with four better-than-average positions, DEF is the best player grouping on 4th and inches (27.7% above the league average for that group).
- On Autopilot: Picking starting RBs should be an academic exercise most weeks for 4th and inches, as there's a healthy projected points difference between their third-ranked (Stevan Ridley) and fourth-ranked (Bilal Powell) RBs.
- No Country for Old Men: With an average of 5.9 years of NFL experience, 4th and inches is the oldest team in the league.
- Hit the Waiver Wire: 4th and inches will need to get busy on the waiver wire in Week 9, as their only TE (Vernon Davis) and only K (Phil Dawson) will both be off that week.
- Risk Hater: Actuaries love the drafting style of 4th and inches. They minimized risk by selecting eight consistent players among their 16 picks.
- Mr. Mendoza: Jonathan Dwyer is owned in fewer than 10% of Yahoo! leagues (1%). Let's hope that a.) 4th and inches has some solid inside information, or b.) he's a close friend of the family.
Toyota Top Picks
- Calvin Johnson
1st Round (3rd Pick)
Winner, Winner, Chicken Dinner: Calvin Johnson has winning in his blood. He was the seventh-most-owned player by championship teams across all Yahoo! leagues last season, as well as the sixth-most-owned player by playoff teams.
- Stevan Ridley
2nd Round (22nd Pick)
Repaying the Pick: Stevan Ridley is expected to finish third in the NFL with 10.8 rushing TDs and 10th with 1,257 rushing yards.
- Chris Johnson
3rd Round (27th Pick)
According to projections, Chris Johnson will fall outside of the NFL top 10 in both rushing TDs (31st with 5.2) and yards (12th with 1,192).
- DeMarco Murray
4th Round (46th Pick)
Value Found: DeMarco Murray is expected to score 46.7% more points than the average player at that position, making him the best value pick of the round.
- M. Stafford
5th Round (51st Pick)
Reaching for the Best: Although they got the highest-ranked QB left on the board, 4th and inches may have reached a little on Matthew Stafford in the fifth round (51st overall pick vs. ADP of 63.0).
Calling an Audible
4th and inches is projected to have a pair of subpar positions (RB and K), but RB is clearly their worst unit (24.2% below the league average at that position).
The following undrafted players may be worth considering:
Rank: 143 ADP: 124.23
Rank: 146 ADP: 126.8
Rank: 163 ADP: 119.78
Rank: 248 ADP: 118.19
- Player Points by Bye WeekPointsEach bar represents the total projected season points for each player that's on bye that week. This chart shows any potential bye week issues.
- Pick Number Minus ADPPick NumberBars above zero indicate a pick was selected later than a player's ADP. Bars below zero show players that were taken earlier than their ADP.
- Avg Points by Position vs LeagueTeam LeagueThe average projected points for all the players at each position versus the average projected points for all players at that position in the league.
- Schedule by Opponent PointsWeekWeek-by-week schedule with each opponent's projected season points. This chart shows any difficult or easy stretches in the schedule.
How We Grade
Draft grades are based strictly on teams' draft performances. This is calculated by counting the number of fantasy points teams are projected to score over the course of the season using their optimal line-ups. The grades do not take schedule into account. Because of bye weeks and other variables it is possible to earn a high grade yet be projected to finish in the middle of the pack. The opposite is also true. Bottom line: Fantasy Football is like the real game. You can draft the greatest talent in the world but you still need to manage your team every week to get the most out of that talent. As a wise man once said, "On any given Sunday..."